Seattle Reign FC WSan Diego Wave W

Seattle Reign FC W v San Diego Wave W result

Full-time · Seattle Reign FC W 1–0 San Diego Wave W

NWSL Women · · Lumen Field

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Seattle Reign FC W · San Diego Wave W · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Seattle Reign FC W 1–0 San Diego Wave W — Seattle Reign FC W won this NWSL Women match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.22 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5262 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Seattle Reign FC W beat San Diego Wave W 1–0 at Lumen Field in the NWSL Women on Monday 7 September. Seattle Reign FC W have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Seattle Reign FC W led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Seattle Reign FC W: Maddie Mercado (29’, assisted by Maddie Dahlien). A. D. Van Zanten (13’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Maddie Mercado’s goal on 29 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Seattle Reign FC W 0.00, San Diego Wave W 0.00, from 9 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Abdou Ndiaye, USA showed two yellow cards and one red — against 1.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Seattle Reign FC W: Jordyn Bugg (59’) and P. McClernon (90+1’).

What it changes

Seattle Reign FC W have scored 27 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 22 games, ranked per game). Seattle Reign FC W have conceded 26 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 16 clubs.

San Diego Wave W have scored 32 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 23 games, ranked per game). San Diego Wave W have conceded 26 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Seattle Reign FC W are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Maddie Mercado (Seattle Reign FC W) 8.0, P. Morroni (San Diego Wave W) 5.8 and C. Dickey (Seattle Reign FC W) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Seattle Reign FC W are unbeaten in the last four meetings with San Diego Wave W.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Seattle Reign FC W or San Diego Wave W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4095 of 5262).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Seattle Reign FC W 1–0 San Diego Wave W · NWSL Women
  • Venue: Lumen Field · Seattle
  • Referee: Abdou Ndiaye, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Seattle Reign FC W 4 · draws 1 · San Diego Wave W 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Seattle Reign FC W 2W 2D 1L · San Diego Wave W 3W 1D 1L

Seattle Reign FC W 1–0 San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.71 / 5.63
Corners
against 3.86 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.43 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 3.71 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.71 / 1.25
Cards
against 1 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
1 yellows
Referee · Abdou Ndiaye, USA
16.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSeattle Reign FC W for / againstLineSan Diego Wave W for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.71 for · 3.86 against n 7
9.5standard
5.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
14.14 for · 12.43 against n 7
19.5standard
15.88 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.43 for · 3.71 against n 7
8.5standard
6.25 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.29 for · 8.71 against n 7
21.5standard
11.13 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.71 for · 1 against n 7
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: Abdou Ndiaye, USA — 1 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 16.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Seattle Reign FC W

Seattle Reign FC W Goalkeeper

Seattle Reign FC W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Dickey1075745 min222.7 /90101.2 /9000 /90
Cassie Miller19090 min88 /9000 /9000 /90
Seattle Reign FC W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Reign FC W before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Dickey n 876.1
3.14/3

Seattle Reign FC W Defensive

Seattle Reign FC W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. McClernon1176835 min141.5 /9091 /9080.9 /90293.1 /90121.3 /9010.1 /90
S. Huerta1175826 min80.9 /9091 /9000 /90283.1 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
Jordyn Bugg1070698 min111.4 /9070.9 /90101.3 /90283.6 /9040.5 /9000 /90
M. Curry751358 min112.8 /90123 /9010.3 /90153.8 /9041 /9010.3 /90
R. Brown661368 min71.7 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90174.2 /9020.5 /9000 /90
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Seattle Reign FC W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Reign FC W before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. McClernon n 876.1
1.36/2
0.32/0
P. Morroni
S. Huerta n 875
0.95/1
1.24/3
A. D. Van Zanten
M. Mercado n 871
1.14/3
1.16/1
—
C. Dickey n 876.1
00/0
0.11/0
—
Maddie Dahlien n 875.3
0.63/1
0.74/1
—
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Seattle Reign FC W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Reign FC W before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. McClernon n 876.1
1.85/3
S. Huerta n 875
0.94/2
M. Mercado n 871
1.34/2
Maddie Dahlien n 875.3
1.25/3
A. McCammon n 871.5
1.77/3
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Seattle Reign FC W Attacking

Seattle Reign FC W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Fishel1058579 min20.3 /9010.2 /90121.9 /9060.9 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90
N. Mondésir934302 min00 /9000 /9061.8 /9030.9 /90103 /9041.2 /90
E. Adames33090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
M. Mercado1168749 min40.5 /9000 /90172 /9081 /9050.6 /9050.6 /90
Maddie Dahlien1074738 min20.2 /9010.1 /90121.5 /9081 /90131.6 /9091.1 /90
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Seattle Reign FC W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Reign FC W before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. McClernon n 876.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
S. Huerta n 875
0.84/1
0.53/0
M. Mercado n 871
2.56/4
1.36/2
C. Dickey n 876.1
00/0
00/0
Maddie Dahlien n 875.3
1.55/3
15/2
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Seattle Reign FC W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Seattle Reign FC W before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. McClernon n 876.1
00/0
00/0
S. Huerta n 875
00/0
00/0
M. Mercado n 871
0.64/0
00/0
C. Dickey n 876.1
00/0
00/0
Maddie Dahlien n 875.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
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San Diego Wave W

San Diego Wave W Goalkeeper

San Diego Wave W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Panos691547 min91.5 /9081.3 /9000 /90
D. Haračić587436 min91.9 /9051 /9000 /90
Luisa Agudelo290180 min31.5 /9042 /9000 /90
San Diego Wave W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego Wave W before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Panos n 691.2
1.53/1
D. Haračić n 788
1.65/1

