Portland Thorns W v Houston Dash W result

Full-time · Portland Thorns W 1–1 Houston Dash W

NWSL Women · · Providence Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Portland Thorns W 1–1 Houston Dash W — this NWSL Women match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.18 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4599 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portland Thorns W and Houston Dash W drew 1–1 at Providence Park in NWSL Women on Sunday 27 September. Portland Thorns W have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Houston Dash W led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Houston Dash W: K. Rader (10’, assisted by K. Faasse); Portland Thorns W: Marie Müller (85’, assisted by Sophia Wilson).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marie Müller’s goal on 85 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Portland Thorns W: Marie Müller (77’); Houston Dash W: K. van Zanten (39’).

What it changes

Portland Thorns W are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sophia Wilson (Portland Thorns W) 8.4, Marie Müller (Portland Thorns W) 4.8 and J. Campbell (Houston Dash W) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Portland Thorns W or Houston Dash W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3559 of 4599).

Next up

Portland Thorns W next host North Carolina Courage W on 24 October 2026.

Houston Dash W next travel to Chicago Red Stars W on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portland Thorns W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Houston Dash W: Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Portland Thorns W 1–1 Houston Dash W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: Providence Park · Portland, Oregon
  • Referee: Trevor Wiseman
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Portland Thorns W 4 · draws 1 · Houston Dash W 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portland Thorns W 2W 2D 1L · Houston Dash W 1W 0D 4L

Portland Thorns W 1–1 Houston Dash W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
3.25 / 3.63
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 5.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePortland Thorns W for / againstLineHouston Dash W for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.75our book
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 17.63 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 8.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: Trevor Wiseman.

Portland Thorns W
Portland Thorns W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Nijstad n 579.4
2.95/3
1.14/1
—
M. Mckenzie n 533.6
2.74/1
1.63/0
—
Cassandra Bogere n 846.3
2.45/3
0.51/1
—
N. Nijstad n 588.2
2.24/3
1.44/3
S. Puntigam
Mallie McKenzie n 822
1.53/0
00/0
—
Portland Thorns W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sophia Wilson n 885.5
4.58/8
2.88/8
Pietra Tordin n 884.6
2.57/4
1.14/3
Morgan Weaver n 730.3
2.54/2
1.32/1
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Shae Harvey n 410.5
2.11/0
2.11/0
Portland Thorns W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sophia Wilson n 885.5
0.86/0
0.31/1
Pietra Tordin n 884.6
0.41/1
0.32/0
M. Mckenzie n 533.6
0.51/0
00/0
Olivia Moultrie n 868.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Morgan Weaver n 730.3
0.41/0
00/0
Portland Thorns W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cassandra Bogere n 846.3
3.65/5
Mallie McKenzie n 822
3.14/1
Jessie Fleming n 885.5
2.97/4
Mary Alice Vignola n 878.1
2.98/8
N. Nijstad n 588.2
2.45/4
Portland Thorns W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Mackenzie Arnold n 885.5
3.37/6
Houston Dash W
Houston Dash W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Larisey n 832
2.85/2
0.41/0
—
K. van Zanten n 854.3
2.17/3
1.56/1
—
S. Puntigam n 867.1
27/4
15/1
N. Nijstad
N. M. Bain n 655.3
1.94/1
1.93/3
—
S. Puntigam n 843.3
1.64/1
00/0
—
Houston Dash W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Rader n 871.5
2.57/4
1.44/4
S. Schmidt n 825.9
1.73/1
1.33/0
L. Ullmark n 861.8
1.64/3
0.93/1
K. van Zanten n 854.3
1.54/3
13/2
K. Faasse n 855.1
1.44/2
14/1
Houston Dash W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Khyah Harper n 825.4
00/0
0.92/0
K. Rader n 871.5
0.52/1
00/0
L. Ullmark n 861.8
0.42/0
00/0
K. Faasse n 855.1
0.42/0
00/0
K. van Zanten n 854.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Houston Dash W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. van Zanten n 854.3
2.98/5
Avery Patterson n 877.4
2.86/6
M. Berkely n 848
2.85/3
C. Hardin n 849.4
2.77/5
D. Colaprico n 873.8
2.66/6
Houston Dash W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Campbell n 877.4
4.87/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Portland Thorns WHouston Dash W
55%Possession45%
20Shots6
5Shots on target2
8Shots off target4
7Blocked shots0
11Shots inside the box3
9Corners1
1Offsides0
9Fouls15
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves4
346Passes287

Portland Thorns W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Mackenzie Arnold9000000006.3
Reyna Reyes9000100106.4
Jayden Perry9000000006.9
N. Nijstad9000003106.5
Jessie Fleming9000103306.4
Pietra Tordin9000203206
Caiya Hanks9000401006.1
Sophia Wilson9001722207.7
Mary Alice Vignola4600210106.6
Morgan Weaver4600101106.2
Reilyn Turner4400110006.7
Marie Müller44101111Y7.7

Houston Dash W player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Campbell9000000007.1
Avery Patterson9000000206.7
P. K. Nielsen9000000306.9
L. Klenke9000000106.4
L. Boattin9000001006.4
M. Graham9000000306
S. Puntigam9000000106.8
K. Rader7910211007.9
M. Ivanović6400000106.3
K. Faasse6301101107
K. van Zanten56001003Y6.6
L. Ullmark3400110006.5
C. Larisey2700000006.5
Khyah Harper2600101006.7
S. Schmidt1100000006.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Portland Thorns W v Houston Dash W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Portland Thorns WWDLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Houston Dash WLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Portland Thorns W 4 · 1 draw · Houston Dash W 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-11-02 Portland Thorns W 2–0 Houston Dash W
  • 2025-05-17 Houston Dash W 1–4 Portland Thorns W
  • 2024-05-18 Houston Dash W 0–2 Portland Thorns W
  • 2024-04-21 Portland Thorns W 4–1 Houston Dash W
  • 2023-05-13 Houston Dash W 2–1 Portland Thorns W
  • 2023-04-15 Portland Thorns W 1–1 Houston Dash W
League standing · 2026
Portland Thorns W#7 pos44 pts28 pl+6 GD
Houston Dash W#13 pos30 pts28 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Portland Thorns W scored1.68
Houston Dash W scored1.25
Portland Thorns W conceded1.46
Houston Dash W conceded1.46

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Portland Thorns W v Houston Dash W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portland Thorns W v Houston Dash W was Home or Away (best price 1.18 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Portland Thorns W and Houston Dash W?
In their last 6 meetings, Portland Thorns W won 4, Houston Dash W won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portland Thorns W and Houston Dash W?
Recent form — Portland Thorns W 2W 2D 1L; Houston Dash W 1W 0D 4L.

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