Brighton v Brentford prediction

Premier League · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Amex Stadium

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 05:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Brighton · Brentford · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Brighton v Brentford, Premier League on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.9% of 577 landed (95% range 63–70.6%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 513 of 794 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 67.8%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Brighton host Brentford in the Premier League on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Brighton have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Brentford have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in four of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Brighton have five wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.67 points per game, scoring 3.50 and conceding 0.17. Brighton have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

10 of Brentford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Brentford’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Brentford have two wins, five draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.22 points per game, scoring 1.89 and conceding 1.67. Brentford have scored 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Brentford have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Brighton (third) and Brentford (sixth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brighton the stronger side, 131 rating points above Brentford (Brighton 1785, Brentford 1654, after at least 198 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Brentford 0–2 Brighton.

Team news

Predicted Brighton XI (4-2-3-1): B. Verbruggen, Costinha, O. Boscagli, L. Vušković, L. Dunk, P. Groß, Y. Ayari, D. Gómez, M. De Cuyper, M. Yalcouyé, C. Kostoulas — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pascal Groß (4.5 per match over 15 appearances, four goals and four assists) and Charalampos Kostoulas (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Brighton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brighton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pascal Groß averages 3.6 key passes per 90 over 1364 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Charalampos Kostoulas averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 943 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Brentford XI (4-2-3-1): C. Kelleher, M. Kayode, K. Ajer, K. Lewis-Potter, S. van den Berg, V. Janelt, M. Sangaré, M. Damsgaard, M. Jensen, J. Anthony, Thiago — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Vitaly Janelt (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Nathan Collins (3.9 per match over five appearances, two goals) have been Brentford’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brentford (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Vitaly Janelt averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 883 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Nathan Collins averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 550 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Premier League · Amex Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Brighton 3 · draws 2 · Brentford 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Brighton 2W 2D 1L · Brentford 1W 2D 2L

Brighton v Brentford (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.88

Goals

against 0.5 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

6 / 3.88

Corners

against 4.57 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 3 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2 / 2.38

Cards

against 1 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Brighton for / against	Line	Brentford for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.88 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	18.86 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	13.25 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Verbruggen	13	901170 min	322.5 /90	70.5 /90	00 /90
Jason Steele	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 8	90	3.4 6/5
Jason Steele n 8	90	3.6 6/4

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Vušković	14	811135 min	161.3 /90	181.4 /90	80.6 /90	826.5 /90	141.1 /90	10.1 /90
O. Boscagli	14	761062 min	80.7 /90	151.3 /90	20.2 /90	342.9 /90	141.2 /90	30.3 /90
L. Dunk	10	75749 min	70.8 /90	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	374.4 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
F. Kadıoğlu	8	77617 min	40.6 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90	142 /90	30.4 /90	20.3 /90
Costinha	8	67537 min	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90	366 /90	71.2 /90	20.3 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Groß n 8	80.8	1 4/1	0.4 2/1	—
L. Vušković n 8	75.9	1.3 4/2	1 5/1	—
O. Boscagli n 8	66.9	0.5 3/0	0.5 3/0	—
B. Verbruggen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Y. Ayari n 8	61.9	0.5 3/0	1.6 5/3	—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Groß n 8	80.8	1.4 4/2
L. Vušković n 8	75.9	1.3 6/3
O. Boscagli n 8	66.9	0.8 3/2
Y. Ayari n 8	61.9	1.5 5/3
D. Gómez n 8	79.5	2.4 6/4
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Kostoulas	12	70843 min	50.5 /90	30.3 /90	293.1 /90	111.2 /90	111.2 /90	131.4 /90
G. Rutter	6	64382 min	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	112.6 /90	71.6 /90	71.6 /90	71.6 /90
I. Osman	5	55274 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	93 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	41.3 /90
P. David	2	2855 min	00 /90	00 /90	34.9 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	11.6 /90
Z. Yohanna	1	2424 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.8 /90	00 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Groß n 8	80.8	1.1 6/1	0.4 3/0
L. Vušković n 8	75.9	1.6 6/4	0.1 1/0
O. Boscagli n 8	66.9	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0
B. Verbruggen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Ayari n 8	61.9	2.2 7/4	0.5 2/1
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Groß n 8	80.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
L. Vušković n 8	75.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
O. Boscagli n 8	66.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
B. Verbruggen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Ayari n 8	61.9	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
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Brentford

