Crystal Palace v Newcastle prediction

Premier League · · Selhurst Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Crystal Palace · Newcastle · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle, Premier League on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Crystal Palace host Newcastle in the Premier League on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Crystal Palace or Newcastle (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in nine of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Crystal Palace have five wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 9 home matches — 1.78 points per game, scoring 2.11 and conceding 1.44. Crystal Palace have scored nine goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Crystal Palace have conceded 12 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Newcastle’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Newcastle’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Newcastle have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.71. Newcastle have scored 10 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Newcastle have conceded 14 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Crystal Palace (13th) and Newcastle (11th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Crystal Palace the stronger side, 66 rating points above Newcastle (Crystal Palace 1553, Newcastle 1487, after at least 348 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle.

Team news

Predicted Crystal Palace XI (3-4-2-1): W. Benítez, C. Richards, J. Canvot, H. Ahanor, A. Wharton, T. Mitchell, A. Khalaili, Q. Timber, Y. Pino, D. Kamada, J. Strand Larsen — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Daichi Kamada (4.4 per match over nine appearances, three goals and three assists) and Anan Khalaili (4.0 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Crystal Palace’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crystal Palace (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Daichi Kamada averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1178 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Anan Khalaili averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 790 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Newcastle XI (4-2-3-1): L. Horníček, S. Botman, M. Thiaw, L. Hall, A. Dedić, H. Barnes, J. Willock, N. González, L. Miley, J. Murphy, Y. Wissa — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis Hall (5.7 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) and Harvey Barnes (4.5 per match over nine appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Newcastle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis Hall averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 1102 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Barnes averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 785 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Selhurst Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Crystal Palace 2 · draws 1 · Newcastle 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L · Newcastle 2W 0D 3L

TACTIX runs Crystal Palace v Newcastle (Premier League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.38 / 6.38
Corners
against 5.5 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCrystal Palace for / againstLineNewcastle for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 17 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.34/4
2.15/3
—
Z. Gozo n 855.9
2.26/3
0.42/0
—
H. Ahanor n 864.6
2.15/4
1.44/1
—
W. Hughes n 843.3
2.16/2
2.15/3
—
Q. Timber n 856
25/4
25/3
—
Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Strand Larsen n 854
3.16/4
1.54/3
I. Sarr n 858
2.75/4
1.23/2
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.55/3
0.83/1
Z. Gozo n 855.9
24/3
0.82/1
E. Nketiah n 833
24/2
13/0
Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Kamada n 860.8
0.63/0
0.41/1
I. Sarr n 858
0.83/1
0.21/0
Yeremy Pino n 861
0.63/0
00/0
E. Nketiah n 833
0.31/0
0.31/0
A. Wharton n 881
00/0
0.43/0
Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Óscar Mingueza n 833.6
3.76/1
Z. Gozo n 855.9
3.27/4
T. Mitchell n 886.4
2.97/6
W. Hughes n 843.3
2.63/2
D. McNeil n 826.1
2.63/2
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 882.1
3.35/5
W. Benítez n 893.8
37/5
Newcastle
Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joelinton n 870.3
2.98/5
0.52/1
—
Nico González n 867.3
2.86/5
0.83/1
—
A. Bamba n 841
2.75/1
1.44/1
—
J. Ramsey n 856.4
25/3
12/1
—
B. Touré n 822.9
23/1
0.51/0
—
Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Willock n 865.1
3.58/5
0.93/1
N. Woltemade n 844.9
3.36/4
1.33/1
H. Barnes n 884.3
2.78/7
1.26/2
Y. Wissa n 876.5
2.57/5
0.43/0
B. Touré n 822.9
2.53/2
23/1
Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Touré n 822.9
12/0
00/0
W. Osula n 856.8
0.62/1
0.21/0
H. Barnes n 884.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
A. Elanga n 862.5
0.74/0
00/0
J. Ramsey n 856.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Ramsey n 856.4
3.86/5
A. Bamba n 841
3.66/2
B. Touré n 822.9
34/2
Lewis Hall n 886.4
2.38/4
T. Livramento n 851
24/3
Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 890
2.87/5
E. Jaouen n 890
2.35/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Crystal Palace v Newcastle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Crystal PalaceLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
NewcastleWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Crystal Palace 2 · 1 draw · Newcastle 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-12 Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle
  • 2026-01-04 Newcastle 2–0 Crystal Palace
  • 2025-04-16 Newcastle 5–0 Crystal Palace
  • 2024-11-30 Crystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle
  • 2024-04-24 Crystal Palace 2–0 Newcastle
  • 2023-10-21 Newcastle 4–0 Crystal Palace
League standing · 2026/27
Crystal Palace#13 pos7 pts6 pl-3 GD
Newcastle#11 pos8 pts7 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Crystal Palace scored1.5
Newcastle scored1.43
Crystal Palace conceded2
Newcastle conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crystal Palace v Newcastle is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Newcastle?
In their last 6 meetings, Crystal Palace won 2, Newcastle won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Newcastle?
Recent form — Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L; Newcastle 2W 0D 3L.

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