Ipswich v Bournemouth prediction

Premier League · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Portman Road

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Ipswich v Bournemouth, Premier League on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.72 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ipswich host Bournemouth in the Premier League on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Bournemouth have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Bournemouth have kept a clean sheet in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Ipswich’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Ipswich’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Ipswich have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.43. Ipswich have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Ipswich have conceded 18 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

10 of Bournemouth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Bournemouth’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Bournemouth have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.83. Bournemouth have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Bournemouth have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Ipswich are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Bournemouth have won their last six matches in all competitions. Ipswich (14th) and Bournemouth (eighth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bournemouth the stronger side, 295 rating points above Ipswich (Bournemouth 1761, Ipswich 1467, after at least 47 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 April 2025, finished Bournemouth 1–2 Ipswich.

Team news

Predicted Ipswich XI (4-2-3-1): C. Walton, D. O'Shea, I. Diop, L. Davis, A. Ouattara, E. Palacios, J. Enciso, Florentino, A. Fatawu, J. Philogene-Bidace, Emersonn — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Marcelino Núñez (4.9 per match over four appearances, two goals) and J. Enciso (4.3 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Ipswich’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ipswich (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marcelino Núñez averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 359 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances. J. Enciso averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1316 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bournemouth XI (4-2-3-1): Đ. Petrović, A. Silva, J. Hill, A. Truffert, A. Smith, M. Tavernier, T. Adams, R. Christie, Rayan, L. Cook, Evanilson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Alex Scott (5.4 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and Evanilson (4.9 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and four assists) have been Bournemouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bournemouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Alex Scott averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances. Evanilson averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 963 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

The referee

S. Hooper takes charge; across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 3.1 yellow cards a game and 0.00 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Premier League · Portman Road
Referee: S. Hooper
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Ipswich 1 · draws 0 · Bournemouth 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Ipswich 1W 2D 2L · Bournemouth 5W 0D 0L

Ipswich v Bournemouth (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.13

Goals

against 2 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

2.75 / 5.25

Corners

against 4.13 / 3.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.38

Cards

against 2 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.14 yellows

Referee · S. Hooper

21.29 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Ipswich for / against	Line	Bournemouth for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.25 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: S. Hooper — 3.14 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.29 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Ipswich

Ipswich Goalkeeper

Ipswich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Christian Walton	7	90630 min	213 /90	71 /90	00 /90
K. Scherpen	4	90360 min	153.8 /90	102.5 /90	00 /90

Ipswich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Christian Walton n 8	90	3.1 6/5
K. Scherpen n 4	90	3.8 4/2

Ipswich Defensive

Ipswich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Leif Davis	11	78859 min	60.6 /90	80.8 /90	60.6 /90	181.9 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
Dara O'Shea	10	90900 min	151.5 /90	121.2 /90	101 /90	555.5 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
I. Diop	9	90810 min	80.9 /90	161.8 /90	101.1 /90	222.4 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90
A. Ouattara	8	75598 min	101.5 /90	81.2 /90	00 /90	213.2 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90
Jacob Greaves	6	90537 min	111.8 /90	40.7 /90	61 /90	254.2 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90
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Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Leif Davis n 8	81.5	0.7 4/1	0.6 4/0	—
Dara O'Shea n 8	90	0.8 3/2	0.6 4/1	—
I. Diop n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0	—
J. Enciso n 8	84.3	0.5 3/1	1.6 8/4	—
Emersonn n 8	67.6	1 4/2	2.2 7/4	—
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Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Leif Davis n 8	81.5	0.8 3/3
Dara O'Shea n 8	90	1.6 6/3
I. Diop n 8	90	0.9 3/2
J. Enciso n 8	84.3	0.9 5/2
Emersonn n 8	67.6	0.5 3/0
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Ipswich Attacking

