Denver Summit W v Houston Dash W result

Full-time · Denver Summit W 2–2 Houston Dash W

NWSL Women · · Centennial Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Denver Summit W 2–2 Houston Dash W — this NWSL Women match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Denver Summit W and Houston Dash W drew 2–2 at Centennial Stadium in NWSL Women on Monday 13 July. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Denver Summit W out-shot Houston Dash W 25 to 9 and created the better chances, 3.93 xG to 1.89 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Denver Summit W led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Denver Summit W: Y. Ryan (14’, assisted by J. Sonis) and J. Sonis (45’ pen); Houston Dash W: K. Rader (15’, assisted by L. Ullmark) and L. Ullmark (48’, assisted by M. Graham).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Ullmark’s goal on 48 minutes.

What it changes

Houston Dash W are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Sonis (Denver Summit W) 10.1, L. Ullmark (Houston Dash W) 9.7 and Y. Ryan (Denver Summit W) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Denver Summit W or Houston Dash W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Denver Summit W next host Racing Louisville W on 24 October 2026.

Houston Dash W next travel to Chicago Red Stars W on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Denver Summit W: Denver Summit W v Racing Louisville W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Houston Dash W: Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Denver Summit W 2–2 Houston Dash W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: Centennial Stadium · Commerce City
  • Referee: Muhammad Hassan, USA
  • Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Denver Summit W 1 · draws 0 · Houston Dash W 0 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Denver Summit W 3W 0D 2L · Houston Dash W 1W 1D 3L

Denver Summit W 2–2 Houston Dash W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5 / 2.17
Corners
against 2.33 / 7.83 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.33 / 3.29
Shots on target
against 3.33 / 5.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1 / 1.43
Cards
against 1.17 / 1.29 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
232
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDenver Summit W for / againstLineHouston Dash W for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 2.33 against n 6
9.5standard
2.17 for · 7.83 against n 6
Shots
11.83 for · 7.17 against n 6
19.5standard
6.43 for · 15 against n 7
Shots on target
4.33 for · 3.33 against n 6
8.5standard
3.29 for · 5.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.17 for · 7.67 against n 6
21.5standard
7.14 for · 10 against n 7
Cards shown
1 for · 1.17 against n 6
3.5standard
1.43 for · 1.29 against n 7

Referee: Muhammad Hassan, USA.

Denver Summit W
Denver Summit W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Thomas n 329
4.12/2
00/0
—
A. Oke n 566.6
1.94/2
1.64/2
—
E. Regan n 413.8
1.61/0
1.61/0
—
Y. Ryan n 883.3
1.47/2
1.56/3
—
N. Flint n 483
1.43/1
1.64/2
—
Denver Summit W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Thomas n 329
3.11/1
11/0
N. Means n 456
23/2
1.23/0
Y. Ryan n 883.3
1.88/3
0.53/1
M. Kossler n 672.7
1.76/2
0.84/0
N. Flint n 483
1.64/2
0.82/1
Denver Summit W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Ryan n 883.3
0.11/0
0.53/1
N. Flint n 483
0.52/0
00/0
A. Brazier n 861.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Pickett n 830.5
0.41/0
00/0
A. Oke n 566.6
00/0
0.31/0
Denver Summit W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Regan n 413.8
6.53/1
Y. McCormack n 425
2.73/0
M. Reid n 870.5
2.27/3
Lucas Pasquoto n 825.8
1.73/1
N. Flint n 483
1.43/2
Denver Summit W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Smith n 885.1
3.36/4
Houston Dash W
Houston Dash W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Puntigam n 868.4
27/4
0.74/0
—
E. Ekic n 615.7
1.92/0
11/0
—
K. van Zanten n 874.8
1.74/4
1.56/4
—
C. Larisey n 837.1
1.55/0
0.93/0
—
L. Ullmark n 771.9
1.35/2
1.86/2
—
Houston Dash W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Schmidt n 819.9
3.45/1
1.12/0
K. Rader n 785.1
2.17/4
1.56/4
M. Bright n 844.3
1.34/1
0.52/0
K. van Zanten n 874.8
1.14/2
0.32/0
M. Graham n 784
0.64/0
0.53/0
Houston Dash W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Schmidt n 819.9
1.12/0
00/0
K. Faasse n 760.9
0.21/0
0.42/0
A. Chapman n 826.1
00/0
0.41/0
K. Rader n 785.1
0.32/0
00/0
M. Graham n 784
0.32/0
00/0
Houston Dash W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Schmidt n 819.9
3.44/1
L. Boattin n 862.5
2.97/4
E. Ekic n 615.7
2.92/1
M. Berkely n 676.2
2.65/3
D. Colaprico n 858.4
2.36/4
Houston Dash W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Campbell n 881.6
4.48/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Denver Summit WHouston Dash W
57%Possession43%
3.93Expected goals (xG)1.89
25Shots9
10Shots on target5
12Shots off target3
3Blocked shots1
14Shots inside the box6
6Corners1
2Offsides2
10Fouls12
3Saves8
455Passes358
87%Pass accuracy75%

Denver Summit W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Smith9000000006.6
K. Kurtz9000002106.7
J. Sonis9011314108
D. Lynch9000200306.3
Y. Ryan9010523107.3
D. Sheehan9000112207.7
A. Oke7200003106.9
A. Brazier7200312207.5
M. Reid6300000106.6
O. Thomas6300110006.2
E. Regan6200110106.3
N. Flint sub2800110006.9
Eva Gaetino sub2700100207.2
M. Kossler sub2700322006.6
Y. McCormack sub1800100006.9
N. Means sub1800001006.6

Houston Dash W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Campbell9000000008.9
C. Hardin9000001206.2
L. Klenke9000001106.7
L. Ullmark9011322207.9
D. Colaprico9000001306.9
M. Graham9001004206.9
P. K. Nielsen8500000106.3
S. Puntigam7200000106.7
K. Rader7210220307.7
K. van Zanten5900210106.2
L. Boattin4500000006.3
A. Chapman sub4500000006.9
K. Faasse sub3100100006.2
S. Schmidt sub1800000106.6
M. Bright sub1800000206.7
M. Berkely sub1000000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Denver Summit W v Houston Dash W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Denver Summit WWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Houston Dash WLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Denver Summit W 1 · 0 draws · Houston Dash W 0 · 5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 Houston Dash W 1–4 Denver Summit W
League standing · 2026
Denver Summit W#10 pos38 pts28 pl+7 GD
Houston Dash W#13 pos30 pts28 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Denver Summit W scored1.68
Houston Dash W scored1.25
Denver Summit W conceded1.43
Houston Dash W conceded1.46

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Denver Summit W v Houston Dash W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Denver Summit W v Houston Dash W was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Denver Summit W and Houston Dash W?
In their last 1 meetings, Denver Summit W won 1, Houston Dash W won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Denver Summit W and Houston Dash W?
Recent form — Denver Summit W 3W 0D 2L; Houston Dash W 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 232 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →