Brighton v Liverpool prediction

Premier League · Sun, 23 May 2027 15:00 BST · Amex Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Brighton · Liverpool · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Brighton v Liverpool, Premier League on Sun, 23 May 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Brighton host Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday 23 May (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Brighton have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

Form and the table

Nine of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in four of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Brighton have five wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.67 points per game, scoring 3.50 and conceding 0.17. Brighton have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

Nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Liverpool have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.50. Liverpool have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Liverpool have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Brighton are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Liverpool are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Brighton (third) and Liverpool (sixth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brighton the stronger side, 94 rating points above Liverpool (Brighton 1853, Liverpool 1759, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 October 2026, finished Liverpool 2–0 Brighton.

Team news

Predicted Brighton XI (4-2-3-1): B. Verbruggen, O. Boscagli, Costinha, L. Vušković, L. Dunk, P. Groß, Y. Ayari, D. Gómez, M. Yalcouyé, M. De Cuyper, G. Rutter — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pascal Groß (4.5 per match over 16 appearances, four goals and four assists) and Charalampos Kostoulas (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Brighton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brighton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pascal Groß averages 3.6 key passes per 90 over 1434 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Charalampos Kostoulas averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 943 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1): A. Becker, V. van Dijk, J. Jacquet, R. Araújo, K. Tsimikas, A. Mac Allister, T. Nyoni, F. Wirtz, B. Barcola, R. Gravenberch, A. Isak — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (6.0 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and six assists) and Florian Wirtz (3.8 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 1598 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Florian Wirtz averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 1857 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 23 May 2027 15:00 BST · Premier League · Amex Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): Brighton 2 · draws 0 · Liverpool 4 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Brighton 2W 2D 1L · Liverpool 2W 1D 2L

Brighton v Liverpool (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.13

Goals

against 0.5 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6 / 7.86

Corners

against 4.43 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.71 / 5.29

Shots on target

against 3.29 / 3.57 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2 / 1.86

Cards

against 1 / 2.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Brighton for / against	Line	Liverpool for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	7.86 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	18.57 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	19.14 for · 13.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.71 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.29 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 9.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5

Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Verbruggen	14	901260 min	362.6 /90	70.5 /90	00 /90
Jason Steele	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 8	90	3.1 6/5
Jason Steele n 8	90	3.6 6/4

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Vušković	15	791180 min	171.3 /90	181.4 /90	80.6 /90	886.7 /90	151.1 /90	10.1 /90
O. Boscagli	15	761140 min	90.7 /90	171.3 /90	20.2 /90	383 /90	141.1 /90	30.2 /90
L. Dunk	11	72794 min	70.8 /90	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	404.5 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
Costinha	9	70627 min	101.4 /90	81.1 /90	10.1 /90	426 /90	81.1 /90	30.4 /90
F. Kadıoğlu	8	77617 min	40.6 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90	142 /90	30.4 /90	20.3 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Groß n 8	78.3	1.3 5/2	0.6 3/1	—
L. Vušković n 8	70.3	1.4 4/2	1.1 5/1	—
O. Boscagli n 8	67.4	0.5 3/0	0.8 4/1	—
B. Verbruggen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Y. Ayari n 8	71.1	0.5 3/0	1.4 5/3	—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Groß n 8	78.3	2 5/3
L. Vušković n 8	70.3	1.3 6/2
O. Boscagli n 8	67.4	0.7 3/1
Y. Ayari n 8	71.1	0.9 4/2
D. Gómez n 8	70.8	2.4 6/3
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Kostoulas	12	70843 min	50.5 /90	30.3 /90	293.1 /90	111.2 /90	111.2 /90	131.4 /90
G. Rutter	7	67471 min	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	132.5 /90	71.3 /90	81.5 /90	91.7 /90
I. Osman	5	55274 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	93 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	41.3 /90
P. David	2	2855 min	00 /90	00 /90	34.9 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	11.6 /90
Z. Yohanna	1	2424 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.8 /90	00 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Groß n 8	78.3	0.7 5/0	0.3 2/0
L. Vušković n 8	70.3	1.6 6/3	0.2 1/0
O. Boscagli n 8	67.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
B. Verbruggen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Ayari n 8	71.1	1.9 7/4	0.5 2/1
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Groß n 8	78.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
L. Vušković n 8	70.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Boscagli n 8	67.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
B. Verbruggen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Ayari n 8	71.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alisson Becker	13	901170 min	282.2 /90	120.9 /90	00 /90
G. Mamardashvili	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 8	90	1.6 4/1
G. Mamardashvili n 8	86	3.7 8/6

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jérémy Jacquet	14	811136 min	312.5 /90	241.9 /90	110.9 /90	695.5 /90	131 /90	20.2 /90
V. van Dijk	13	851108 min	90.7 /90	141.1 /90	20.2 /90	574.6 /90	90.7 /90	30.2 /90
R. Araújo	12	71850 min	111.2 /90	70.7 /90	70.7 /90	515.4 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90
M. Kerkez	11	83913 min	212.1 /90	90.9 /90	40.4 /90	504.9 /90	181.8 /90	40.4 /90
Jeremie Frimpong	7	58404 min	92 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90	163.6 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0.9 6/1	0.7 3/2	—
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	1 4/3	0.7 3/2	—
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	1.5 5/3	0.9 4/3	—
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	2 6/3	1.7 5/4	—
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	2.7 7/5
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0.5 3/1
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	1.5 7/4
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	2.2 6/4
R. Araújo n 8	72.3	1.2 4/3
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Isak	11	72797 min	70.8 /90	10.1 /90	232.6 /90	101.1 /90	91 /90	70.8 /90
L. Koumas	4	79317 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	72 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90
A. Mac Allister	13	771007 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	222 /90	80.7 /90	191.7 /90	80.7 /90
F. Wirtz	13	73954 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	201.9 /90	70.7 /90	312.9 /90	121.1 /90
B. Barcola	12	64772 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	192.2 /90	80.9 /90	101.2 /90	172 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	1.1 5/2	0.3 1/1
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	2.4 7/5	0.8 5/1
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	2.5 5/3	0.7 2/2
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brighton v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BrightonDLDWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

LiverpoolWWDLL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Brighton 2 · 0 draws · Liverpool 4 · 3 goals/game

2026-10-25 Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
2026-03-21 Brighton 2–1 Liverpool
2026-02-14 Liverpool 3–0 Brighton
2025-12-13 Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
2025-05-19 Brighton 3–2 Liverpool
2024-11-02 Liverpool 2–1 Brighton

League standing · 2026/27

Brighton#3 pos19 pts9 pl+17 GD

Liverpool#6 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Brighton scored2.67

Liverpool scored1.22

Brighton conceded0.78

Liverpool conceded1

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Liverpool?: In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 2, Liverpool won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brighton and Liverpool?: Recent form — Brighton 2W 2D 1L; Liverpool 2W 1D 2L.

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