Derry City v Shamrock Rovers result

Full-time · Derry City 3–3 Shamrock Rovers

Premier Division · · The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Derry City · Shamrock Rovers · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Derry City 3–3 Shamrock Rovers — this Premier Division match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Derry City and Shamrock Rovers drew 3–3 at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium in the Premier Division (Ireland) on Sunday 30 August.

Shamrock Rovers are winless in their last four matches.

The goals

Derry City led 3–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Derry City: Ellis Chapman (2’, assisted by Michael Duffy; 33’, assisted by Michael Duffy) and Michael Duffy (16’, assisted by Darragh Burns); Shamrock Rovers: Michael Noonan (28’, assisted by Graham Burke), Graham Burke (72’, assisted by William Fitzgerald) and Dylan Watts (80’, assisted by William Fitzgerald).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dylan Watts’s goal on 80 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Derry City 1.20, Shamrock Rovers 0.89, from 17 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

P. Norton showed six yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Derry City: Patrick McClean (6’) and Jamie Stott (24’); Shamrock Rovers: Michael Noonan (18’), Adam Matthews (44’), Cory O'Sullivan (50’) and William Fitzgerald (88’).

What it changes

Derry City stay sixth after this result (29 league matches played).

Shamrock Rovers stay first after this result (28 league matches played).

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 29, across five matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Michael Duffy (Derry City) 14.9, Ellis Chapman (Derry City) 10.1 and Graham Burke (Shamrock Rovers) 9.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Derry City or Shamrock Rovers (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Derry City next host St Patrick's Athl. on 19 October 2026.

Shamrock Rovers next host Sligo Rovers on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Derry City: Derry City v St Patrick's Athl., Monday 19 October — the preview. Next for Shamrock Rovers: Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Derry City 3–3 Shamrock Rovers · Premier Division
  • Venue: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium · Derry
  • Referee: P. Norton
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Derry City 2 · draws 1 · Shamrock Rovers 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Derry City 1W 1D 3L · Shamrock Rovers 2W 1D 2L

Derry City 3–3 Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 2.4
Corners
against 3.33 / 3 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
3.5 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.67 / 3 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.67 / 2.4
Cards
against 1.33 / 2.2 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
4.69 yellows
Referee · P. Norton
1.85 home / 2.85 away
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDerry City for / againstLineShamrock Rovers for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3.33 against n 6
9.5standard
2.4 for · 3 against n 5
Shots
9.83 for · 8.5 against n 6
19.5standard
4.8 for · 4.6 against n 5
Shots on target
3.5 for · 3.67 against n 6
8.5standard
4 for · 3 against n 5
Fouls committed
7.67 for · 7.67 against n 6
21.5standard
9.2 for · 14.2 against n 5
Cards shown
1.67 for · 1.33 against n 6
3.5standard
2.4 for · 2.2 against n 5

Referee: P. Norton — 4.69 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 15.46 fouls over 13 matches (1.85 to the home side, 2.85 to the away side).

