FC KharkivKarpaty

FC Kharkiv v Karpaty prediction

Premier League – Ukraine · · Tsentralnyi Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for FC Kharkiv v Karpaty, Premier League – Ukraine on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 11:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.30 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Kharkiv host Karpaty in the Premier League – Ukraine on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 11:00 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Kharkiv or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

FC Kharkiv have won their last six matches in all competitions. Karpaty are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. FC Kharkiv have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of FC Kharkiv’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of FC Kharkiv’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, FC Kharkiv have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 0.75. FC Kharkiv have scored 18 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). FC Kharkiv have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Eight of Karpaty’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Karpaty’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Karpaty have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.86. Karpaty have scored 22 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Karpaty have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 16 clubs.

FC Kharkiv (fourth) and Karpaty (fifth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Kharkiv the stronger side, 181 rating points above Karpaty (FC Kharkiv 1908, Karpaty 1727, after at least 120 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2–2 Karpaty.

Team news

Predicted FC Kharkiv XI (4-4-2): G. Yermakov, A. Shabanov, V. Salyuk, I. Krupskyi, A. Smolyakov, I. Kalyuzhnyi, R. Gadzhiev, B. Zabërgja, Y. Pavlyuk, P. Itodo, C. Paraco — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Zabërgja (4.8 per match over three appearances, two goals and one assist) and R. Gadzhiev (3.7 per match over three appearances, two goals) have been FC Kharkiv’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Kharkiv (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Zabërgja averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 420 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances.

Predicted Karpaty XI (4-3-3): R. Mysak, V. Baboglo, I. Calero, T. Stetskov, R. Lyakh, A. Chachua, Moha, X. Alkain, N. Rusyn, J. Sery, Y. Kostenko — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Mysak (3.5 per match over five appearances) and Xeber Alkain (1.7 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Karpaty’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Karpaty (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Mysak averages 1.6 saves per 90 over 450 minutes, with two or more saves in one of the last five appearances. Xeber Alkain averages 0.2 key passes per 90 over 526 minutes, with a key pass in one of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League – Ukraine · Tsentralnyi Stadion
  • Referee: Oleksiy Derevinskiy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): FC Kharkiv 1 · draws 1 · Karpaty 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Kharkiv 5W 0D 0L · Karpaty 1W 3D 1L

FC Kharkiv v Karpaty (Premier League – Ukraine): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.33 / 5
Corners
against 3.33 / 3.57 · 0 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 3 matches
5.67 / 3.57
Shots on target
against 3 / 3 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 3 matches
2 / 3
Cards
against 3 / 2.71 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 3 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Kharkiv for / againstLineKarpaty for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.33 for · 3.33 against n 3
9.5standard
5 for · 3.57 against n 7
Shots
14 for · 6.67 against n 3
19.5standard
9.86 for · 11.57 against n 7
Shots on target
5.67 for · 3 against n 3
8.5standard
3.57 for · 3 against n 7
Fouls committed
7 for · 8.67 against n 3
21.5standard
6.25 for · 5 against n 4
Cards shown
2 for · 3 against n 3
3.5standard
3 for · 2.71 against n 7

FC Kharkiv

FC Kharkiv Goalkeeper

FC Kharkiv — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Georgiy Yermakov390270 min41.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
FC Kharkiv — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Kharkiv before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Georgiy Yermakov n 390
1.31/1

FC Kharkiv Defensive

FC Kharkiv — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Smolyakov390270 minnot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League10.3 /90
V. Salyuk390270 minnot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League10.3 /90
I. Kalyuzhnyi390270 minnot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League10.3 /90
R. Gadzhiev387261 minnot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League10.3 /90
O. Yatsyk349147 minnot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League10.6 /90
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FC Kharkiv — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Kharkiv before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Kalyuzhnyi n 690
12/1
1.33/1
—
V. Salyuk n 790
12/1
24/3
—
Y. Pavlyuk n 790
0.83/0
0.31/0
—
Ilya Krupskyi n 790
0.52/0
0.31/0
—
A. Shabanov n 790
00/0
0.51/1
—
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FC Kharkiv — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Kharkiv before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Shabanov n 790
0.52/0
Y. Pavlyuk n 790
0.51/1
I. Kalyuzhnyi n 690
00/0
V. Salyuk n 790
00/0
Ilya Krupskyi n 790
00/0
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FC Kharkiv Attacking

