Kristiansund BK v Aalesund prediction

NM Cupen · · Kristiansund Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kristiansund BK · Aalesund · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Kristiansund BK v Aalesund, NM Cupen on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.1% of 622 landed (95% range 62.3–69.7%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kristiansund BK host Aalesund in NM Cupen on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Kristiansund BK’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Kristiansund BK have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Aalesund have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Kristiansund BK have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Kristiansund BK’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Kristiansund BK have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71.

11 of Aalesund’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 14 of Aalesund’s last 15 results in all competitions (93%). Away from home, Aalesund have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.00.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Aalesund the stronger side, 145 rating points above Kristiansund BK (Aalesund 2174, Kristiansund BK 2029, after at least 23 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 October 2026, finished Kristiansund BK 1–4 Aalesund.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · NM Cupen · Kristiansund Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kristiansund BK 3 · draws 1 · Aalesund 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kristiansund BK 1W 0D 4L · Aalesund 3W 0D 2L

Kristiansund BK v Aalesund (NM Cupen): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 23 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2.25
Goals
against 2.75 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 6.25
Corners
against 6.88 / 7.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 7.38 / 6.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameKristiansund BK for / againstLineAalesund for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 7.5 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 17.88 against n 8
19.5standard
17.25 for · 17.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 7.38 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 6.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Julius Mar Juliusson n 887.9
1.98/5
0.54/0
—
Heine Gikling Bruseth n 880.9
1.76/4
2.97/6
—
Tobias Hammer Svendsen n 840.1
1.74/1
1.14/0
—
Leander Alvheim n 886.4
1.65/4
0.84/1
—
M. Elvius n 869
1.65/3
1.55/3
—
Kristiansund BK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sander Hestetun Kilen n 857.3
2.86/3
1.63/2
Leander Alvheim n 886.4
2.17/5
16/2
Leander Alvheim n 886.8
1.86/5
0.95/2
Adrian Kurd Rønning n 825.8
1.72/1
0.41/0
David Tufekcic n 857.1
1.66/1
0.84/0
Kristiansund BK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sander Hestetun Kilen n 857.3
13/1
0.42/0
David Tufekcic n 857.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
Z. Bytyqi n 851.9
0.21/0
0.42/0
Leander Alvheim n 886.8
0.64/1
00/0
Leander Alvheim n 886.4
0.43/0
00/0
Kristiansund BK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Wilfred George Igor n 873
2.97/6
Jesper Isaksen n 885.4
2.48/4
M. Elvius n 869
2.35/4
Heine Gikling Bruseth n 880.9
2.17/6
J. Júlíusson n 779
2.16/6
Kristiansund BK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Michael Lansing n 890
4.48/8
Aalesund
Aalesund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Ngongo n 440.3
2.84/1
2.22/1
—
S. Vecchia n 810.8
2.11/1
6.34/2
—
Mathias Christensen n 890
27/5
0.84/2
—
I. Skotheim n 573
24/1
1.74/3
—
Sander Erik Kartum n 840.4
26/1
1.43/1
—
Aalesund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. M. Reed n 876.8
3.47/6
1.66/4
P. Ngongo n 440.3
2.83/2
1.73/0
I. Skotheim n 573
2.75/4
1.23/2
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson n 841.5
2.75/3
0.83/0
Mathias Christensen n 890
2.38/4
1.65/3
Aalesund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. M. Reed n 876.8
0.63/1
0.63/1
P. Ngongo n 440.3
1.12/0
00/0
Mathias Christensen n 890
0.64/1
0.42/1
Kristian Lonebu n 857.6
0.63/0
0.42/0
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch n 868.3
0.32/0
0.53/0
Aalesund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jakob Nyland Örsahl n 836
4.45/3
Hakon Butli Hammer n 848.4
35/4
Uba Charles n 881.4
2.88/7
P. Ngongo n 440.3
2.23/1
S. Vecchia n 810.8
2.12/0
Aalesund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luca Podlech n 890
4.17/7

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kristiansund BK v Aalesund — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kristiansund BKWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 3.6 conceded per game
AalesundWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kristiansund BK 3 · 1 draw · Aalesund 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-10-17 Kristiansund BK 1–4 Aalesund
  • 2026-04-26 Aalesund 1–1 Kristiansund BK
  • 2022-10-30 Kristiansund BK 4–0 Aalesund
  • 2022-04-03 Aalesund 1–0 Kristiansund BK
  • 2020-10-04 Aalesund 1–2 Kristiansund BK
  • 2020-06-21 Kristiansund BK 7–2 Aalesund
Goals per game
Kristiansund BK scored1.2
Aalesund scored2.2
Kristiansund BK conceded3.6
Aalesund conceded1.6

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Kristiansund BK v Aalesund?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kristiansund BK v Aalesund is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Kristiansund BK and Aalesund?
In their last 6 meetings, Kristiansund BK won 3, Aalesund won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kristiansund BK and Aalesund?
Recent form — Kristiansund BK 1W 0D 4L; Aalesund 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

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