Brighton v Newcastle result
Team pages: Brighton · Newcastle · Head-to-head
Brighton 2–1 Newcastle — Brighton won this Premier League match.
What xG said
xG said Newcastle: 1.29 to 0.86 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 75th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.
The result
Brighton beat Newcastle 2–1 at American Express Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 18 October. Brighton have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Newcastle have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Brighton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Brighton: Daniel Welbeck (41’, assisted by Georginio Rutter; 84’); Newcastle: Nick Woltemade (76’, assisted by Lewis Miley).
Discipline
C. Pawson showed one yellow card — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Newcastle: D. Burn (90+7’).
What it changes
Brighton move up from 12th to eighth (eight league matches played).
Newcastle move down from 11th to 12th (eight league matches played).
Brighton are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Welbeck (Brighton) 11.0, Georginio Rutter (Brighton) 6.7 and Nick Woltemade (Newcastle) 5.5 led the match.
Next up
Brighton next host Crystal Palace on 18 October 2026.
Newcastle next travel to Crystal Palace on 25 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Brighton: Brighton v Crystal Palace, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Newcastle: Crystal Palace v Newcastle, Sunday 25 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Brighton 2–1 Newcastle · Premier League
- Venue: American Express Stadium · Falmer, East Sussex
- Referee: C. Pawson
- Head-to-head (last 6): Brighton 3 · draws 2 · Newcastle 1 · 2.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Brighton 2W 2D 1L · Newcastle 3W 1D 1L
Brighton 2–1 Newcastle (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Brighton for / against | Line | Newcastle for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.38 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.38 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: C. Pawson — 2.76 yellow cards a game, 0.06 red cards, 20.71 fouls over 17 matches (1.24 to the home side, 1.53 to the away side).
Brighton
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Baleba n 8 | 45.4 | 3.2 | 0.7 | Joelinton |
| S. Tzimas n 8 | 22.4 | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Mitoma n 8 | 79.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Hinshelwood n 8 | 43.6 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| D. Gómez n 8 | 71.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | N. Woltemade |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Tzimas n 8 | 22.4 | 3 | 2.5 |
| B. Gruda n 8 | 39.9 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| H. Howell n 3 | 39.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| M. De Cuyper n 8 | 55 | 2 | 1.2 |
| D. Gómez n 8 | 71.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Tzimas n 8 | 22.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| H. Howell n 3 | 39.7 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| B. Gruda n 8 | 39.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| T. Watson n 8 | 51.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| D. Gómez n 8 | 71.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Wieffer n 8 | 70.1 | 5.8 |
| D. Gómez n 8 | 71.3 | 3.9 |
| J. Veltman n 8 | 65 | 3.1 |
| Y. Ayari n 8 | 72.5 | 2.3 |
| O. Boscagli n 8 | 86.8 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Verbruggen n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
Newcastle
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Osula n 8 | 34.9 | 4.5 | 0.6 | — |
| J. Willock n 8 | 41.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | — |
| Joelinton n 8 | 71.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | C. Baleba |
| K. Trippier n 8 | 66.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 | — |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 65.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | D. Gómez |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gordon n 8 | 74.4 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Joelinton n 8 | 71.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| H. Barnes n 8 | 32.3 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| J. Murphy n 8 | 51 | 2 | 1.1 |
| W. Osula n 8 | 34.9 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Osula n 8 | 34.9 | 1 | 0.3 |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 65.4 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Bruno Guimarães n 8 | 83.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| A. Gordon n 8 | 74.4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| H. Barnes n 8 | 32.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lewis Hall n 8 | 60.1 | 5.4 |
| J. Willock n 8 | 41.1 | 3 |
| A. Murphy n 8 | 71.8 | 2.7 |
| L. Miley n 8 | 40.4 | 2 |
| D. Burn n 8 | 81.1 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Pope n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
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Match statistics & details
| Brighton | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Possession | 54% |
| 0.91 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.45 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 6 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 421 | Passes | 491 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
Brighton player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Verbruggen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Wieffer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. van Hecke | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.9 |
| L. Dunk | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| F. Kadıoğlu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Y. Ayari | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Y. Minteh | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Welbeck | 89 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8.6 |
| C. Baleba | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| G. Rutter | 71 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Gómez | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. De Cuyper sub | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Milner sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Tzimas sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Diego Coppola sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Kostoulas sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Newcastle player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pope | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Trippier | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Thiaw | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Botman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| D. Burn | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.3 |
| N. Woltemade | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Bruno Guimarães | 86 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Tonali | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Gordon | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Joelinton | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Elanga | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Miley sub | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Murphy sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Ramsey sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| H. Barnes sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| W. Osula sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Brighton v Newcastle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-05-04 Brighton 1–1 Newcastle
- 2025-03-02 Newcastle 1–2 Brighton
- 2024-10-19 Newcastle 0–1 Brighton
- 2024-05-11 Newcastle 1–1 Brighton
- 2023-09-02 Brighton 3–1 Newcastle
- 2023-05-18 Newcastle 4–1 Brighton
Shot map and expected goals
Brighton 0.86 xG from 13 shots, Newcastle 1.29 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 13 | 2 | 0.86 |
| Newcastle | 16 | 1 | 1.29 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Newcastle?
- In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 3, Newcastle won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Brighton and Newcastle?
- Recent form — Brighton 2W 2D 1L; Newcastle 3W 1D 1L.
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