Portland Thorns W v Houston Dash W result
Team pages: Portland Thorns W · Houston Dash W · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Portland Thorns W 1–1 Houston Dash W — this NWSL Women match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Portland Thorns W and Houston Dash W drew 1–1 at Providence Park in NWSL Women on Sunday 27 September. Portland Thorns W have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Houston Dash W led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Houston Dash W: K. Rader (10’, assisted by K. Faasse); Portland Thorns W: Marie Müller (85’, assisted by Sophia Wilson).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marie Müller’s goal on 85 minutes.
Discipline
The bookings — Portland Thorns W: Marie Müller (77’); Houston Dash W: K. van Zanten (39’).
What it changes
Portland Thorns W are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sophia Wilson (Portland Thorns W) 8.4, Marie Müller (Portland Thorns W) 4.8 and J. Campbell (Houston Dash W) 4.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Portland Thorns W or Houston Dash W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3559 of 4599).
Next up
Portland Thorns W next host North Carolina Courage W on 24 October 2026.
Houston Dash W next travel to Chicago Red Stars W on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Portland Thorns W: Portland Thorns W v North Carolina Courage W, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Houston Dash W: Chicago Red Stars W v Houston Dash W, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Portland Thorns W 1–1 Houston Dash W · NWSL Women
- Venue: Providence Park · Portland, Oregon
- Referee: Trevor Wiseman
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Portland Thorns W 4 · draws 1 · Houston Dash W 1 · 3.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Portland Thorns W 2W 2D 1L · Houston Dash W 1W 0D 4L
Portland Thorns W 1–1 Houston Dash W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Portland Thorns W for / against | Line | Houston Dash W for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.75our book | 1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.75 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11 for · 17.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.13 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.25 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Trevor Wiseman.
Portland Thorns W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Nijstad n 5 | 79.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | — |
| M. Mckenzie n 5 | 33.6 | 2.7 | 1.6 | — |
| Cassandra Bogere n 8 | 46.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | — |
| N. Nijstad n 5 | 88.2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | S. Puntigam |
| Mallie McKenzie n 8 | 22 | 1.5 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Wilson n 8 | 85.5 | 4.5 | 2.8 |
| Pietra Tordin n 8 | 84.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Morgan Weaver n 7 | 30.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Shae Harvey n 4 | 10.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Wilson n 8 | 85.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Pietra Tordin n 8 | 84.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| M. Mckenzie n 5 | 33.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Olivia Moultrie n 8 | 68.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Morgan Weaver n 7 | 30.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Cassandra Bogere n 8 | 46.3 | 3.6 |
| Mallie McKenzie n 8 | 22 | 3.1 |
| Jessie Fleming n 8 | 85.5 | 2.9 |
| Mary Alice Vignola n 8 | 78.1 | 2.9 |
| N. Nijstad n 5 | 88.2 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Arnold n 8 | 85.5 | 3.3 |
Houston Dash W
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Larisey n 8 | 32 | 2.8 | 0.4 | — |
| K. van Zanten n 8 | 54.3 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| S. Puntigam n 8 | 67.1 | 2 | 1 | N. Nijstad |
| N. M. Bain n 6 | 55.3 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| S. Puntigam n 8 | 43.3 | 1.6 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Rader n 8 | 71.5 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| S. Schmidt n 8 | 25.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| L. Ullmark n 8 | 61.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| K. van Zanten n 8 | 54.3 | 1.5 | 1 |
| K. Faasse n 8 | 55.1 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Khyah Harper n 8 | 25.4 | 0 | 0.9 |
| K. Rader n 8 | 71.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| L. Ullmark n 8 | 61.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| K. Faasse n 8 | 55.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| K. van Zanten n 8 | 54.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. van Zanten n 8 | 54.3 | 2.9 |
| Avery Patterson n 8 | 77.4 | 2.8 |
| M. Berkely n 8 | 48 | 2.8 |
| C. Hardin n 8 | 49.4 | 2.7 |
| D. Colaprico n 8 | 73.8 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Campbell n 8 | 77.4 | 4.8 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Portland Thorns W | Houston Dash W | |
|---|---|---|
| 55% | Possession | 45% |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 346 | Passes | 287 |
Portland Thorns W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Arnold | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Reyna Reyes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Jayden Perry | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Nijstad | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Jessie Fleming | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Pietra Tordin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Caiya Hanks | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Sophia Wilson | 90 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Mary Alice Vignola | 46 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Morgan Weaver | 46 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Reilyn Turner | 44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Marie Müller | 44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Y | 7.7 |
Houston Dash W player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Campbell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 |
| Avery Patterson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| P. K. Nielsen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Klenke | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| L. Boattin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| M. Graham | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| S. Puntigam | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| K. Rader | 79 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| M. IvanoviÄ | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Faasse | 63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| K. van Zanten | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.6 |
| L. Ullmark | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| C. Larisey | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Khyah Harper | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Schmidt | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Portland Thorns W v Houston Dash W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-11-02 Portland Thorns W 2–0 Houston Dash W
- 2025-05-17 Houston Dash W 1–4 Portland Thorns W
- 2024-05-18 Houston Dash W 0–2 Portland Thorns W
- 2024-04-21 Portland Thorns W 4–1 Houston Dash W
- 2023-05-13 Houston Dash W 2–1 Portland Thorns W
- 2023-04-15 Portland Thorns W 1–1 Houston Dash W
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Portland Thorns W v Houston Dash W?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Portland Thorns W v Houston Dash W was Home or Away (best price 1.18 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between Portland Thorns W and Houston Dash W?
- In their last 6 meetings, Portland Thorns W won 4, Houston Dash W won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Portland Thorns W and Houston Dash W?
- Recent form — Portland Thorns W 2W 2D 1L; Houston Dash W 1W 0D 4L.
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