Ipswich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Emersonn	9	67607 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	152.2 /90	40.6 /90	81.2 /90	81.2 /90
D. Maeda	9	50451 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.2 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90
Jack Clarke	9	40359 min	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	61.5 /90	30.8 /90	92.3 /90	61.5 /90
Chuba Akpom	5	41207 min	20.9 /90	10.4 /90	52.2 /90	41.7 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90
Z. Flemming	5	32161 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	52.8 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	21.1 /90
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Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Leif Davis n 8	81.5	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
Dara O'Shea n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
I. Diop n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Enciso n 8	84.3	2.8 7/6	1.2 6/3
Emersonn n 8	67.6	2 5/5	0.3 2/0
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Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Leif Davis n 8	81.5	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Dara O'Shea n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
I. Diop n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Enciso n 8	84.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Emersonn n 8	67.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Đ. Petrović	11	90990 min	211.9 /90	131.2 /90	00 /90
M. Di Gregorio	3	90270 min	62 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 8	90	1.5 3/2
M. Di Gregorio n 3	90	2 1/1

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
António Silva	14	891252 min	231.7 /90	130.9 /90	60.4 /90	765.5 /90	110.8 /90	40.3 /90
J. Hill	13	851108 min	302.4 /90	191.5 /90	131.1 /90	846.8 /90	131.1 /90	10.1 /90
Adrien Truffert	11	89984 min	322.9 /90	131.2 /90	30.3 /90	534.8 /90	201.8 /90	30.3 /90
A. Smith	11	82897 min	80.8 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90	393.9 /90	131.3 /90	30.3 /90
B. Diakité	5	77387 min	40.9 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90	102.3 /90	61.4 /90	30.7 /90
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Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
António Silva n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.3 1/1	—
J. Hill n 8	82.3	1 6/1	0.8 4/2	—
M. Tavernier n 8	72.5	0.6 3/1	0.9 5/1	—
Rayan n 8	67.3	1.2 3/3	1.3 4/3	—
T. Adams n 8	75.6	1.9 6/3	0.7 4/1	—
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Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
António Silva n 8	90	1.8 8/5
J. Hill n 8	82.3	3.3 8/5
M. Tavernier n 8	72.5	0.9 4/1
Rayan n 8	67.3	1.5 7/2
T. Adams n 8	75.6	0.9 4/2
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Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Evanilson	12	80963 min	50.5 /90	40.4 /90	252.3 /90	111 /90	141.3 /90	80.7 /90
Á. Rodríguez	6	52310 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	123.5 /90	30.9 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90
D. Jebbison	2	1530 min	00 /90	00 /90	13 /90	13 /90	00 /90	00 /90
E. Kroupi	1	2222 min	00 /90	14.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	28.2 /90	312.3 /90
M. Tavernier	13	791022 min	60.5 /90	00 /90	262.3 /90	141.2 /90	242.1 /90	80.7 /90
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Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
António Silva n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
J. Hill n 8	82.3	1 4/2	0.1 1/0
M. Tavernier n 8	72.5	2.2 6/5	0.9 4/2
Rayan n 8	67.3	2.5 6/4	1.3 5/2
T. Adams n 8	75.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
António Silva n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Hill n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Tavernier n 8	72.5	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Rayan n 8	67.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
T. Adams n 8	75.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ipswich v Bournemouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

IpswichLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

BournemouthWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Ipswich 1 · 0 draws · Bournemouth 1 · 3 goals/game

2025-04-02 Bournemouth 1–2 Ipswich
2024-12-08 Ipswich 1–2 Bournemouth

League standing · 2026/27

Ipswich#14 pos11 pts9 pl-4 GD

Bournemouth#8 pos12 pts9 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Ipswich scored1.56

Bournemouth scored1.56

Ipswich conceded2

Bournemouth conceded1.44

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Ipswich v Bournemouth?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Ipswich v Bournemouth is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.72 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Ipswich and Bournemouth?: In their last 2 meetings, Ipswich won 1, Bournemouth won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ipswich and Bournemouth?: Recent form — Ipswich 1W 2D 2L; Bournemouth 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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