Houston Dash W v North Carolina Courage W result

Full-time · Houston Dash W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W

NWSL Women · Sat, 09 Aug 2025 01:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Houston Dash W · North Carolina Courage W · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Houston Dash W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W — Houston Dash W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Houston Dash W beat North Carolina Courage W 2–1 in NWSL Women on Saturday 9 August.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — North Carolina Courage W: R. Jackson (32’ pen); Houston Dash W: K. van Zanten (39’, assisted by M. Graham) and S. Schmidt (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Schmidt’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Houston Dash W 0.00, North Carolina Courage W 0.00, from 7 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Houston Dash W: M. Bright (77’); North Carolina Courage W: K. Kurtz (72’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Jackson (North Carolina Courage W) 9.8, D. O'Sullivan (North Carolina Courage W) 7.7 and Avery Patterson (Houston Dash W) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Houston Dash W next travel to Chicago Red Stars W on 24 October 2026.

North Carolina Courage W next travel to Portland Thorns W on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Houston Dash W: Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for North Carolina Courage W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Houston Dash W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W · NWSL Women
Referee: Shawn Tehini
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Houston Dash W 2 · draws 0 · North Carolina Courage W 4 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Houston Dash W 0W 2D 3L · North Carolina Courage W 2W 1D 2L

Houston Dash W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.5

Goals

against 2 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3 / 4

Corners

against 5.38 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3 / 5.5

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 1

Cards

against 1.25 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Houston Dash W for / against	Line	North Carolina Courage W for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	8.25 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.63 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Shawn Tehini.

Houston Dash W

Houston Dash W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Puntigam n 5	21.8	2.5 1/1	0 0/0	—
B. Olivieri n 8	63.5	2.3 7/6	0.9 4/1	—
M. Alozie n 8	31	1.8 2/2	2.2 5/1	—
E. Duljan n 8	34	1.7 4/1	2.3 4/2	—
Avery Patterson n 8	84.4	1.3 7/2	1.5 7/2	—

Houston Dash W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. van Zanten n 5	37.8	1.9 3/1	1 2/0
Y. Ryan n 8	84.8	1.5 7/2	0.9 5/2
M. Bright n 8	45	1.5 6/0	0.5 2/0
B. Olivieri n 8	63.5	1.4 4/3	0.7 4/0
Avery Patterson n 8	84.4	1.3 5/2	0.9 3/2

Houston Dash W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Olivieri n 8	63.5	0.2 1/0	0.4 1/1
Avery Patterson n 8	84.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
K. van Zanten n 5	37.8	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
M. Graham n 8	66.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
R. Gareis n 8	71.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0

Houston Dash W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. van Zanten n 5	37.8	5.7 5/4
S. Puntigam n 5	21.8	3.3 4/0
E. Duljan n 8	34	3 7/2
S. Schmidt n 6	47	2.6 3/3
Avery Patterson n 8	84.4	2.3 6/5

Houston Dash W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Smith n 6	83	3.8 4/4
J. Campbell n 8	90	3.5 8/6

North Carolina Courage W

North Carolina Courage W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Betfort n 8	33.5	2.7 5/2	1.7 5/0	—
B. Pinto n 8	22.6	2.5 4/1	0 0/0	—
F. Rauch n 8	69.9	1.8 6/3	0 0/0	—
D. O'Sullivan n 8	83	1.4 5/4	1.1 7/1	—
T. Lussi n 8	41.4	1.4 3/2	1.4 3/1	—

North Carolina Courage W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Lussi n 8	41.4	3 6/2	1.6 5/1
Manaka Matsukubo n 8	80.1	2.9 7/7	2.1 7/3
A. Sanchez n 8	49.1	2.1 5/3	1.1 3/1
Jaedyn Shaw n 8	43.5	2.1 6/2	1.6 5/1
B. Pinto n 8	22.6	1.5 3/0	1.5 3/0

North Carolina Courage W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Manaka Matsukubo n 8	80.1	0.6 3/1	0.4 3/0
B. Pinto n 8	22.6	1 2/0	0 0/0
Aline Gomes n 6	22	0.7 1/0	0 0/0
Jaedyn Shaw n 8	43.5	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Meredith Speck n 8	37.1	0 0/0	0.6 2/0

North Carolina Courage W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. O'Sullivan n 8	83	4.5 7/7
T. Lussi n 8	41.4	3.3 5/2
Jaedyn Shaw n 8	43.5	2.6 7/2
R. Jackson n 8	72.8	2.3 7/5
S. Koyama n 8	47.8	2.1 6/2

North Carolina Courage W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Casey Murphy n 8	83	2 5/1

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Houston Dash W		North Carolina Courage W
43%	Possession	57%
7	Shots	13
2	Shots on target	4
3	Shots off target	3
2	Blocked shots	6
4	Shots inside the box	9
2	Corners	5
1	Offsides	3
13	Fouls	9
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	0
323	Passes	430
74%	Pass accuracy	79%

Houston Dash W player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Campbell	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Avery Patterson	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.3
N. Jacobs	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
P. K. Nielsen	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
D. Colaprico	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Graham	90	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
Y. Ryan	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7.3
A. Chapman	82	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
D. Sheehan	71	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.3
K. van Zanten	71	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.6
E. Duljan	63	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
M. Bright sub	28	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.3
S. Puntigam sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Alozie sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
S. Schmidt sub	9	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.7

North Carolina Courage W player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Casey Murphy	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Maycee Bell	90	0	1	1	0	4	0	7.3
K. Kurtz	90	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.7
R. Williams	90	0	1	0	1	3	0	6.9
D. O'Sullivan	90	0	0	0	0	6	0	7.9
Manaka Matsukubo	90	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.2
R. Jackson	89	1	1	1	3	2	0	7.9
M. Berkely	74	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
T. Lussi	65	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.7
Jaedyn Shaw	65	0	1	0	2	1	0	7.3
H. Betfort	65	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
F. Rauch sub	26	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
A. Sanchez sub	26	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7
B. Pinto sub	26	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Aline Gomes sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
C. Vine sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Houston Dash W v North Carolina Courage W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Houston Dash WDLLLD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

North Carolina Courage WLLWWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Houston Dash W 2 · 0 draws · North Carolina Courage W 4 · 3.5 goals/game

2025-06-21 North Carolina Courage W 2–1 Houston Dash W
2024-05-25 Houston Dash W 3–0 North Carolina Courage W
2024-03-16 North Carolina Courage W 5–1 Houston Dash W
2023-07-01 North Carolina Courage W 1–0 Houston Dash W
2023-04-29 Houston Dash W 0–1 North Carolina Courage W
2022-06-19 North Carolina Courage W 3–4 Houston Dash W

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Houston Dash W#10 pos30 pts26 pl-12 GD

North Carolina Courage W#9 pos35 pts26 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Houston Dash W scored1.04

North Carolina Courage W scored1.42

Houston Dash W conceded1.5

North Carolina Courage W conceded1.5

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Houston Dash W v North Carolina Courage W?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Houston Dash W v North Carolina Courage W was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Houston Dash W and North Carolina Courage W?: In their last 6 meetings, Houston Dash W won 2, North Carolina Courage W won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Houston Dash W and North Carolina Courage W?: Recent form — Houston Dash W 0W 2D 3L; North Carolina Courage W 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.