Chicago Red Stars W v North Carolina Courage W result
Team pages: Chicago Red Stars W · North Carolina Courage W · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Chicago Red Stars W 3–3 North Carolina Courage W — this NWSL Women match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Chicago Red Stars W and North Carolina Courage W drew 3–3 in NWSL Women on Saturday 23 August. Chicago Red Stars W are winless in their last 13 matches in all competitions. North Carolina Courage W are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — North Carolina Courage W: M. Matsukubo (49’, assisted by A. Sanchez), T. Lussi (62’) and Jaedyn Shaw (83’, assisted by Meredith Speck); Chicago Red Stars W: Ludmila (76’, assisted by S. Staab; 81’, assisted by S. Staab; 86’, assisted by M. Hayashi).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ludmila’s goal on 86 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Chicago Red Stars W 0.00, North Carolina Courage W 0.00, from 10 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
The bookings — Chicago Red Stars W: Maitane López (25’), L. Nesbeth (44’) and B. Franklin (67’); North Carolina Courage W: Manaka Matsukubo (43’).
What it changes
With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 17, across seven matches.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ludmila (Chicago Red Stars W) 13.5, A. Sanchez (North Carolina Courage W) 8.0 and Sam Staab (Chicago Red Stars W) 6.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Chicago Red Stars W or North Carolina Courage W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).
Next up
Chicago Red Stars W next host Houston Dash W on 24 October 2026.
North Carolina Courage W next travel to Portland Thorns W on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Chicago Red Stars W: Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for North Carolina Courage W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Chicago Red Stars W 3–3 North Carolina Courage W · NWSL Women
- Referee: Luis Arroyo
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Chicago Red Stars W 0 · draws 1 · North Carolina Courage W 5 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Chicago Red Stars W 0W 4D 1L · North Carolina Courage W 2W 2D 1L
Chicago Red Stars W 3–3 North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Chicago Red Stars W for / against | Line | North Carolina Courage W for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.63 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.13 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Chicago Red Stars W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cook n 6 | 12.5 | 3.6 | 3.6 | — |
| Chardonnay Curran n 7 | 14.7 | 3.5 | 3.5 | — |
| Catherine Barry n 4 | 13 | 3.5 | 0 | — |
| Ludmila n 8 | 76.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| M. Johnson n 8 | 11.6 | 1.9 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nádia Gomes n 8 | 20.1 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| Chardonnay Curran n 7 | 14.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| A. Schlegel n 8 | 66.8 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Catherine Barry n 4 | 13 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Ludmila n 8 | 76.6 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schlegel n 8 | 66.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Nádia Gomes n 8 | 20.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Ludmila n 8 | 76.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Jameese Joseph n 8 | 62.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Sam Staab n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Hayashi n 8 | 50 | 3.6 |
| Nádia Gomes n 8 | 20.1 | 3.4 |
| Camryn Biegalski n 8 | 77.6 | 3.2 |
| N. Kuikka n 6 | 58.3 | 2.6 |
| Maitane López n 8 | 81.3 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Naeher n 8 | 89.9 | 3.3 |
| Halle Elizabeth Mackiewicz n 4 | 69.5 | 2.9 |
North Carolina Courage W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Betfort n 8 | 30.4 | 3 | 2.2 | — |
| B. Pinto n 8 | 18.3 | 1.8 | 0 | — |
| T. Lussi n 8 | 49 | 1.6 | 1.6 | — |
| F. Rauch n 8 | 64.9 | 1.4 | 0 | — |
| D. Weatherholt n 6 | 33 | 1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manaka Matsukubo n 8 | 74 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| T. Lussi n 8 | 49 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Jaedyn Shaw n 8 | 42.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| A. Sanchez n 8 | 36.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| S. Koyama n 8 | 47.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manaka Matsukubo n 8 | 74 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Jaedyn Shaw n 8 | 42.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Meredith Speck n 8 | 37.1 | 0 | 0.6 |
| B. Pinto n 8 | 18.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| F. Rauch n 8 | 64.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. O'Sullivan n 8 | 75 | 4.8 |
| T. Lussi n 8 | 49 | 3.2 |
| Jaedyn Shaw n 8 | 42.1 | 2.7 |
| A. Sanchez n 8 | 36.6 | 2.5 |
| R. Jackson n 8 | 64.9 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Murphy n 8 | 75 | 1.8 |
The next free picks, by email
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Match statistics & details
| Chicago Red Stars W | North Carolina Courage W | |
|---|---|---|
| 36% | Possession | 64% |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 260 | Passes | 475 |
| 67% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
Chicago Red Stars W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Naeher | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Camryn Biegalski | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| Sam Staab | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| T. Malham | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Jameese Joseph | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Nesbeth | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 6.5 |
| B. Franklin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| A. Schlegel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| K. Hendrich | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Maitane López | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| Nádia Gomes | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Julia Grosso sub | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Ludmila sub | 52 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| M. Hayashi sub | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Johnson sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Cook sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
North Carolina Courage W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Murphy | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| R. Williams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| K. Kurtz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Maycee Bell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Jackson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Koyama | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Manaka Matsukubo | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| A. Sanchez | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8.3 |
| T. Lussi | 71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| B. Pinto | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Aline Gomes | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Berkely sub | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Meredith Speck sub | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Jaedyn Shaw sub | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Chicago Red Stars W v North Carolina Courage W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-05-17 North Carolina Courage W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W
- 2024-09-29 Chicago Red Stars W 1–3 North Carolina Courage W
- 2024-06-23 North Carolina Courage W 3–1 Chicago Red Stars W
- 2023-08-27 North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Chicago Red Stars W
- 2023-06-11 Chicago Red Stars W 0–5 North Carolina Courage W
- 2022-08-20 North Carolina Courage W 4–0 Chicago Red Stars W
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Chicago Red Stars W v North Carolina Courage W?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Chicago Red Stars W v North Carolina Courage W was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Chicago Red Stars W and North Carolina Courage W?
- In their last 6 meetings, Chicago Red Stars W won 0, North Carolina Courage W won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Chicago Red Stars W and North Carolina Courage W?
- Recent form — Chicago Red Stars W 0W 4D 1L; North Carolina Courage W 2W 2D 1L.
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