Everton v Arsenal prediction

Premier League · Sun, 23 May 2027 15:00 BST · Hill Dickinson Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Everton · Arsenal · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Everton v Arsenal, Premier League on Sun, 23 May 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Everton host Arsenal in the Premier League on Sunday 23 May (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Arsenal have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game).

Arsenal have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Arsenal are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Everton, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Six of Everton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Everton’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Everton have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.13. Everton have scored 12 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Everton have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Arsenal have seven wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 10 away matches in all competitions — 2.30 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.90. Arsenal have scored 15 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game).

Everton have won their last three matches in all competitions. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Everton (fifth) and Arsenal (first) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arsenal the stronger side, 298 rating points above Everton (Arsenal 1937, Everton 1639, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 October 2026, finished Arsenal 2–0 Everton.

Team news

Predicted Everton XI (4-2-3-1): J. Pickford, J. Tarkowski, V. Mykolenko, J. Branthwaite, J. O'Brien, J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall, H. Armstrong, T. George, T. Dibling, T. Barry — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Thierno Barry (6.2 per match over 13 appearances, 10 goals and three assists) and Iliman Ndiaye (5.1 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Everton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Everton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Thierno Barry averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 1085 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Iliman Ndiaye averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1201 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Arsenal XI (4-2-3-1): D. Raya, G. Magalhães, E. Konsa, J. Timber, R. Calafiori, D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, N. Madueke, B. Guimarães, E. Eze, V. Gyökeres — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bukayo Saka (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Declan Rice (4.1 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and five assists) have been Arsenal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arsenal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bukayo Saka averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1364 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Declan Rice averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1866 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 23 May 2027 15:00 BST · Premier League · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): Everton 0 · draws 2 · Arsenal 4 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Everton 3W 0D 2L · Arsenal 4W 1D 0L

Everton v Arsenal (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.63

Goals

against 1 / 0.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 6.14

Corners

against 6 / 4.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5 / 5.14

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.13 / 1.71

Cards

against 2.5 / 2.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Everton for / against	Line	Arsenal for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.14 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13.5 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.57 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.14 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.14 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.71 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5

Everton

Everton Goalkeeper

Everton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Pickford	13	901170 min	393 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90

Everton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 8	90	3.4 8/4

Everton Defensive

Everton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Tarkowski	12	901080 min	161.3 /90	242 /90	90.8 /90	776.4 /90	70.6 /90	30.3 /90
V. Mykolenko	12	881060 min	211.8 /90	121 /90	80.7 /90	635.3 /90	60.5 /90	30.3 /90
Jarrad Branthwaite	9	89801 min	101.1 /90	131.5 /90	111.2 /90	525.8 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
M. Röhl	9	86774 min	151.7 /90	101.2 /90	10.1 /90	384.4 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
J. O'Brien	6	65392 min	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	204.6 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
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Everton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Pickford n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	0.6 3/1	1.8 7/5	—
T. Barry n 8	84.3	1.3 5/3	1.5 6/4	—
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	0.8 5/1	1.4 5/4	—
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	0.6 4/1	1.5 6/4	—
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Everton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	1.8 6/5
T. Barry n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	1.4 6/2
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	2.1 7/3
James Garner n 8	90	1.8 6/3
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Everton Attacking

Everton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Barry	13	831085 min	100.8 /90	30.2 /90	403.3 /90	242 /90	171.4 /90	100.8 /90
B. Johnson	10	47467 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	51 /90	20.4 /90	81.5 /90	20.4 /90
Beto	1	2020 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
K. Dewsbury-Hall	13	891151 min	30.2 /90	20.2 /90	241.9 /90	100.8 /90	302.3 /90	131 /90
James Garner	12	841013 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	100.9 /90	40.4 /90	151.3 /90	30.3 /90
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Everton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Pickford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	1.6 7/4	0.4 3/0
T. Barry n 8	84.3	3.2 8/7	2 8/5
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
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Everton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Pickford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
T. Barry n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
David Raya	15	901350 min	342.3 /90	60.4 /90	10.1 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
David Raya n 8	90	2.3 6/4
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 8	89.6	1.8 5/2

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães	16	871395 min	181.2 /90	191.2 /90	110.7 /90	684.4 /90	171.1 /90	20.1 /90
E. Konsa	13	841097 min	201.6 /90	110.9 /90	30.2 /90	655.3 /90	110.9 /90	20.2 /90
Riccardo Calafiori	12	77921 min	151.5 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	403.9 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90
Ben White	10	78784 min	182.1 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	434.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
J. Timber	8	63504 min	91.6 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90	274.8 /90	61.1 /90	10.2 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.8 5/1	—
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 4/1	—
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	0.7 4/1	0.5 3/1	—
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	0.4 2/1	1.3 5/3	—
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	1.5 5/2	1.1 4/2	—
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	1.4 7/3
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	2 5/4
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	0.4 2/1
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	0.4 2/0
E. Konsa n 8	86.5	1.8 6/3
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Havertz	14	66921 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	161.6 /90	90.9 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90
Viktor Gyökeres	11	46506 min	10.2 /90	30.5 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	132.3 /90	00 /90
Declan Rice	15	821232 min	10.1 /90	50.4 /90	130.9 /90	40.3 /90	201.5 /90	80.6 /90
Martin Ødegaard	14	801113 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	161.3 /90	90.7 /90	342.7 /90	110.9 /90
Bruno Guimarães	13	53683 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	162.1 /90	50.7 /90	50.7 /90	70.9 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 1/1
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	1.1 4/2	0.5 3/1
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	1.1 4/3	0.6 3/1
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	1.5 5/3	0.6 3/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Everton v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

EvertonLLWWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

ArsenalWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Everton 0 · 2 draws · Arsenal 4 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-10-24 Arsenal 2–0 Everton
2026-03-14 Arsenal 2–0 Everton
2025-12-20 Everton 0–1 Arsenal
2025-04-05 Everton 1–1 Arsenal
2024-12-14 Arsenal 0–0 Everton
2024-05-19 Arsenal 2–1 Everton

League standing · 2026/27

Everton#5 pos16 pts10 pl+2 GD

Arsenal#1 pos27 pts10 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Everton scored1.2

Arsenal scored1.5

Everton conceded1

Arsenal conceded0.5

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Arsenal?: In their last 6 meetings, Everton won 0, Arsenal won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Everton and Arsenal?: Recent form — Everton 3W 0D 2L; Arsenal 4W 1D 0L.

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