Denver Summit W v Houston Dash W result
Team pages: Denver Summit W · Houston Dash W
The model’s pre-match pick
Denver Summit W 2–2 Houston Dash W — this NWSL Women match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Denver Summit W and Houston Dash W drew 2–2 at Centennial Stadium in NWSL Women on Monday 13 July. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Denver Summit W out-shot Houston Dash W 25 to 9 and created the better chances, 3.93 xG to 1.89 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
Denver Summit W led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Denver Summit W: Y. Ryan (14’, assisted by J. Sonis) and J. Sonis (45’ pen); Houston Dash W: K. Rader (15’, assisted by L. Ullmark) and L. Ullmark (48’, assisted by M. Graham).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Ullmark’s goal on 48 minutes.
What it changes
Houston Dash W are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Sonis (Denver Summit W) 10.1, L. Ullmark (Houston Dash W) 9.7 and Y. Ryan (Denver Summit W) 6.8 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Denver Summit W or Houston Dash W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).
Next up
Denver Summit W next host Racing Louisville W on 24 October 2026.
Houston Dash W next travel to Chicago Red Stars W on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Denver Summit W: Denver Summit W v Racing Louisville W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Houston Dash W: Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Denver Summit W 2–2 Houston Dash W · NWSL Women
- Venue: Centennial Stadium · Commerce City
- Referee: Muhammad Hassan, USA
- Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Denver Summit W 1 · draws 0 · Houston Dash W 0 · 5 goals/game
- Recent form: Denver Summit W 3W 0D 2L · Houston Dash W 1W 1D 3L
Denver Summit W 2–2 Houston Dash W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Denver Summit W for / against | Line | Houston Dash W for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 2.33 against n 6 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 2.17 for · 7.83 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.83 for · 7.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 6.43 for · 15 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.33 for · 3.33 against n 6 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.29 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.17 for · 7.67 against n 6 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 7.14 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1 for · 1.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.43 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: Muhammad Hassan, USA.
Denver Summit W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Thomas n 3 | 29 | 4.1 | 0 | — |
| A. Oke n 5 | 66.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 | — |
| E. Regan n 4 | 13.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | — |
| Y. Ryan n 8 | 83.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | — |
| N. Flint n 4 | 83 | 1.4 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Thomas n 3 | 29 | 3.1 | 1 |
| N. Means n 4 | 56 | 2 | 1.2 |
| Y. Ryan n 8 | 83.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| M. Kossler n 6 | 72.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| N. Flint n 4 | 83 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Ryan n 8 | 83.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| N. Flint n 4 | 83 | 0.5 | 0 |
| A. Brazier n 8 | 61.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| C. Pickett n 8 | 30.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| A. Oke n 5 | 66.6 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Regan n 4 | 13.8 | 6.5 |
| Y. McCormack n 4 | 25 | 2.7 |
| M. Reid n 8 | 70.5 | 2.2 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 25.8 | 1.7 |
| N. Flint n 4 | 83 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Smith n 8 | 85.1 | 3.3 |
Houston Dash W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Puntigam n 8 | 68.4 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| E. Ekic n 6 | 15.7 | 1.9 | 1 | — |
| K. van Zanten n 8 | 74.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | — |
| C. Larisey n 8 | 37.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| L. Ullmark n 7 | 71.9 | 1.3 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Schmidt n 8 | 19.9 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| K. Rader n 7 | 85.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| M. Bright n 8 | 44.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| K. van Zanten n 8 | 74.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| M. Graham n 7 | 84 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Schmidt n 8 | 19.9 | 1.1 | 0 |
| K. Faasse n 7 | 60.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| A. Chapman n 8 | 26.1 | 0 | 0.4 |
| K. Rader n 7 | 85.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| M. Graham n 7 | 84 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Schmidt n 8 | 19.9 | 3.4 |
| L. Boattin n 8 | 62.5 | 2.9 |
| E. Ekic n 6 | 15.7 | 2.9 |
| M. Berkely n 6 | 76.2 | 2.6 |
| D. Colaprico n 8 | 58.4 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Campbell n 8 | 81.6 | 4.4 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Denver Summit W | Houston Dash W | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | Possession | 43% |
| 3.93 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.89 |
| 25 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 12 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 14 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Saves | 8 |
| 455 | Passes | 358 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 75% |
Denver Summit W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Kurtz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Sonis | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| D. Lynch | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Y. Ryan | 90 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Sheehan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| A. Oke | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Brazier | 72 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| M. Reid | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| O. Thomas | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Regan | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Flint sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Eva Gaetino sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Kossler sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Y. McCormack sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Means sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Houston Dash W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Campbell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.9 |
| C. Hardin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Klenke | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Ullmark | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| D. Colaprico | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Graham | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| P. K. Nielsen | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Puntigam | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Rader | 72 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.7 |
| K. van Zanten | 59 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Boattin | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Chapman sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Faasse sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Schmidt sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Bright sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Berkely sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Denver Summit W v Houston Dash W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-10 Houston Dash W 1–4 Denver Summit W
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Denver Summit W v Houston Dash W?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Denver Summit W v Houston Dash W was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Denver Summit W and Houston Dash W?
- In their last 1 meetings, Denver Summit W won 1, Houston Dash W won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Denver Summit W and Houston Dash W?
- Recent form — Denver Summit W 3W 0D 2L; Houston Dash W 1W 1D 3L.
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