Everton v Coventry prediction

Premier League · Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Hill Dickinson Stadium

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 16:18 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Everton v Coventry, Premier League on Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.4% of 1690 landed (95% range 73.3–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 963 of 1,297 times (74.2%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Everton host Coventry in the Premier League on Friday 6 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Everton or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Seven of Everton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Everton’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Everton have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.38. Everton have scored eight goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Everton have conceded nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

10 of Coventry’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Coventry’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Coventry have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.43. Coventry have scored six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Coventry have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Everton (11th) and Coventry (19th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Everton the stronger side, 110 rating points above Coventry (Everton 1539, Coventry 1429, after at least eight rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Everton XI (4-2-3-1): J. Pickford, J. Tarkowski, V. Mykolenko, J. O'Brien, J. Branthwaite, J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall, H. Armstrong, T. George, B. Johnson, T. Barry — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Thierno Barry (5.7 per match over 11 appearances, seven goals and two assists) and Iliman Ndiaye (5.1 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Everton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Everton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Thierno Barry averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 915 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Iliman Ndiaye averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 1028 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Coventry XI (3-4-2-1): C. Rushworth, E. Pinnock, J. Dasilva, M. van Ewijk, C. Yirenkyi, J. Rudoni, M. Grimes, T. Sakamoto, B. Thomas-Asante, V. Torp, S. Cherif — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Rudoni (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, four goals) and V. Torp (3.7 per match over seven appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Coventry’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Coventry (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Rudoni averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 713 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. V. Torp averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 335 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Premier League · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Everton 2W 1D 2L · Coventry 3W 0D 2L

Everton v Coventry (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.75 / 3.5

Corners

against 6.25 / 5.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 1.5

Cards

against 2.38 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Everton for / against	Line	Coventry for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.38 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 17.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.5 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Everton

Everton Goalkeeper

Everton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Pickford	11	90990 min	343.1 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90

Everton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 8	90	3.1 7/3

Everton Defensive

Everton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Tarkowski	10	90900 min	161.6 /90	222.2 /90	90.9 /90	737.3 /90	60.6 /90	30.3 /90
V. Mykolenko	10	88880 min	202 /90	101 /90	80.8 /90	525.3 /90	60.6 /90	30.3 /90
Jarrad Branthwaite	7	90630 min	81.1 /90	111.6 /90	111.6 /90	284 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
M. Röhl	7	87611 min	111.6 /90	101.5 /90	10.1 /90	274 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90
A. Maitland-Niles	5	77387 min	71.6 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	153.5 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
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Everton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Pickford n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	0.6 3/1	2 7/6	—
T. Barry n 8	85.5	0.8 4/2	1.3 6/4	—
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	0.8 5/1	1.8 6/5	—
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	0.8 5/1	1.3 5/3	—
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Everton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	1.4 5/4
T. Barry n 8	85.5	0.1 1/0
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	1.9 8/3
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	2.4 8/4
James Garner n 8	88.4	1.9 6/2
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Everton Attacking

Everton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Barry	11	83915 min	70.7 /90	20.2 /90	313 /90	212.1 /90	141.4 /90	80.8 /90
T. Dibling	5	54272 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	31 /90	62 /90	93 /90
Beto	1	2020 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
K. Dewsbury-Hall	11	88971 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	191.8 /90	80.7 /90	262.4 /90	100.9 /90
James Garner	10	83833 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	70.8 /90	40.4 /90	141.5 /90	20.2 /90
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Everton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Pickford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	1.4 7/3	0.5 3/1
T. Barry n 8	85.5	2.5 8/7	1.7 7/4
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Everton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Pickford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
T. Barry n 8	85.5	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Coventry

Coventry Goalkeeper

Coventry — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Rushworth	9	90810 min	182 /90	151.7 /90	00 /90
D. Bentley	2	90180 min	94.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Coventry — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Rushworth n 8	90	2 6/1

Coventry Defensive

Coventry — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Thomas	10	81813 min	70.8 /90	111.2 /90	91 /90	444.9 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90
J. Dasilva	9	89805 min	111.2 /90	70.8 /90	60.7 /90	252.8 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
M. van Ewijk	8	90720 min	141.8 /90	162 /90	40.5 /90	303.8 /90	50.6 /90	20.3 /90
E. Pinnock	8	89708 min	91.1 /90	111.4 /90	131.7 /90	283.6 /90	20.3 /90	10.1 /90
A. Amenda	5	81405 min	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	40.9 /90	204.4 /90	71.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Coventry — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 8	62.6	3.8 6/4	1.4 6/2	—
B. Thomas n 8	84.8	0.7 5/0	0.9 4/2	—
J. Rudoni n 8	78.9	1.7 6/5	1.6 6/4	—
B. Thomas-Asante n 8	51.4	0.4 2/0	3.5 6/5	—
C. Rushworth n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
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Coventry — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 8	62.6	1.1 3/2
B. Thomas n 8	84.8	0.8 5/1
J. Rudoni n 8	78.9	1 5/2
B. Thomas-Asante n 8	51.4	1.5 3/3
J. Dasilva n 8	89.4	1.4 5/5
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Coventry Attacking

Coventry — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Thomas-Asante	10	50501 min	00 /90	20.4 /90	91.6 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	71.3 /90
T. Awoniyi	8	54429 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	112.3 /90	40.8 /90	61.3 /90	61.3 /90
S. Cherif	7	47331 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	82.2 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90
L. Tchaouna	5	49246 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.8 /90	31.1 /90	41.5 /90	20.7 /90
E. Simms	4	34137 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	21.3 /90	10.7 /90
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Coventry — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 8	62.6	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
B. Thomas n 8	84.8	1.3 5/3	0 0/0
J. Rudoni n 8	78.9	1.6 6/3	0.7 5/0
B. Thomas-Asante n 8	51.4	1.8 4/3	0.9 3/1
C. Rushworth n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Coventry — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 8	62.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Thomas n 8	84.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Rudoni n 8	78.9	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
B. Thomas-Asante n 8	51.4	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
C. Rushworth n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Everton v Coventry — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

EvertonWDLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

CoventryWWLLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Everton#11 pos10 pts8 pl-1 GD

Coventry#19 pos6 pts8 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Everton scored1

Coventry scored0.75

Everton conceded1.13

Coventry conceded1.88

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Everton v Coventry?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Everton v Coventry is Home or Draw.
What is the recent form of Everton and Coventry?: Recent form — Everton 2W 1D 2L; Coventry 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 16:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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