Karpaty v Oleksandria result
Team pages: Karpaty · Oleksandria · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Karpaty 2–0 Oleksandria — Karpaty won this Premier League – Ukraine match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.
The result
Karpaty beat Oleksandria 2–0 in the Premier League – Ukraine on Saturday 11 April. Karpaty are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Oleksandria are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Karpaty: Y. Kostenko (75’, assisted by Xeber Alkain) and Jean Pedroso (90’, assisted by Baboucarr Faal). D. Miroshnichenko (73’) and Mykola Oharkov (87’) were sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Y. Kostenko’s goal on 75 minutes.
What it changes
Karpaty have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Karpaty have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Karpaty to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.1% of the time in the last 90 days (168 of 215).
Next up
Karpaty next travel to Chornomorets on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Karpaty: Chornomorets v Karpaty, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Karpaty 2–0 Oleksandria · Premier League – Ukraine
- Referee: M. Balakin
- Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Karpaty 2 · draws 0 · Oleksandria 4 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Karpaty 3W 1D 1L · Oleksandria 0W 1D 4L
Karpaty 2–0 Oleksandria (Premier League – Ukraine): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Karpaty for / against | Line | Oleksandria for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.67 for · 5 against n 3 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 6 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots | 8.33 for · 15.33 against n 3 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 5.5 for · 18.75 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3 for · 4.33 against n 3 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 1.75 for · 7.5 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 9.67 against n 3 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.75 for · 9.5 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.33 for · 2.67 against n 3 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 1.25 against n 4 Last 5 |
Referee: M. Balakin — 2.56 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 4.22 fouls over 9 matches (1.33 to the home side, 1.22 to the away side).
Karpaty
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edson Fernando n 8 | 40.9 | 2.2 | 1.7 | — |
| Y. Karabin n 6 | 45.2 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| B. Faal n 6 | 82.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | — |
| O. Fedor n 8 | 45.3 | 1.5 | 1 | — |
| Xeber Alkain n 8 | 24.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruninho n 8 | 65.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Y. Kostenko n 8 | 70.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| B. Faal n 6 | 82.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Y. Karabin n 6 | 45.2 | 1.3 | 1 |
| A. Shakh n 8 | 44.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Karabin n 6 | 45.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| B. Faal n 6 | 82.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| I. Kvasnytsya n 5 | 47.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Bruninho n 8 | 65.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| A. Shakh n 8 | 44.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Edson Fernando n 8 | 40.9 | 1.7 |
| O. Sych n 8 | 81 | 1.5 |
| Xeber Alkain n 8 | 24.4 | 1.4 |
| D. Miroshnichenko n 8 | 87.1 | 0.6 |
| M. Sapuga n 3 | 48 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Domchak n 6 | 90 | 3 |
Oleksandria
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Yade n 8 | 65 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Denys Shostak n 8 | 47.1 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Mateus Amaral n 4 | 49 | 1.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Mykola Oharkov n 7 | 76 | 1.2 | 0.8 | — |
| Fernando Henrique n 8 | 51.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Castillo n 8 | 50.5 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Jhonnatan n 4 | 22.8 | 2 | 1 |
| Jota n 5 | 54 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| T. Cara n 8 | 80.9 | 1 | 0.6 |
| A. Kulakov n 8 | 35.5 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Castillo n 8 | 50.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| T. Cara n 8 | 80.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| A. Bol n 8 | 73 | 0 | 0.2 |
| B. Butko n 8 | 69.6 | 0 | 0.2 |
| P. Yade n 8 | 65 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| H. Touati n 8 | 18 | 1.9 |
| D. Myshnyov n 8 | 80.5 | 1.3 |
| P. Yade n 8 | 65 | 1.2 |
| A. Bol n 8 | 73 | 0.8 |
| Mauro Rodrigues n 8 | 47.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Makarenko n 4 | 90 | 5 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Karpaty v Oleksandria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-04 Oleksandria 0–2 Karpaty
- 2025-05-11 Karpaty 2–1 Oleksandria
- 2024-11-09 Oleksandria 3–0 Karpaty
- 2020-03-04 Karpaty 0–4 Oleksandria
- 2019-10-06 Oleksandria 2–1 Karpaty
- 2018-10-21 Oleksandria 2–1 Karpaty
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Karpaty v Oleksandria?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Karpaty v Oleksandria was Home win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Karpaty and Oleksandria?
- In their last 6 meetings, Karpaty won 2, Oleksandria won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Karpaty and Oleksandria?
- Recent form — Karpaty 3W 1D 1L; Oleksandria 0W 1D 4L.
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