FC Kharkiv — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Paraco270140 min10.6 /9000 /90not recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League
I. Kalyuzhnyi390270 min00 /9020.7 /90not recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League
R. Gadzhiev387261 min20.7 /9000 /90not recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League
B. Zabërgja378235 min20.8 /9010.4 /90not recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League
Ilya Krupskyi390270 min00 /9020.7 /90not recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League
FC Kharkiv — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Kharkiv before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Kalyuzhnyi n 690
1.33/1
0.72/0
Y. Pavlyuk n 790
0.52/0
00/0
A. Shabanov n 790
0.31/0
00/0
V. Salyuk n 790
0.31/0
00/0
Ilya Krupskyi n 790
0.31/0
0.31/0
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FC Kharkiv — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Kharkiv before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Kalyuzhnyi n 690
00/0
0.32/0
Ilya Krupskyi n 790
00/0
0.32/0
A. Shabanov n 790
00/0
00/0
Y. Pavlyuk n 790
00/0
00/0
V. Salyuk n 790
00/0
00/0
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Karpaty

Karpaty Goalkeeper

Karpaty — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Mysak590450 min81.6 /9000 /9000 /90
Karpaty — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Karpaty before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Mysak n 590
1.61/1

Karpaty Defensive

Karpaty — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Baboglo689534 minnot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League20.3 /90
R. Vantukh682490 minnot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League20.4 /90
Iván Calero660359 minnot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League10.3 /90
R. Lyakh547236 minnot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League10.4 /90
T. Stetskov386259 minnot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League10.3 /90
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Karpaty — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Karpaty before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Baboglo n 889.3
25/1
03/0
—
A. Chachua n 889.3
15/2
02/1
—
Xeber Alkain n 884.1
0.62/0
1.84/1
—
R. Lyakh n 861.4
1.84/2
1.12/1
—
D. Miroshnichenko n 858.3
1.56/2
0.43/0
—
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Karpaty — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Karpaty before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Chachua n 889.3
02/1
V. Baboglo n 889.3
01/0
Xeber Alkain n 884.1
00/0
R. Lyakh n 861.4
0.41/0
D. Miroshnichenko n 858.3
03/1
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Karpaty Attacking

Karpaty — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Rusyn579395 min10.2 /9000 /90not recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League
J. Sery463250 min10.4 /9010.4 /90not recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League
Y. Kostenko19090 min33 /9000 /90not recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League
A. Chachua689534 min10.2 /9000 /90not recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League
Xeber Alkain688526 min10.2 /9020.3 /90not recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier Leaguenot recorded in Premier League
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Karpaty — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Karpaty before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Chachua n 889.3
25/3
1.54/1
V. Baboglo n 889.3
04/0
00/0
Xeber Alkain n 884.1
00/0
00/0
R. Lyakh n 861.4
00/0
00/0
D. Miroshnichenko n 858.3
2.26/3
0.72/1
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Karpaty — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Karpaty before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Chachua n 889.3
0.53/1
00/0
V. Baboglo n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
Xeber Alkain n 884.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
R. Vantukh n 681.7
00/0
0.41/1
Moha n 678.2
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Kharkiv v Karpaty — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC KharkivWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
KarpatyDLDDW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
FC Kharkiv 1 · 1 draw · Karpaty 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-12 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2–2 Karpaty
  • 2025-11-22 Karpaty 1–2 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
League standing · 2026/27
FC Kharkiv#4 pos21 pts9 pl+11 GD
Karpaty#5 pos19 pts11 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
FC Kharkiv scored2
Karpaty scored2
FC Kharkiv conceded0.78
Karpaty conceded0.73

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win FC Kharkiv v Karpaty?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Kharkiv v Karpaty is Home or Draw (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Kharkiv and Karpaty?
In their last 2 meetings, FC Kharkiv won 1, Karpaty won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Kharkiv and Karpaty?
Recent form — FC Kharkiv 5W 0D 0L; Karpaty 1W 3D 1L.

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