Derry City
Derry City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
James Clarke n 870.9
2.77/5
15/1
—
D. Burns n 833.4
2.44/2
1.75/0
—
N. Twisk n 377.7
1.92/2
0.81/1
—
J. McClean n 843.3
1.85/2
0.31/0
—
C. Dummigan n 871.3
1.75/3
0.32/0
—
Derry City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Duffy n 880.1
3.48/7
1.57/3
James Clarke n 870.9
2.17/3
1.14/2
L. Boyce n 857.4
25/4
0.62/1
T. Smith n 843.5
1.84/3
1.34/1
James Olayinka n 848.8
1.22/2
00/0
Derry City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
James Clarke n 870.9
0.52/1
0.21/0
M. Duffy n 880.1
0.31/1
0.32/0
T. Smith n 843.5
0.52/0
00/0
Adam O'Reilly n 887
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Boyce n 857.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Derry City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Dummigan n 871.3
3.67/7
D. Burns n 833.4
2.45/2
Patrick McClean n 876.5
2.27/5
James Olayinka n 848.8
2.16/2
Adam O'Reilly n 887
1.97/5
Derry City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Maher n 889.9
35/4
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Max Kovaleskis n 829.9
35/3
1.94/1
—
C. Barrett n 824.9
2.34/1
0.92/0
—
Maleace Asamoah n 828
24/1
2.85/1
—
Naj Razi n 825.3
1.82/2
0.92/0
—
Cory O'Sullivan n 870.9
1.35/2
0.52/1
—
Shamrock Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Michael Noonan n 850.5
25/3
1.14/1
Aaron Greene n 849.9
1.45/1
0.73/0
Maleace Asamoah n 828
1.21/1
1.21/1
Adam Brennan n 869.4
1.14/2
0.53/0
Max Kovaleskis n 829.9
1.13/0
00/0
Shamrock Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Watts n 864.5
0.32/0
0.94/1
Adam Brennan n 869.4
0.32/0
0.31/1
J. Afolabi n 836.6
0.62/0
00/0
Jack Byrne n 866.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Aaron Greene n 849.9
0.52/0
00/0
Shamrock Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Barrett n 824.9
3.23/2
Tunmise Sobowale n 884.1
2.47/6
L. Grace n 880
2.45/4
M. Healy n 880.8
1.75/4
Cory O'Sullivan n 870.9
1.74/2
Shamrock Rovers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ed McGinty n 889.4
1.94/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
45%Possession55%
1.20Expected goals (xG)0.89
17Shots6
8Shots on target5
7Shots off target1
2Blocked shots0
11Shots inside the box4
3Corners5
1Offsides2
11Fouls11
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves5
402Passes485
76%Pass accuracy80%

Derry City player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tom Norcott9000000006.3
Conor Barr9000111406.3
Jamie Stott90000000Y6.3
Patrick McClean90003110Y6.3
Brandon Fleming9000001105.9
Adam O'Reilly9000001307.3
M. Duffy9012436208.2
T. Smith8900001106.2
D. Burns7901001407.3
N. Twisk7900000206.6
E. Chapman6420421008.6
James Olayinka sub2600001206.7
C. Dummigan sub1100100106.3
Barry Cotter sub1100000106.3
M. McColgan sub10021000–

Shamrock Rovers player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ed McGinty9000000005.6
L. Grace9000000307.3
Cory O'Sullivan90000001Y6.2
M. Healy9000000005.3
Tunmise Sobowale9000000106.6
Michael Noonan90102200Y6.9
Graham Burke9011211008.5
Adam Brennan7900000106.2
A. Brennan7900000106.2
Jack Byrne7800000006.3
A. Matthews69000013Y6.3
John O'Sullivan6900001306.2
W. Fitzgerald sub21021120Y7.2
Jake Mulraney sub1700000106.6
D. Watts sub1210111007.6
John McGovern sub1100000006.5
Dan Cleary sub1000000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Derry City v Shamrock Rovers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Derry CityLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Shamrock RoversWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Derry City 2 · 1 draw · Shamrock Rovers 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-06-22 Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City
  • 2026-04-24 Derry City 1–0 Shamrock Rovers
  • 2026-03-06 Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Derry City
  • 2025-10-26 Derry City 2–1 Shamrock Rovers
  • 2025-08-03 Shamrock Rovers 2–0 Derry City
  • 2025-05-23 Derry City 1–2 Shamrock Rovers
League standing · 2026
Derry City#6 pos41 pts33 pl+1 GD
Shamrock Rovers#1 pos65 pts34 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
Derry City scored1.36
Shamrock Rovers scored1.59
Derry City conceded1.33
Shamrock Rovers conceded1.03

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Derry City v Shamrock Rovers?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Derry City v Shamrock Rovers was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Derry City and Shamrock Rovers?
In their last 6 meetings, Derry City won 2, Shamrock Rovers won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Derry City and Shamrock Rovers?
Recent form — Derry City 1W 1D 3L; Shamrock Rovers 2W 1D 2L.

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