Airbus UK v Caernarfon Town prediction

Premier League – Wales · · The Airfield

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Airbus UK v Caernarfon Town, Premier League – Wales on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.44 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Airbus UK host Caernarfon Town in the Cymru Premier on Friday 30 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Caernarfon Town’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Airbus UK have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Caernarfon Town are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Airbus UK, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Airbus UK’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Airbus UK’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Airbus UK have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.57. Airbus UK have scored 28 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Airbus UK have conceded 20 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Both teams scored in nine of Caernarfon Town’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Caernarfon Town have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 1.63. Caernarfon Town have scored 40 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Caernarfon Town have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Airbus UK have won their last three matches in all competitions. Airbus UK (seventh) and Caernarfon Town (fourth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Caernarfon Town the stronger side, 111 rating points above Airbus UK (Caernarfon Town 1783, Airbus UK 1672, after at least 72 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 31 March 2023, finished Caernarfon Town 4–0 Airbus UK.

The referee

B. Williams takes charge; across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 4.9 yellow cards a game and 0.30 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League – Wales · The Airfield
  • Referee: B. Williams
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Airbus UK 0 · draws 0 · Caernarfon Town 6 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Airbus UK 4W 0D 1L · Caernarfon Town 3W 1D 1L

Airbus UK v Caernarfon Town (Premier League – Wales): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Airbus UK v Caernarfon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Airbus UKWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Caernarfon TownWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Airbus UK 0 · 0 draws · Caernarfon Town 6 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2023-03-31 Caernarfon Town 4–0 Airbus UK
  • 2023-02-17 Airbus UK 0–2 Caernarfon Town
  • 2023-01-10 Airbus UK 0–3 Caernarfon Town
  • 2022-09-02 Caernarfon Town 3–1 Airbus UK
  • 2019-12-13 Caernarfon Town 5–0 Airbus UK
  • 2019-08-30 Airbus UK 2–3 Caernarfon Town
League standing · 2026/27
Airbus UK#7 pos24 pts14 pl+8 GD
Caernarfon Town#4 pos29 pts14 pl+24 GD
Goals per game
Airbus UK scored2
Caernarfon Town scored2.86
Airbus UK conceded1.43
Caernarfon Town conceded1.14

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 19 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Airbus UK v Caernarfon Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Airbus UK v Caernarfon Town is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.44 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Airbus UK and Caernarfon Town?
In their last 6 meetings, Airbus UK won 0, Caernarfon Town won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Airbus UK and Caernarfon Town?
Recent form — Airbus UK 4W 0D 1L; Caernarfon Town 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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