Shakhtar Donetsk v Obolon'-Brovar prediction

Premier League – Ukraine · · Obolon' Arena

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Shakhtar Donetsk v Obolon'-Brovar, Premier League – Ukraine on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.05 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 246 landed (95% range 72.5–82.8%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Shakhtar Donetsk host Obolon'-Brovar in the Premier League – Ukraine on Friday 30 October (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Shakhtar Donetsk to win.

The key numbers

Shakhtar Donetsk have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Obolon'-Brovar have scored four goals, the fewest of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Shakhtar Donetsk are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Obolon'-Brovar, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Seven of Shakhtar Donetsk’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Shakhtar Donetsk’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Shakhtar Donetsk have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 0.75. Shakhtar Donetsk have scored 20 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Seven of Obolon'-Brovar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Obolon'-Brovar’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Obolon'-Brovar have one win, four draws and six defeats in their last 11 away matches in all competitions — 0.64 points per game, scoring 0.55 and conceding 1.91. Obolon'-Brovar have conceded 15 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Shakhtar Donetsk (second) and Obolon'-Brovar (13th) are 18 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Shakhtar Donetsk the stronger side, 436 rating points above Obolon'-Brovar (Shakhtar Donetsk 1978, Obolon'-Brovar 1542, after at least 100 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar.

Team news

Predicted Shakhtar Donetsk XI (4-1-4-1): D. Riznyk, M. Matvienko, P. Henrique, V. Bondar, V. Tobias, A. Santana, Y. Nazaryna, N. Palmares, M. Gomes, O. Ocheretko, K. Elias — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dmytro Riznyk (3.1 per match over eight appearances) and G. Mendoza (2.9 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Shakhtar Donetsk’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Shakhtar Donetsk (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dmytro Riznyk averages 1.2 saves per 90 over 810 minutes, with two or more saves in three of the last nine appearances. G. Mendoza averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 457 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Obolon'-Brovar XI (4-2-3-1): N. Fedorivskyi, K. Prokopchuk, P. Polegenko, Y. Shevchenko, A. Lomnytskyi, M. Chekh, A. Kulakovskyi, O. Slobodyan, A. Shulyanskyi, A. Matkevych, D. Ustymenko — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Fedorivskyi (4.3 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) and A. Lomnytskyi (1.8 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Obolon'-Brovar’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Obolon'-Brovar (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Fedorivskyi averages 0.2 saves per 90 over 405 minutes, with two or more saves in zero of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League – Ukraine · Obolon' Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Shakhtar Donetsk 6 · draws 0 · Obolon'-Brovar 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Shakhtar Donetsk 3W 1D 1L · Obolon'-Brovar 1W 1D 3L

Shakhtar Donetsk v Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League – Ukraine): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Shakhtar Donetsk v Obolon'-Brovar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Shakhtar DonetskWWWLD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Obolon'-BrovarLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Shakhtar Donetsk 6 · 0 draws · Obolon'-Brovar 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-13 Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar
  • 2025-11-22 Obolon'-Brovar 0–6 Shakhtar Donetsk
  • 2025-03-29 Obolon'-Brovar 0–2 Shakhtar Donetsk
  • 2024-09-23 Shakhtar Donetsk 4–0 Obolon'-Brovar
  • 2024-03-30 Obolon'-Brovar 0–3 Shakhtar Donetsk
  • 2023-09-16 Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Obolon'-Brovar
League standing · 2026/27
Shakhtar Donetsk#2 pos25 pts10 pl+15 GD
Obolon'-Brovar#13 pos7 pts9 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Shakhtar Donetsk scored2
Obolon'-Brovar scored0.44
Shakhtar Donetsk conceded0.5
Obolon'-Brovar conceded1.67

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Shakhtar Donetsk v Obolon'-Brovar?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Shakhtar Donetsk v Obolon'-Brovar is Home win (best price 1.05 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Obolon'-Brovar?
In their last 6 meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 6, Obolon'-Brovar won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shakhtar Donetsk and Obolon'-Brovar?
Recent form — Shakhtar Donetsk 3W 1D 1L; Obolon'-Brovar 1W 1D 3L.

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