Brentford Goalkeeper

Brentford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
C. Kelleher	9	90810 min	273 /90	91 /90
H. Valdimarsson	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
E. Balcombe	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90

Brentford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 8	90	2.9 5/3
H. Valdimarsson n 8	90.8	2.1 4/3

Brentford Defensive

Brentford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Michael Kayode	12	69825 min	121.3 /90	151.6 /90	50.5 /90	505.5 /90	111.2 /90	20.2 /90
K. Ajer	11	84919 min	121.2 /90	181.8 /90	30.3 /90	464.5 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90
K. Lewis-Potter	11	75830 min	80.9 /90	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	303.3 /90	131.4 /90	00 /90
A. Hickey	9	46412 min	71.5 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	337.2 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90
Jannik Schuster	7	72507 min	40.7 /90	00 /90	81.4 /90	305.3 /90	112 /90	20.4 /90
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Brentford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Michael Kayode n 8	74.6	1.1 5/2	0.8 2/2	—
M. Sangaré n 8	56.3	1.4 5/2	0.6 3/0	—
Thiago n 8	90	2 7/5	1.1 4/2	—
K. Ajer n 8	81.1	0.3 2/0	0.4 2/1	—
K. Lewis-Potter n 8	79.1	1.4 6/2	1.3 7/2	—
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Brentford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Michael Kayode n 8	74.6	1.5 7/3
M. Sangaré n 8	56.3	4 7/4
Thiago n 8	90	1.1 6/2
K. Ajer n 8	81.1	1.4 6/3
K. Lewis-Potter n 8	79.1	0.7 5/0
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Brentford Attacking

Brentford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Thiago	11	84921 min	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	222.1 /90	80.8 /90	70.7 /90	60.6 /90
C. Wilson	3	66198 min	31.4 /90	00 /90	73.2 /90	52.3 /90	20.9 /90	31.4 /90
M. Sangaré	12	59706 min	00 /90	20.3 /90	101.3 /90	20.3 /90	70.9 /90	101.3 /90
K. Schade	11	69755 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	131.5 /90	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	70.8 /90
J. Anthony	11	58639 min	10.1 /90	50.7 /90	101.4 /90	40.6 /90	152.1 /90	121.7 /90
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Brentford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Michael Kayode n 8	74.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Sangaré n 8	56.3	1 3/2	0.2 1/0
Thiago n 8	90	1.8 8/4	0.6 4/1
K. Ajer n 8	81.1	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
K. Lewis-Potter n 8	79.1	1.1 5/3	0.4 3/0
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Brentford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Michael Kayode n 8	74.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Sangaré n 8	56.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Thiago n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
K. Ajer n 8	81.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
K. Lewis-Potter n 8	79.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brighton v Brentford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BrightonWDLDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

BrentfordDLDLW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Brighton 3 · 2 draws · Brentford 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-02-21 Brentford 0–2 Brighton
2025-11-22 Brighton 2–1 Brentford
2025-04-19 Brentford 4–2 Brighton
2024-12-27 Brighton 0–0 Brentford
2024-04-03 Brentford 0–0 Brighton
2023-12-06 Brighton 2–1 Brentford

League standing · 2026/27

Brighton#3 pos19 pts9 pl+17 GD

Brentford#6 pos14 pts9 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Brighton scored2.67

Brentford scored1.78

Brighton conceded0.78

Brentford conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Brighton v Brentford?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Brighton v Brentford is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Brentford?: In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 3, Brentford won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brighton and Brentford?: Recent form — Brighton 2W 2D 1L; Brentford 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 05:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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