Brentford v Crystal Palace prediction

Premier League · · Brentford Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Brentford v Crystal Palace, Premier League on Sat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Brentford host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Saturday 2 January (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Crystal Palace have conceded 17 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). 12 of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Brentford have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Brentford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Brentford’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Brentford have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.71. Brentford have scored 13 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Brentford have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Both teams scored in eight of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Crystal Palace have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.43. Crystal Palace have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Brentford (sixth) and Crystal Palace (14th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brentford the stronger side, 131 rating points above Crystal Palace (Brentford 1664, Crystal Palace 1532, after at least 197 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace.

Team news

Predicted Brentford XI (4-2-3-1): C. Kelleher, K. Ajer, K. Lewis-Potter, M. Kayode, J. Schuster, V. Janelt, K. Schade, M. Sangaré, J. Anthony, Y. Yarmolyuk, Thiago — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nathan Collins (4.3 per match over four appearances, two goals) and Vitaly Janelt (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Brentford’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brentford (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nathan Collins averages 0.8 tackles per 90 over 479 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last seven appearances. Vitaly Janelt averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 703 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Crystal Palace XI (3-4-2-1): W. Benítez, C. Richards, J. Canvot, T. Tomiyasu, A. Wharton, T. Mitchell, A. Khalaili, Q. Timber, J. Lerma, D. Kamada, J. Strand Larsen — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Daichi Kamada (4.0 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and three assists) and Anan Khalaili (3.9 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Crystal Palace’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crystal Palace (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Daichi Kamada averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1259 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Anan Khalaili averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 880 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Brentford Community Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brentford 2 · draws 2 · Crystal Palace 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brentford 2W 2D 1L · Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L

Brentford v Crystal Palace (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.25 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBrentford for / againstLineCrystal Palace for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
15.13 for · 15.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 16.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 8.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Brentford
Brentford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fábio Carvalho n 836.9
2.43/3
1.53/1
—
M. Sangaré n 852.4
2.16/3
0.63/0
—
Thiago n 872.6
25/4
0.63/1
—
Y. Yarmolyuk n 850.6
23/2
0.21/0
—
E. Diouf n 833
23/1
1.43/1
—
Brentford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Thiago n 872.6
2.58/4
1.15/2
C. Wilson n 838.9
24/2
1.74/2
D. Ouattara n 837.9
1.83/1
0.62/0
Fábio Carvalho n 836.9
1.84/2
1.24/0
K. Schade n 873
1.44/3
0.84/1
Brentford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fábio Carvalho n 836.9
1.24/0
0.31/0
C. Wilson n 838.9
0.93/0
00/0
J. Anthony n 864
0.21/0
0.72/1
Y. Yarmolyuk n 850.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
D. Ouattara n 837.9
00/0
0.61/1
Brentford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Sangaré n 852.4
3.97/4
V. Janelt n 876.6
2.87/6
E. Diouf n 833
2.43/2
D. Ouattara n 837.9
1.84/1
M. Damsgaard n 870
1.64/3
Brentford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 890
4.17/6
E. Balcombe n 890
3.57/5
H. Valdimarsson n 890
2.64/4
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.34/4
2.15/3
—
Z. Gozo n 855.9
2.26/3
0.42/0
—
J. Lerma n 851.9
24/3
0.42/0
—
H. Ahanor n 860
1.94/3
1.54/1
—
W. Hughes n 842.3
1.95/2
1.64/2
—
Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Mateta n 832.1
3.97/3
1.84/1
J. Strand Larsen n 851.1
2.65/3
1.13/2
I. Sarr n 858
2.54/4
1.23/2
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.34/3
0.83/1
E. Nketiah n 832.6
2.14/2
13/0
Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Sarr n 858
0.83/1
0.21/0
J. Mateta n 832.1
0.72/0
00/0
D. Kamada n 867
0.32/0
0.31/1
Yeremy Pino n 859.5
0.63/0
00/0
E. Nketiah n 832.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Óscar Mingueza n 833.6
3.76/1
Z. Gozo n 855.9
3.27/4
T. Mitchell n 886.4
2.97/6
W. Hughes n 842.3
2.73/2
J. Canvot n 880.8
2.48/6
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 882.1
3.35/5
W. Benítez n 893.8
3.27/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Brentford v Crystal Palace — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrentfordDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Crystal PalaceWDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brentford 2 · 2 draws · Crystal Palace 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Brentford 2–2 Crystal Palace
  • 2025-11-01 Crystal Palace 2–0 Brentford
  • 2025-01-26 Crystal Palace 1–2 Brentford
  • 2024-08-18 Brentford 2–1 Crystal Palace
  • 2023-12-30 Crystal Palace 3–1 Brentford
  • 2023-08-26 Brentford 1–1 Crystal Palace
League standing · 2026/27
Brentford#6 pos10 pts7 pl+5 GD
Crystal Palace#14 pos7 pts7 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Brentford scored1.86
Crystal Palace scored1.29
Brentford conceded1.14
Crystal Palace conceded2.43

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Crystal Palace?
In their last 6 meetings, Brentford won 2, Crystal Palace won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brentford and Crystal Palace?
Recent form — Brentford 2W 2D 1L; Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →