Racing Louisville W v Kansas City W prediction

NWSL Women · · Lynn Family Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Racing Louisville W · Kansas City W · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Racing Louisville W v Kansas City W, NWSL Women on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 22:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Racing Louisville W host Kansas City W in NWSL Women on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 22:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Racing Louisville W’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Racing Louisville W are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. Kansas City W have won their last four matches in all competitions. Kansas City W are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Racing Louisville W.

Form and the table

11 of Racing Louisville W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). At home, Racing Louisville W have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.43. Racing Louisville W have scored 38 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Racing Louisville W have conceded 60 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs.

Nine of Kansas City W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 12 of Kansas City W’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Kansas City W have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.17. Kansas City W have scored 52 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Kansas City W have conceded 39 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Racing Louisville W (15th) and Kansas City W (fourth) are 26 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kansas City W the stronger side, 426 rating points above Racing Louisville W (Kansas City W 1709, Racing Louisville W 1283, after at least 150 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 30 July 2026, finished Kansas City W 5–1 Racing Louisville W.

Team news

Predicted Racing Louisville W XI (3-4-1-2): J. Bloomer, A. Wright, M. Gacioch, C. Petersen, L. Milliet, K. O'Kane, M. Hodge, M. Morris, M. Blackburn, S. Weber, K. Fischer — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Flint (6.2 per match over 12 appearances, two goals) and L. Milliet (3.4 per match over 21 appearances, three goals and four assists) have been Racing Louisville W’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Racing Louisville W (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Flint averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 1013 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. L. Milliet averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1614 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Kansas City W XI (4-2-3-1): Lorena, K. Sharples, I. Rodriguez, L. Rouse, G. Robinson, L. LaBonta, M. Cooper, T. Chawinga, V. DiBernardo, D. de Oliveira, H. Hopkins — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Temwa Chawinga (6.8 per match over eight appearances, eight goals and one assist) and Croix Bethune (6.1 per match over 18 appearances, two goals and nine assists) have been Kansas City W’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Kansas City W (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Temwa Chawinga averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 586 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances. Croix Bethune averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1369 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · NWSL Women · Lynn Family Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Racing Louisville W 1 · draws 1 · Kansas City W 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Racing Louisville W 0W 1D 4L · Kansas City W 4W 0D 1L

Racing Louisville W v Kansas City W (NWSL Women): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2.5
Goals
against 2.5 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 7.13
Corners
against 5.75 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 6
Shots on target
against 6.38 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 0.88
Cards
against 0.75 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRacing Louisville W for / againstLineKansas City W for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5our book
2.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
9.63 for · 17.88 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
2.25 for · 6.38 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
7.38 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5standard
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8

Racing Louisville W

Racing Louisville W Goalkeeper

Racing Louisville W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bloomer19781490 min724.3 /90251.5 /9000 /90
M. Prohaska384253 min62.1 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Racing Louisville W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Louisville W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bloomer n 878.3
57/7
M. Prohaska n 384.3
2.13/0

Racing Louisville W Defensive

Racing Louisville W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Wright19821563 min100.6 /90261.5 /90221.3 /90392.2 /9030.2 /9010.1 /90
Q. McMahon19641216 min241.8 /90191.4 /9050.4 /90463.4 /9080.6 /9030.2 /90
E. Jean1566992 min141.3 /9070.6 /9050.5 /90282.5 /9030.3 /9000 /90
C. Petersen13791032 min111 /90111 /9020.2 /90191.7 /9070.6 /9000 /90
M. Gacioch1278938 min121.2 /9080.8 /90111.1 /90302.9 /90101 /9000 /90
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Racing Louisville W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Louisville W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Milliet n 872.4
0.21/0
1.66/2
—
K. O'Kane n 867.9
0.52/1
1.75/3
—
K. Fischer n 862
2.55/5
0.52/1
—
A. Wright n 881.9
0.32/0
0.43/0
—
J. Bloomer n 878.3
00/0
0.31/1
—
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Racing Louisville W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Louisville W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Milliet n 872.4
1.94/3
K. O'Kane n 867.9
2.36/4
K. Fischer n 862
0.74/0
A. Wright n 881.9
0.54/0
E. Sears n 858.6
1.24/2
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Racing Louisville W Attacking

