Haverfordwest County AFC v Holywell result

Full-time · Haverfordwest County AFC 1–0 Holywell

Premier League – Wales · · Bridge Meadow Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Haverfordwest County AFC 1–0 Holywell — Haverfordwest County AFC won this Premier League – Wales match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Haverfordwest County AFC beat Holywell 1–0 at Bridge Meadow Stadium in the Cymru Premier on Friday 18 September.

Holywell have conceded 44 goals, the most of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far).

The goals

Haverfordwest County AFC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Haverfordwest County AFC: B. Ahmun (23’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with B. Ahmun’s goal on 23 minutes.

What it changes

Haverfordwest County AFC stay 11th after this result (nine league matches played). Haverfordwest County AFC have scored 11 goals, the third-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Haverfordwest County AFC have conceded 20 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Holywell stay 16th after this result (10 league matches played). Holywell have scored 14 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Haverfordwest County AFC are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Holywell are winless in at least their last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Haverfordwest County AFC next travel to Ammanford AFC on 30 October 2026.

Holywell next travel to Flint Town United on 30 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Haverfordwest County AFC: Ammanford AFC v Haverfordwest County AFC, Friday 30 October — the preview. Next for Holywell: Flint Town United v Holywell, Friday 30 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Haverfordwest County AFC 1–0 Holywell · Premier League – Wales
  • Venue: Bridge Meadow Stadium · Haverfordwest
  • Referee: D. Morgan
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Haverfordwest County AFC 2W 1D 2L · Holywell 0W 1D 4L

Haverfordwest County AFC 1–0 Holywell (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Haverfordwest County AFC v Holywell — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Haverfordwest County AFCLLWDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
HolywellLLDLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.4 scored / 3.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Haverfordwest County AFC#11 pos13 pts14 pl-9 GD
Holywell#16 pos2 pts13 pl-30 GD
Goals per game
Haverfordwest County AFC scored0.79
Holywell scored1.08
Haverfordwest County AFC conceded1.43
Holywell conceded3.38

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Haverfordwest County AFC v Holywell?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Haverfordwest County AFC v Holywell was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Haverfordwest County AFC and Holywell?
Recent form — Haverfordwest County AFC 2W 1D 2L; Holywell 0W 1D 4L.

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