Drogheda United v Galway United prediction

Premier Division · · United Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Drogheda United v Galway United, Premier Division on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.72 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 1436 landed (95% range 66.1–70.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Drogheda United host Galway United in the Premier Division (Ireland) on Friday 30 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Galway United, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Drogheda United have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Drogheda United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Drogheda United’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Drogheda United have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.29. Drogheda United have scored 42 goals, the second-fewest of the 10 clubs (2026 so far). Drogheda United have conceded 57 goals, the fourth-most of the 10 clubs.

Seven of Galway United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Galway United’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Galway United have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.86. Galway United have scored 46 goals, the third-fewest of the 10 clubs (2026 so far). Galway United have conceded 51 goals, the fifth-most of the 10 clubs.

Drogheda United (ninth) and Galway United (sixth) are five points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Galway United the stronger side, 67 rating points above Drogheda United (Galway United 1642, Drogheda United 1575, after at least 107 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 August 2026, finished Galway United 0–0 Drogheda United.

Team news

Predicted Drogheda United XI (3-5-2): F. Talley, C. Keeley, A. Quinn, L. Burney, C. Kane, E. Agbaje, B. Kavanagh, E. O'Brien, S. Farell, T. Oluwa, W. Davis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Fynn Michael Cordell Talley (4.5 per match over five appearances) and Brandon Kavanagh (3.5 per match over 27 appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Drogheda United’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Drogheda United (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Fynn Michael Cordell Talley averages 4.0 saves per 90 over 407 minutes, with two or more saves in five of the last five appearances. Brandon Kavanagh averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 2005 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Galway United XI (4-2-3-1): H. da Cunha, A. O'Connor, G. Facchineri, C. Barratt, W. Williams, A. Bolger, D. Hurley, J. Keohane, L. Devitt, E. McCarthy, S. Walsh — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Hurley (3.7 per match over 27 appearances, one goal and five assists) and Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha (3.7 per match over 14 appearances) have been Galway United’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Galway United (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Hurley averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 2248 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha averages 3.4 saves per 90 over 1245 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier Division · United Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Drogheda United 2 · draws 2 · Galway United 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Drogheda United 2W 0D 3L · Galway United 1W 2D 2L

Drogheda United v Galway United (Premier Division): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.5 / 2.88
Corners
against 7.38 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 2
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDrogheda United for / againstLineGalway United for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 7.38 against n 8
9.5standard
2.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
10.25 for · 18 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 17.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.38 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 9.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.13 against n 8

Drogheda United

Drogheda United Goalkeeper

Drogheda United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Dennison17861469 min382.3 /90161 /9000 /90
Fynn Talley792646 min253.5 /90131.8 /9000 /90
Fynn Michael Cordell Talley581407 min184 /9000 /9000 /90
Drogheda United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Drogheda United before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Dennison n 885
2.34/3
Fynn Talley n 792.3
3.56/5
Fynn Michael Cordell Talley n 581.4
45/5

Drogheda United Defensive

Drogheda United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Edwin Agbaje28862417 min471.8 /90331.2 /90140.5 /901636.1 /90170.6 /9040.1 /90
Conor Kane28862395 min381.4 /90230.9 /9070.3 /90963.6 /9060.2 /9000 /90
Conor Keeley26882281 min240.9 /90220.9 /90271.1 /901726.8 /90230.9 /9060.2 /90
Andrew Quinn20821635 min191 /90181 /90110.6 /901005.5 /9090.5 /9000 /90
James Bolger1468955 min151.4 /90151.4 /9050.5 /90575.4 /90111 /9030.3 /90
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Drogheda United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Drogheda United before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Edwin Agbaje n 889.6
0.85/1
1.67/4
—
Conor Kane n 887.1
0.11/0
0.95/2
—
Thomas Oluwa n 870.1
15/1
0.21/0
—
M. Doyle n 837.3
2.14/2
1.84/2
—
Conor Keeley n 890
15/2
0.84/2
—
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Drogheda United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Drogheda United before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Edwin Agbaje n 889.6
27/4
Conor Kane n 887.1
1.46/3
Thomas Oluwa n 870.1
0.63/1
M. Doyle n 837.3
1.23/1
Conor Keeley n 890
0.95/2
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Drogheda United Attacking