San Diego Wave W Defensive

San Diego Wave W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. McNabb14901253 min110.8 /90151.1 /9080.6 /90312.2 /90130.9 /9010.1 /90
K. Wesley14901253 min120.9 /90151.1 /90151.1 /90453.2 /90110.8 /9000 /90
A. D. Van Zanten14841176 min382.9 /90211.6 /9050.4 /90685.2 /9060.5 /9010.1 /90
P. Morroni13891154 min292.3 /90151.2 /9020.2 /90624.8 /90110.9 /9040.3 /90
Kennedy Wesley290180 min21 /9031.5 /9031.5 /90105 /9021 /9000 /90
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San Diego Wave W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego Wave W before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. McNabb n 890.9
0.95/2
00/0
—
K. Wesley n 890.9
0.74/2
1.16/3
—
A. D. Van Zanten n 888.9
0.42/1
0.95/2
S. Huerta
L. E. Godfrey n 867.4
0.74/0
0.52/1
—
P. Morroni n 884.8
0.74/1
1.65/5
P. McClernon
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San Diego Wave W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego Wave W before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Wesley n 890.9
0.94/3
K. McNabb n 890.9
0.76/0
A. D. Van Zanten n 888.9
2.47/4
L. E. Godfrey n 867.4
14/2
P. Morroni n 884.8
2.37/5
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San Diego Wave W Attacking

San Diego Wave W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ludmila1366855 min10.1 /9000 /90242.5 /90101.1 /9090.9 /90121.3 /90
M. Barcenas1362805 min20.2 /9010.1 /90202.2 /90121.3 /9080.9 /9080.9 /90
T. Byars1259709 min91.1 /9020.3 /90172.2 /90141.8 /90131.7 /9050.6 /90
Gabi Portilho738266 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
A. Leon523114 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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San Diego Wave W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego Wave W before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Wesley n 890.9
0.52/1
0.22/0
K. McNabb n 890.9
0.43/0
0.43/0
A. D. Van Zanten n 888.9
0.63/1
0.11/0
L. E. Godfrey n 867.4
1.87/4
0.84/1
P. Morroni n 884.8
0.73/1
0.11/0
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San Diego Wave W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego Wave W before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. McNabb n 890.9
00/0
00/0
K. Wesley n 890.9
00/0
00/0
A. D. Van Zanten n 888.9
00/0
0.11/0
L. E. Godfrey n 867.4
0.21/0
00/0
P. Morroni n 884.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Seattle Reign FC WSan Diego Wave W
41%Possession59%
9Shots13
4Shots on target6
4Shots off target3
1Blocked shots4
5Shots inside the box6
2Corners4
1Offsides1
17Fouls7
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
6Saves3
368Passes537
84%Pass accuracy85%

Seattle Reign FC W Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. McClernon90000012Y6.9
Jordyn Bugg90000011Y7.2
S. Huerta9000100207.7
A. James9000001406.7
S. Meza9000100507.3
Maddie Mercado8910110507.9
R. Brown8600110006.3
Maddie Dahlien8601111107.3
C. Dickey8500000009.2
S. Menti6400212006.9
M. Fishel6400102106.7
Holly Ward sub2600000106.7
J. Fishlock sub2600000306.9
Cassie Miller sub1300000006.3
N. Mondésir sub1200000006.2
Madison Curry sub1200000006.6
B. Ratcliffe sub10000000–

San Diego Wave W Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Panos9000000007
Kennedy Wesley9000110006.9
P. Morroni9000002406.2
K. Dali9000112206.7
Ludmila9000311106.5
Ludmila9000311106.9
K. McNabb8900001006.5
T. Byars8900001106.3
Kimmi Ascanio7100110407.5
Luisa Agudelo4500220106.5
M. Barcenas1400000006.3
A. D. Van Zanten13000010R3
Brooklyn Jean Courtnall sub7600000106.5
G. Corley sub4500100006.9
Laila Harbert sub1900000006.7
A. Leon sub900000006.5
T. Wynalda sub10000010–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Seattle Reign FC W v San Diego Wave W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Seattle Reign FC WDWLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
San Diego Wave WWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Seattle Reign FC W 4 · 1 draw · San Diego Wave W 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-07-26 San Diego Wave W 0–2 Seattle Reign FC W
  • 2025-08-30 Seattle Reign FC W 0–0 San Diego Wave W
  • 2025-06-07 San Diego Wave W 1–2 Seattle Reign FC
  • 2024-05-04 Seattle Reign FC 2–1 San Diego Wave W
  • 2024-03-30 San Diego Wave W 1–0 Seattle Reign FC
  • 2023-11-06 San Diego Wave W 0–1 Seattle Reign FC
League standing · 2026
Seattle Reign FC W#8 pos47 pts30 pl+4 GD
San Diego Wave W#2 pos58 pts30 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
Seattle Reign FC W scored1.23
San Diego Wave W scored1.5
Seattle Reign FC W conceded1.1
San Diego Wave W conceded1.03

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Seattle Reign FC W v San Diego Wave W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Seattle Reign FC W v San Diego Wave W was Home or Away (best price 1.22 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Seattle Reign FC W and San Diego Wave W?
In their last 6 meetings, Seattle Reign FC W won 4, San Diego Wave W won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Seattle Reign FC W and San Diego Wave W?
Recent form — Seattle Reign FC W 2W 2D 1L; San Diego Wave W 3W 1D 1L.

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