ArsenalBournemouth

Arsenal v Bournemouth prediction

Premier League · · Emirates Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Arsenal v Bournemouth, Premier League on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Arsenal host Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Arsenal have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Bournemouth have won their last eight matches in all competitions. Arsenal have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Bournemouth have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Arsenal have five wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.40. Arsenal have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

11 of Bournemouth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Bournemouth’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Bournemouth have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.17 and conceding 1.67. Bournemouth have scored 16 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Bournemouth have conceded 14 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs.

Arsenal (first) and Bournemouth (seventh) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arsenal the stronger side, 157 rating points above Bournemouth (Arsenal 1937, Bournemouth 1780, after at least 276 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth.

Team news

Predicted Arsenal XI (4-2-3-1): D. Raya, G. Magalhães, E. Konsa, J. Timber, R. Calafiori, D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, N. Madueke, B. Guimarães, E. Eze, V. Gyökeres — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bukayo Saka (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Declan Rice (4.1 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and five assists) have been Arsenal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arsenal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bukayo Saka averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1364 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Declan Rice averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1866 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bournemouth XI (4-2-3-1): Đ. Petrović, J. Hill, A. Silva, A. Truffert, A. Smith, T. Adams, M. Tavernier, R. Christie, L. Cook, Rayan, Evanilson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Evanilson (5.4 per match over 14 appearances, seven goals and five assists) and Alex Scott (5.4 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Bournemouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bournemouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Evanilson averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 1078 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Alex Scott averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Emirates Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Arsenal 3 · draws 0 · Bournemouth 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arsenal 4W 1D 0L · Bournemouth 5W 0D 0L

Arsenal v Bournemouth (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.63
Goals
against 0.5 / 0.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.14 / 6.13
Corners
against 4.14 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.14 / 6.13
Shots on target
against 2.57 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.71 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.14 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameArsenal for / againstLineBournemouth for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
2.63 for · 0.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.14 for · 4.14 against n 7
9.5standard
6.13 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
14.57 for · 11.57 against n 7
19.5standard
18.38 for · 9.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.14 for · 2.57 against n 7
8.5standard
6.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.14 for · 14.14 against n 7
21.5standard
14.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.71 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.38 for · 3.13 against n 8

Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Raya15901350 min342.3 /9060.4 /9010.1 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
2.36/4
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 889.6
1.85/2

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães16871395 min181.2 /90191.2 /90110.7 /90684.4 /90171.1 /9020.1 /90
E. Konsa13841097 min201.6 /90110.9 /9030.2 /90655.3 /90110.9 /9020.2 /90
Riccardo Calafiori1277921 min151.5 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90403.9 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
Ben White1078784 min182.1 /9060.7 /9020.2 /90434.9 /9050.6 /9000 /90
J. Timber863504 min91.6 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90274.8 /9061.1 /9010.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gabriel Magalhães n 890
1.16/2
0.85/1
—
David Raya n 890
00/0
0.64/1
—
Declan Rice n 885.4
0.74/1
0.53/1
—
Martin Ødegaard n 878.8
0.42/1
1.35/3
—
K. Havertz n 860.1
1.55/2
1.14/2
—
See more players · Pro
Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 890
1.47/3
Declan Rice n 885.4
25/4
Martin Ødegaard n 878.8
0.42/1
K. Havertz n 860.1
0.42/0
E. Konsa n 886.5
1.86/3
See more players · Pro

Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Havertz1466921 min40.4 /9010.1 /90161.6 /9090.9 /90101 /9030.3 /90
Viktor Gyökeres1146506 min10.2 /9030.5 /9040.7 /9030.5 /90132.3 /9000 /90
Declan Rice15821232 min10.1 /9050.4 /90130.9 /9040.3 /90201.5 /9080.6 /90
Martin Ødegaard14801113 min50.4 /9010.1 /90161.3 /9090.7 /90342.7 /90110.9 /90
Bruno Guimarães1353683 min20.3 /9000 /90162.1 /9050.7 /9050.7 /9070.9 /90
See more players · Pro
Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 890
0.53/1
0.31/1
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 885.4
1.14/2
0.53/1
Martin Ødegaard n 878.8
1.14/3
0.63/1
K. Havertz n 860.1
1.55/3
0.63/0
See more players · Pro
Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 890
0.11/0
00/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 885.4
0.11/0
0.43/0
Martin Ødegaard n 878.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Havertz n 860.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović12901080 min221.8 /90131.1 /9000 /90
M. Di Gregorio490360 min82 /9000 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
1.63/2
M. Di Gregorio n 490
22/1

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
António Silva15891342 min241.6 /90140.9 /9060.4 /90805.4 /90151 /9050.3 /90
J. Hill15861288 min332.3 /90251.7 /90130.9 /90966.7 /90151 /9010.1 /90
Adrien Truffert13851104 min352.9 /90151.2 /9040.3 /90604.9 /90231.9 /9030.2 /90
A. Smith13791021 min100.9 /9090.8 /9010.1 /90423.7 /90171.5 /9040.4 /90
B. Diakité680477 min91.7 /9061.1 /9010.2 /90183.4 /9061.1 /9030.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
António Silva n 890
1.35/3
0.42/1
—
J. Hill n 882.3
1.17/1
1.16/2
—
M. Tavernier n 869.1
0.73/1
1.16/1
—
Rayan n 857.9
1.64/3
12/2
—
T. Adams n 870.3
15/1
15/1
—
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
António Silva n 890
1.68/4
J. Hill n 882.3
38/5
M. Tavernier n 869.1
0.74/0
Rayan n 857.9
1.96/2
T. Adams n 870.3
1.45/2
See more players · Pro

Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson14771078 min70.6 /9050.4 /90302.5 /90131.1 /90161.3 /9090.8 /90
Á. Rodríguez757400 min20.5 /9000 /90173.8 /9051.1 /9040.9 /9030.7 /90
E. Kroupi22244 min00 /9012 /9000 /9000 /9024.1 /9048.2 /90
D. Jebbison21530 min00 /9000 /9013 /9013 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Tavernier15761142 min60.5 /9000 /90272.1 /90151.2 /90272.1 /9090.7 /90
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
António Silva n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Hill n 882.3
1.46/3
0.32/0
M. Tavernier n 869.1
2.47/5
1.15/2
Rayan n 857.9
2.97/3
1.65/2
T. Adams n 870.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
António Silva n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Hill n 882.3
00/0
00/0
M. Tavernier n 869.1
0.53/0
00/0
Rayan n 857.9
0.63/0
00/0
T. Adams n 870.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arsenal v Bournemouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ArsenalWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
BournemouthWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Arsenal 3 · 0 draws · Bournemouth 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth
  • 2026-01-03 Bournemouth 2–3 Arsenal
  • 2025-05-03 Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth
  • 2024-10-19 Bournemouth 2–0 Arsenal
  • 2024-05-04 Arsenal 3–0 Bournemouth
  • 2023-09-30 Bournemouth 0–4 Arsenal
League standing · 2026/27
Arsenal#1 pos27 pts10 pl+10 GD
Bournemouth#7 pos15 pts10 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Arsenal scored1.5
Bournemouth scored1.6
Arsenal conceded0.5
Bournemouth conceded1.4

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Arsenal and Bournemouth?
In their last 6 meetings, Arsenal won 3, Bournemouth won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arsenal and Bournemouth?
Recent form — Arsenal 4W 1D 0L; Bournemouth 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+