Brighton v Fulham result

Full-time · Brighton 1–1 Fulham

Premier League · · American Express Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Brighton · Fulham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Brighton 1–1 Fulham — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1559 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Brighton: 1.44 to 0.92 in expected goals, from 10 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 54th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Brighton and Fulham drew 1–1 at American Express Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 16 August. Brighton have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Brighton: M. O'Riley (55’ pen); Fulham: Rodrigo Muniz (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rodrigo Muniz’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

S. Barrott showed six yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Brighton: K. Mitoma (60’), Ferdi Kadıoğlu (73’) and D. Gómez (78’); Fulham: C. Bassey (31’), T. Cairney (90+3’) and Rodrigo Muniz (90+8’).

What it changes

Brighton are second (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Fulham are second (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Brighton are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. O'Riley (Brighton) 7.9, Mats Wieffer (Brighton) 5.2 and Joachim Andersen (Fulham) 3.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Brighton or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1174 of 1559).

Next up

Brighton next travel to FK Jablonec on 22 October 2026.

Fulham next travel to Coventry on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brighton: FK Jablonec v Brighton, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Fulham: Coventry v Fulham, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Brighton 1–1 Fulham · Premier League
  • Venue: American Express Stadium · Falmer, East Sussex
  • Referee: S. Barrott
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brighton 1 · draws 1 · Fulham 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brighton 4W 1D 0L · Fulham 2W 0D 3L

Brighton 1–1 Fulham (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.38
Corners
against 3.63 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.5 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.35 yellows
Referee · S. Barrott
1.4 home / 1.95 away
over 20 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBrighton for / againstLineFulham for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 8.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: S. Barrott — 3.35 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 18.5 fouls over 20 matches (1.4 to the home side, 1.95 to the away side).

Brighton
Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Gómez n 823.4
2.43/2
0.51/0
—
T. Lamptey n 876.6
2.17/5
14/1
—
João Pedro n 857.6
2.18/2
1.65/2
—
J. Veltman n 873.3
1.85/3
1.85/3
—
K. Mitoma n 844.8
1.85/2
14/0
Joshua King
Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Mitoma n 844.8
2.55/3
1.54/2
B. Gruda n 837.4
2.44/2
0.92/1
D. Gómez n 823.4
2.43/1
1.41/1
João Pedro n 857.6
2.16/3
1.45/2
D. Welbeck n 878.6
1.75/3
1.35/3
Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Gruda n 837.4
0.31/0
0.92/1
K. Mitoma n 844.8
0.83/0
0.31/0
João Pedro n 857.6
13/2
00/0
J. Hinshelwood n 865.6
0.52/1
0.32/0
S. March n 823.8
00/0
0.51/0
Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Wieffer n 866.5
5.97/6
D. Gómez n 823.4
3.94/2
T. Lamptey n 876.6
3.47/5
E. Cashin n 865.9
2.95/4
K. Mitoma n 844.8
2.86/4
Fulham
Fulham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Sessegnon n 859.3
2.77/4
0.62/1
—
S. Lukić n 876.4
2.57/5
0.43/0
—
K. Tete n 871
1.95/4
0.85/0
—
Adama Traoré n 838
1.53/1
1.23/1
—
Joshua King n 822.9
1.53/0
3.42/2
K. Mitoma
Fulham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Carlos Vinícius n 811.6
4.82/1
2.92/1
Rodrigo Muniz n 855.8
37/6
1.66/2
H. Wilson n 858.3
2.56/3
1.75/3
T. Cairney n 827.3
2.14/1
1.22/1
R. Jiménez n 872.6
25/4
0.63/1
Fulham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Rodrigo Muniz n 855.8
0.84/0
0.21/0
R. Sessegnon n 859.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
H. Wilson n 858.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
A. Iwobi n 875.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
E. Smith Rowe n 839.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
Fulham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Sessegnon n 859.3
4.46/5
T. Castagne n 871.9
2.86/4
K. Tete n 871
2.76/5
T. Cairney n 827.3
2.53/2
Joshua King n 822.9
2.53/1

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BrightonFulham
50%Possession50%
1.48Expected goals (xG)0.76
10Shots7
4Shots on target2
5Shots off target4
1Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box5
4Corners3
3Offsides2
16Fouls15
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves3
427Passes423
88%Pass accuracy83%

Brighton player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Verbruggen9000000006.2
M. Wieffer9000110507
J. van Hecke9000000108.3
L. Dunk9000100107.5
M. De Cuyper9000002206.3
Y. Ayari9000000107.2
M. O'Riley8810113307.2
K. Mitoma83001000Y6.3
C. Baleba6900101106.9
Y. Minteh6900100006.5
G. Rutter6900110107.3
F. Kadıoğlu sub21000000Y6.2
D. Gómez sub21001112Y6.3
D. Welbeck sub2100000106.7
J. Milner sub1000000006.5
B. Gruda sub800100106.3

Fulham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Leno9000000006.9
K. Tete9000000307.5
J. Andersen9000000307.3
C. Bassey90000002Y6.5
S. Lukić9000001106.6
H. Wilson9000100106.6
Jorge Cuenca8400000106.3
Joshua King7700111306.2
S. Berge6600000106.2
A. Iwobi6600103007
R. Jiménez6600200005.6
T. Cairney sub24000000Y6.3
Adama Traoré sub2400000006.5
Rodrigo Muniz sub24101100Y7.3
T. Castagne sub1400000006.3
E. Smith Rowe sub1300000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Brighton v Fulham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrightonWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FulhamWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brighton 1 · 1 draw · Fulham 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-03-08 Brighton 2–1 Fulham
  • 2024-12-05 Fulham 3–1 Brighton
  • 2024-03-02 Fulham 3–0 Brighton
  • 2023-10-29 Brighton 1–1 Fulham
  • 2023-02-18 Brighton 0–1 Fulham
  • 2022-08-30 Fulham 2–1 Brighton
League standing · 2025/26
Brighton#8 pos53 pts38 pl+6 GD
Fulham#11 pos52 pts38 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Brighton scored1.37
Fulham scored1.24
Brighton conceded1.21
Fulham conceded1.34

Shot map and expected goals

Brighton 1.44 xG from 10 shots, Fulham 0.92 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Brajan Gruda 88' · 0.31 xGRaúl Jiménez 47' · 0.15 xGYankuba Minteh 64' · 0.14 xGRaúl Jiménez 1' · 0.09 xGJoshua King 47' · 0.09 xGKaoru Mitoma 27' · 0.08 xGHarry Wilson 42' · 0.04 xGEmile Smith-Rowe 95' · 0.04 xGGeorginio Rutter 37' · 0.03 xGLewis Dunk 86' · 0.03 xGDiego Gómez 75' · 0.02 xGGeorginio Rutter 25' · 0.02 xGCarlos Baleba 13' · 0.02 xGAlex Iwobi 57' · 0.01 xGMats Wieffer 42' · 0.01 xGMatt O'Riley 54' · 0.76 xG · goalRodrigo Muniz 96' · 0.49 xG · goal
Brighton (attacking right)Fulham (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Brighton1011.44
Fulham710.92

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Brighton v Fulham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brighton v Fulham was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Fulham?
In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 1, Fulham won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brighton and Fulham?
Recent form — Brighton 4W 1D 0L; Fulham 2W 0D 3L.

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