Arsenal v Manchester United prediction

Premier League · · Emirates Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Arsenal · Manchester United · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Arsenal v Manchester United, Premier League on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Arsenal host Manchester United in the Premier League on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Eight of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Arsenal have six wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 0.33. Arsenal have scored 11 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arsenal have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Manchester United have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.14. Manchester United have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Manchester United have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Arsenal have won their last three matches in all competitions. Manchester United are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Arsenal (second) and Manchester United (13th) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arsenal the stronger side, 169 rating points above Manchester United (Arsenal 1829, Manchester United 1660, after at least 349 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 January 2026, finished Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United.

Team news

Predicted Arsenal XI (4-2-3-1): D. Raya, G. Magalhães, R. Calafiori, E. Konsa, B. White, B. Saka, D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, C. Tzolis, M. Lewis-Skelly, K. Havertz — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bukayo Saka (5.1 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and one assist) and David Raya (3.8 per match over 10 appearances) have been Arsenal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arsenal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bukayo Saka averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1354 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. David Raya averages 2.1 saves per 90 over 1052 minutes, with two or more saves in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Manchester United XI (4-2-3-1): S. Lammens, H. Maguire, L. Martínez, D. Dalot, L. Shaw, B. Fernandes, Y. Tielemans, B. Mbeumo, K. Mainoo, M. Rashford, M. Cunha — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Youri Tielemans (4.2 per match over 10 appearances, three assists) and Bruno Fernandes (4.2 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Manchester United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Youri Tielemans averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1740 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Bruno Fernandes averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1766 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Emirates Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Arsenal 3 · draws 2 · Manchester United 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arsenal 4W 0D 1L · Manchester United 0W 3D 2L

Arsenal v Manchester United (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.63
Corners
against 3.38 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.63
Cards
against 3.13 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameArsenal for / againstLineManchester United for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
Arsenal
Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Myles Lewis-Skelly n 863
27/4
3.28/6
—
Mikel Merino n 828.6
1.63/1
2.45/1
—
Viktor Gyökeres n 859.8
1.56/1
1.75/3
—
K. Havertz n 857.4
1.45/2
1.24/2
—
Martín Zubimendi n 832.4
1.42/1
00/0
—
Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Eberechi Eze n 848.4
2.64/3
0.92/1
Noni Madueke n 847
2.46/3
14/0
Mikel Merino n 828.6
2.44/2
1.63/1
Bukayo Saka n 877.5
2.27/5
1.36/2
K. Havertz n 857.4
2.25/5
14/1
Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mikel Merino n 828.6
1.22/1
0.41/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 859.8
0.84/0
00/0
Bukayo Saka n 877.5
0.63/1
0.11/0
Noni Madueke n 847
0.52/0
0.21/0
Martín Zubimendi n 832.4
00/0
0.72/0
Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bruno Guimarães n 862.1
2.75/3
Piero Hincapié n 851.4
2.46/3
Marli Salmon n 541.2
2.23/1
Martín Zubimendi n 832.4
2.13/1
Ben White n 867.3
1.86/4
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
2.36/3
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 889.6
1.65/1
Manchester United
Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Dorgu n 844
3.15/4
24/3
—
S. Lacey n 724.6
2.12/2
2.12/2
—
C. Baleba n 866.3
1.77/3
1.97/3
—
Matheus Cunha n 856.9
1.64/3
1.85/3
—
J. Zirkzee n 824.5
1.42/1
0.51/0
—
Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Lacey n 724.6
3.15/1
12/0
J. Zirkzee n 824.5
2.84/1
1.83/1
A. Diallo n 850.3
2.76/5
1.34/2
P. Dorgu n 844
2.66/3
0.52/0
M. Rashford n 862.8
2.35/3
1.13/3
Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Benjamin Šeško n 842.4
1.14/0
00/0
A. Diallo n 850.3
0.73/0
00/0
Matheus Cunha n 856.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
B. Mbeumo n 879.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
P. Dorgu n 844
00/0
0.52/0
Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Mount n 842.6
4.57/4
P. Dorgu n 844
4.35/3
H. Amass n 871.5
3.37/5
Andrey Santos n 848.1
3.36/5
Y. Tielemans n 882.4
2.98/5
Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 890
4.37/6
K. Darlow n 890
3.56/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Arsenal v Manchester United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ArsenalWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Manchester UnitedLDDLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Arsenal 3 · 2 draws · Manchester United 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-25 Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United
  • 2025-08-17 Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal
  • 2025-03-09 Manchester United 1–1 Arsenal
  • 2025-01-12 Arsenal 1–1 Manchester United
  • 2024-12-04 Arsenal 2–0 Manchester United
  • 2024-05-12 Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal
League standing · 2026/27
Arsenal#2 pos18 pts7 pl+6 GD
Manchester United#13 pos7 pts7 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Arsenal scored1.57
Manchester United scored1.43
Arsenal conceded0.71
Manchester United conceded1.43

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Arsenal and Manchester United?
In their last 6 meetings, Arsenal won 3, Manchester United won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arsenal and Manchester United?
Recent form — Arsenal 4W 0D 1L; Manchester United 0W 3D 2L.

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