Livyi Bereh v Zorya Luhansk result

Full-time · Livyi Bereh 1–3 Zorya Luhansk

Premier League – Ukraine · · Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Livyi Bereh 1–3 Zorya Luhansk — Zorya Luhansk won this Premier League – Ukraine match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.57 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.1% of 1490 landed (95% range 72.8–77.2%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Zorya Luhansk won 3–1 at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho in the Premier League – Ukraine on Monday 12 October.

The goals

Zorya Luhansk led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Zorya Luhansk: I. Nesterenko (34’), Artem Machelyuk (45’, assisted by S. Bah) and I. Gorbach (69’, assisted by K. Dryshlyuk); Livyi Bereh: Wendell (73’, assisted by A. Chelyadin).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with I. Nesterenko’s goal on 34 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Zorya Luhansk: Jordan (40’).

What it changes

Livyi Bereh move down from ninth to 12th (seven league matches played).

Zorya Luhansk move up from eighth to sixth (eight league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Artem Machelyuk (Zorya Luhansk) 3.5, I. Nesterenko (Zorya Luhansk) 3.5 and I. Gorbach (Zorya Luhansk) 3.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Livyi Bereh or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.1% of the time in the last 90 days (1119 of 1490).

Next up

Livyi Bereh next travel to FC Kharkiv on 19 October 2026.

Zorya Luhansk next host Chornomorets on 17 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Livyi Bereh: FC Kharkiv v Livyi Bereh, Monday 19 October — the preview. Next for Zorya Luhansk: Zorya Luhansk v Chornomorets, Saturday 17 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Livyi Bereh 1–3 Zorya Luhansk · Premier League – Ukraine
  • Venue: Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho · Kyiv
  • Referee: Mikola Balakin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Livyi Bereh 0 · draws 0 · Zorya Luhansk 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Livyi Bereh 1W 3D 1L · Zorya Luhansk 1W 2D 2L

Livyi Bereh 1–3 Zorya Luhansk (Premier League – Ukraine): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Livyi BerehZorya Luhansk
42%Possession58%
10Shots21
4Shots on target14
6Shots off target7
0Blocked shots0
5Corners8
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0

Livyi Bereh player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Sokolov9000000005.9
A. Yakymiv9000000005.9
I. Kovalenko9000000005.6
Sidney Silva Santos9000000006
R. Zhmurko9000000005.7
N. Vorobchak8800000005.6
D. Shastal7400000005.4
Y. Banada6700000005.8
V. Voloshyn4500000005.8
P. Fall4500000006.3
Wendell4510000006.5
A. Chelyadin2301000005.5
Roman Heresh1600000006.3
I. Kvasnytsya200000006.1

Zorya Luhansk player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Saputin9000000006.1
Jordan90000000Y6.2
Artem Machelyuk9010000007.2
P. Budkivskyi9000000006.5
B. Kushnirenko9000000006.4
M. Boyko9000000006.7
I. Perduta8800000006.5
I. Nesterenko8810000007.5
K. Dryshlyuk7801000006.8
D. Jelavić6400000000
I. Gorbach2610000007.2
V. Yurchenko1200000006.4
J. Bašić1200000006
G. Eskinja200000006.6
A. Glushchenko200000006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Livyi Bereh v Zorya Luhansk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Livyi BerehDDDLW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Zorya LuhanskWLDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Livyi Bereh 0 · 0 draws · Zorya Luhansk 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-04-25 Zorya Luhansk 2–1 Livyi Bereh
  • 2024-10-27 Livyi Bereh 0–2 Zorya Luhansk
League standing · 2026/27
Livyi Bereh#12 pos7 pts7 pl-1 GD
Zorya Luhansk#6 pos11 pts8 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Livyi Bereh scored0.71
Zorya Luhansk scored1.25
Livyi Bereh conceded0.86
Zorya Luhansk conceded1.5

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Livyi Bereh v Zorya Luhansk?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Livyi Bereh v Zorya Luhansk was Home or Draw (best price 1.57 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Livyi Bereh and Zorya Luhansk?
In their last 2 meetings, Livyi Bereh won 0, Zorya Luhansk won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Livyi Bereh and Zorya Luhansk?
Recent form — Livyi Bereh 1W 3D 1L; Zorya Luhansk 1W 2D 2L.

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