Drogheda United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Thomas Oluwa27721957 min20.1 /9010 /90291.3 /90150.7 /90180.8 /90150.7 /90
M. Doyle27661773 min70.4 /9000 /90281.4 /90150.8 /9070.4 /90110.6 /90
Warren Davis18641150 min50.4 /9000 /90120.9 /9060.5 /90131 /90120.9 /90
Jago Godden1841732 min00 /9000 /9070.9 /9000 /9020.2 /9030.4 /90
K. Ancelin635211 min10.4 /9010.4 /9041.7 /9031.3 /9041.7 /9000 /90
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Drogheda United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Drogheda United before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Edwin Agbaje n 889.6
0.64/1
0.11/0
Conor Kane n 887.1
0.32/0
00/0
Thomas Oluwa n 870.1
1.65/4
0.32/0
M. Doyle n 837.3
0.92/1
0.62/0
Conor Keeley n 890
16/2
0.11/0
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Drogheda United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Drogheda United before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Edwin Agbaje n 889.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Conor Kane n 887.1
00/0
0.11/0
Thomas Oluwa n 870.1
00/0
00/0
M. Doyle n 837.3
0.31/0
00/0
Conor Keeley n 890
00/0
00/0
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Galway United

Galway United Goalkeeper

Galway United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha14891245 min473.4 /9060.4 /9010.1 /90
Evan Watts13921192 min463.5 /90221.7 /9000 /90
Galway United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Galway United before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha n 890
3.27/5
Evan Watts n 892
3.77/7

Galway United Defensive

Galway United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gianfranco Facchineri23882025 min391.7 /90431.9 /90110.5 /901245.5 /90361.6 /9060.3 /90
W. Williams18791419 min312 /90191.2 /90130.8 /901127.1 /90231.5 /9030.2 /90
K. Brouder14861206 min141 /9090.7 /9070.5 /90604.5 /9090.7 /9000 /90
A. O'Connor990810 min91 /90161.8 /9040.4 /90384.2 /9040.4 /9020.2 /90
A. Kazeem958518 min111.9 /9020.3 /9010.2 /90264.5 /9091.6 /9010.2 /90
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Galway United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Galway United before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Hurley n 887.5
0.84/2
0.11/0
—
A. Bolger n 888.5
1.76/5
1.88/3
—
S. Walsh n 877.4
1.38/1
1.34/3
—
Jimmy Keohane n 890
0.53/1
0.84/2
—
Gianfranco Facchineri n 890
1.46/3
0.43/0
—
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Galway United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Galway United before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Hurley n 887.5
2.37/5
A. Bolger n 888.5
1.97/5
S. Walsh n 877.4
0.74/1
Jimmy Keohane n 890
0.32/0
Gianfranco Facchineri n 890
28/4
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Galway United Attacking

Galway United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Walsh26741924 min40.2 /9010 /90351.6 /90130.6 /90160.7 /9020.1 /90
Frantz Pierrot1843770 min40.5 /9000 /90242.8 /9070.8 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90
F. Lomboto1435487 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.8 /9030.6 /9020.4 /9071.3 /90
D. Connolly24182 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /90
N. Fleuriau Chateau11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Galway United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Galway United before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Hurley n 887.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
A. Bolger n 888.5
1.15/2
0.63/1
S. Walsh n 877.4
1.97/5
0.74/1
Jimmy Keohane n 890
1.98/4
16/1
Gianfranco Facchineri n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Galway United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Galway United before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Hurley n 887.5
00/0
00/0
A. Bolger n 888.5
0.11/0
00/0
S. Walsh n 877.4
0.43/0
00/0
Jimmy Keohane n 890
0.64/1
00/0
Gianfranco Facchineri n 890
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Drogheda United v Galway United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Drogheda UnitedWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Galway UnitedLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Drogheda United 2 · 2 draws · Galway United 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-08-07 Galway United 0–0 Drogheda United
  • 2026-04-06 Drogheda United 2–3 Galway United
  • 2026-02-06 Galway United 0–1 Drogheda United
  • 2025-10-24 Galway United 1–1 Drogheda United
  • 2025-07-04 Drogheda United 1–0 Galway United
  • 2025-04-25 Galway United 2–1 Drogheda United
League standing · 2026
Drogheda United#9 pos37 pts35 pl-15 GD
Galway United#6 pos42 pts35 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Drogheda United scored1.2
Galway United scored1.31
Drogheda United conceded1.63
Galway United conceded1.46

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Drogheda United v Galway United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Drogheda United v Galway United is Draw or Away (best price 1.72 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Drogheda United and Galway United?
In their last 6 meetings, Drogheda United won 2, Galway United won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Drogheda United and Galway United?
Recent form — Drogheda United 2W 0D 3L; Galway United 1W 2D 2L.

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