Racing Louisville W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Fischer21661379 min50.3 /9030.2 /90291.9 /90120.8 /90161 /90181.2 /90
E. Sears19701324 min20.1 /9030.2 /90221.5 /90141 /90211.4 /90110.7 /90
S. Weber1368887 min20.2 /9000 /90161.6 /9070.7 /9070.7 /9060.6 /90
Maja Lardner1135386 min20.5 /9000 /9092.1 /9040.9 /9030.7 /9040.9 /90
A. McKeen1041413 min10.2 /9000 /90112.4 /9010.2 /9081.7 /9020.4 /90
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Racing Louisville W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Louisville W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Milliet n 872.4
0.64/0
0.21/0
K. O'Kane n 867.9
13/1
0.32/0
K. Fischer n 862
25/4
0.73/1
A. Wright n 881.9
0.43/0
0.32/0
J. Bloomer n 878.3
00/0
00/0
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Racing Louisville W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Louisville W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Milliet n 872.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
K. O'Kane n 867.9
0.21/0
00/0
K. Fischer n 862
0.42/0
0.21/0
A. Wright n 881.9
00/0
0.11/0
J. Bloomer n 878.3
00/0
00/0
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Kansas City W

Kansas City W Goalkeeper

Kansas City W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Marisa Bova890722 min243 /90121.5 /9000 /90
Lorena784587 min182.8 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Lorena692550 min223.6 /9071.1 /9000 /90
M. Jordan19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Kansas City W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kansas City W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Marisa Bova n 890.3
36/4
Lorena n 884.6
2.77/4
Lorena n 691.7
3.66/5

Kansas City W Defensive

Kansas City W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Isabel Rodriguez22851865 min462.2 /90211 /9070.3 /90753.6 /90150.7 /9010 /90
Gabrielle Robinson15851270 min151.1 /90241.7 /9080.6 /90433 /9010.1 /9010.1 /90
E. Ball14811140 min131 /90221.7 /9060.5 /90322.5 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
Laney Rouse14781096 min393.2 /90252.1 /9030.2 /90736 /90181.5 /9010.1 /90
Kayla Sharples1086861 min60.6 /9050.5 /90101 /90192 /9060.6 /9010.1 /90
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Kansas City W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kansas City W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Isabel Rodriguez n 884.6
0.75/0
0.32/0
—
Lo’eau LaBonta n 881.4
0.43/0
1.24/4
—
Haley Hopkins n 883.4
0.95/2
0.73/2
—
Croix Bethune n 867.6
1.24/2
2.38/3
—
Michelle Ivory Cooper n 878.6
1.96/5
1.17/1
—
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Kansas City W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kansas City W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Isabel Rodriguez n 884.6
2.47/6
Lo’eau LaBonta n 881.4
1.46/4
Haley Hopkins n 883.4
1.36/3
Croix Bethune n 867.6
2.57/4
Michelle Ivory Cooper n 878.6
1.13/2
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Kansas City W Attacking

Kansas City W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Haley Hopkins20691378 min90.6 /9040.3 /90372.4 /90191.2 /90130.8 /9090.6 /90
Amelia White1242500 min20.4 /9010.2 /90112 /9061.1 /9050.9 /9071.3 /90
Ally Sentnor679473 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.5 /9010.2 /9091.7 /9061.1 /90
P. Hocking624141 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /90
G. Paul432127 min00 /9000 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Kansas City W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kansas City W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Isabel Rodriguez n 884.6
0.43/0
0.43/0
Lo’eau LaBonta n 881.4
15/2
0.11/0
Haley Hopkins n 883.4
3.16/5
1.66/3
Croix Bethune n 867.6
1.57/2
16/0
Michelle Ivory Cooper n 878.6
2.67/5
0.43/0
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Kansas City W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kansas City W before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Isabel Rodriguez n 884.6
0.11/0
00/0
Lo’eau LaBonta n 881.4
0.11/0
00/0
Haley Hopkins n 883.4
0.83/2
0.42/1
Croix Bethune n 867.6
0.21/0
0.85/0
Michelle Ivory Cooper n 878.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Racing Louisville W v Kansas City W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Racing Louisville WLLDLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Kansas City WLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Racing Louisville W 1 · 1 draw · Kansas City W 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-07-30 Kansas City W 5–1 Racing Louisville W
  • 2025-08-02 Racing Louisville W 0–2 Kansas City W
  • 2025-06-14 Kansas City W 4–2 Racing Louisville W
  • 2024-10-05 Racing Louisville W 0–2 Kansas City W
  • 2024-05-19 Kansas City W 3–3 Racing Louisville W
  • 2023-07-08 Racing Louisville W 2–1 Kansas City W
League standing · 2026
Racing Louisville W#15 pos24 pts29 pl-22 GD
Kansas City W#4 pos50 pts29 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Racing Louisville W scored1.31
Kansas City W scored1.79
Racing Louisville W conceded2.07
Kansas City W conceded1.34

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Racing Louisville W v Kansas City W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Racing Louisville W v Kansas City W is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Racing Louisville W and Kansas City W?
In their last 6 meetings, Racing Louisville W won 1, Kansas City W won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Racing Louisville W and Kansas City W?
Recent form — Racing Louisville W 0W 1D 4L; Kansas City W 4W 0D 1L.

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