Crystal Palace v Liverpool prediction

Premier League · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Selhurst Park

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 22:48 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Crystal Palace · Liverpool · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Premier League on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.57 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Crystal Palace host Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Crystal Palace have conceded 21 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Form and the table

Nine of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Crystal Palace have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.57. Crystal Palace have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Liverpool have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.50. Liverpool have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Liverpool have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Liverpool are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Crystal Palace (18th) and Liverpool (fifth) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Liverpool the stronger side, 340 rating points above Crystal Palace (Liverpool 1759, Crystal Palace 1419, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace.

Team news

Predicted Crystal Palace XI (3-4-2-1): D. Henderson, C. Richards, J. Canvot, A. Disasi, A. Wharton, T. Mitchell, A. Khalaili, D. Kamada, Ó. Mingueza, Q. Timber, Y. Pino — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Anan Khalaili (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Dean Henderson (3.9 per match over six appearances) have been Crystal Palace’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crystal Palace (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Anan Khalaili averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1145 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Dean Henderson averages 4.6 saves per 90 over 630 minutes, with two or more saves in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1): A. Becker, V. van Dijk, J. Jacquet, R. Araújo, K. Tsimikas, A. Mac Allister, T. Nyoni, F. Wirtz, B. Barcola, R. Gravenberch, A. Isak — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (6.0 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and six assists) and Florian Wirtz (3.8 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 1598 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Florian Wirtz averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 1857 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

The referee

T. Harrington takes charge; across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 2.7 yellow cards a game and 0.29 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Premier League · Selhurst Park
Referee: T. Harrington
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Crystal Palace 2 · draws 2 · Liverpool 2 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Crystal Palace 1W 2D 2L · Liverpool 2W 1D 2L

Crystal Palace v Liverpool (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.13

Goals

against 2 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

3.38 / 7.86

Corners

against 7.38 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.5 / 5.29

Shots on target

against 5 / 3.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.38 / 1.86

Cards

against 2 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

2.71 yellows

Referee · T. Harrington

19.71 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Crystal Palace for / against	Line	Liverpool for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.38 for · 7.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.86 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	9.25 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.14 for · 13.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.29 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.63 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: T. Harrington — 2.71 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 19.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
W. Benítez	9	90810 min	252.8 /90	141.6 /90	00 /90
D. Henderson	6	90540 min	274.5 /90	61 /90	00 /90

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
W. Benítez n 8	90	2.6 5/4
D. Henderson n 8	90	4.1 7/7

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Richards	14	891244 min	261.9 /90	211.5 /90	80.6 /90	584.2 /90	100.7 /90	20.1 /90
J. Canvot	12	841006 min	302.7 /90	201.8 /90	60.5 /90	585.2 /90	90.8 /90	20.2 /90
A. Disasi	9	74663 min	131.8 /90	192.6 /90	50.7 /90	304.1 /90	101.4 /90	00 /90
H. Ahanor	7	72506 min	81.4 /90	61.1 /90	10.2 /90	285 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90
Óscar Mingueza	7	56393 min	153.4 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90	266 /90	71.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Wharton n 8	80.5	0.8 3/2	0.8 4/1	—
C. Richards n 8	90	0.9 6/1	0.3 2/0	—
T. Mitchell n 8	82.4	0.8 3/2	0.8 5/1	—
D. Kamada n 8	80.8	0.7 5/0	1 4/2	—
Yeremy Pino n 8	76.6	1.2 5/1	1.6 7/3	—
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Wharton n 8	80.5	1.5 5/4
C. Richards n 8	90	1.8 5/4
T. Mitchell n 8	82.4	3.1 7/5
D. Kamada n 8	80.8	1 4/3
Yeremy Pino n 8	76.6	2.1 6/6
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Kamada	14	791104 min	40.3 /90	30.2 /90	121 /90	70.6 /90	110.9 /90	70.6 /90
Yeremy Pino	14	721005 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	191.7 /90	80.7 /90	201.8 /90	141.3 /90
J. Strand Larsen	11	62678 min	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	182.4 /90	101.3 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90
D. McNeil	10	41410 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90	51.1 /90	30.7 /90
E. Nketiah	10	41405 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	81.8 /90	40.9 /90	40.9 /90	51.1 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Wharton n 8	80.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
C. Richards n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
T. Mitchell n 8	82.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
D. Kamada n 8	80.8	1.5 7/3	0.8 5/1
Yeremy Pino n 8	76.6	1.3 5/2	0.7 5/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Wharton n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
C. Richards n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Mitchell n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Kamada n 8	80.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Yeremy Pino n 8	76.6	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alisson Becker	13	901170 min	282.2 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90
G. Mamardashvili	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 8	90	1.6 4/1
G. Mamardashvili n 8	86	3.7 8/6

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jérémy Jacquet	14	811136 min	312.5 /90	241.9 /90	110.9 /90	695.5 /90	131 /90	20.2 /90
V. van Dijk	13	851108 min	90.7 /90	141.1 /90	20.2 /90	574.6 /90	90.7 /90	30.2 /90
R. Araújo	12	71850 min	111.2 /90	70.7 /90	70.7 /90	515.4 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90
M. Kerkez	11	83913 min	212.1 /90	90.9 /90	40.4 /90	504.9 /90	181.8 /90	40.4 /90
Jeremie Frimpong	7	58404 min	92 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90	163.6 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0.9 6/1	0.7 3/2	—
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	1 4/3	0.7 3/2	—
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	1.5 5/3	0.9 4/3	—
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	2 6/3	1.7 5/4	—
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	2.7 7/5
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0.5 3/1
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	1.5 7/4
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	2.2 6/4
R. Araújo n 8	72.3	1.2 4/3
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Isak	11	72797 min	70.8 /90	10.1 /90	242.7 /90	101.1 /90	91 /90	70.8 /90
L. Koumas	4	79317 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	72 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90
A. Mac Allister	13	771007 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	222 /90	80.7 /90	191.7 /90	80.7 /90
F. Wirtz	13	73954 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	201.9 /90	70.7 /90	312.9 /90	121.1 /90
B. Barcola	12	64772 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	192.2 /90	80.9 /90	101.2 /90	172 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	1.1 5/2	0.3 1/1
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	2.4 7/5	0.8 5/1
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	2.5 5/3	0.7 2/2
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
F. Wirtz n 8	66.5	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crystal Palace v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Crystal PalaceDLWLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

LiverpoolWWDLL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Crystal Palace 2 · 2 draws · Liverpool 2 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-04-25 Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace
2025-10-29 Liverpool 0–3 Crystal Palace
2025-09-27 Crystal Palace 2–1 Liverpool
2025-08-10 Crystal Palace 2–2 Liverpool
2025-05-25 Liverpool 1–1 Crystal Palace
2024-10-05 Crystal Palace 0–1 Liverpool

League standing · 2026/27

Crystal Palace#18 pos7 pts9 pl-12 GD

Liverpool#5 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Crystal Palace scored1

Liverpool scored1.22

Crystal Palace conceded2.33

Liverpool conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace v Liverpool?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Crystal Palace v Liverpool is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Liverpool?: In their last 6 meetings, Crystal Palace won 2, Liverpool won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Liverpool?: Recent form — Crystal Palace 1W 2D 2L; Liverpool 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 22:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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