Manchester United v Bournemouth prediction
Team pages: Manchester United · Bournemouth · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Manchester United v Bournemouth, Premier League on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT.
The match
Manchester United host Bournemouth in the Premier League on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Manchester United or Bournemouth (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Manchester United are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Manchester United have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.50. Manchester United have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Manchester United have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Nine of Bournemouth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Bournemouth’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Bournemouth have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.83. Bournemouth have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bournemouth have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Manchester United (13th) and Bournemouth (15th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Manchester United the stronger side, 50 rating points above Bournemouth (Manchester United 1660, Bournemouth 1610, after at least 273 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Manchester United are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bournemouth. The most recent meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United.
Team news
Predicted Manchester United XI (4-2-3-1): S. Lammens, H. Maguire, L. Martínez, D. Dalot, L. Shaw, B. Fernandes, Y. Tielemans, B. Mbeumo, K. Mainoo, M. Rashford, M. Cunha — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Youri Tielemans (4.2 per match over 10 appearances, three assists) and Bruno Fernandes (4.2 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Manchester United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Youri Tielemans averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1740 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Bruno Fernandes averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1766 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Bournemouth XI (4-2-3-1): Đ. Petrović, J. Hill, A. Silva, A. Truffert, A. Smith, Rayan, M. Tavernier, T. Adams, A. Scott, J. Kluivert, Evanilson — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Alex Scott (5.4 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and Evanilson (4.7 per match over nine appearances, three goals and four assists) have been Bournemouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bournemouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Alex Scott averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances. Evanilson averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 735 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premier League · Old Trafford
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester United 0 · draws 4 · Bournemouth 2 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Manchester United 0W 3D 2L · Bournemouth 3W 0D 2L
Manchester United v Bournemouth (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Manchester United for / against | Line | Bournemouth for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 2 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.75 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 19.25 for · 8.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Manchester United
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Dorgu n 8 | 44 | 3.1 | 2 | — |
| S. Lacey n 7 | 24.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| C. Baleba n 8 | 66.3 | 1.7 | 1.9 | — |
| Matheus Cunha n 8 | 56.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | — |
| J. Zirkzee n 8 | 24.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lacey n 7 | 24.6 | 3.1 | 1 |
| J. Zirkzee n 8 | 24.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| A. Diallo n 8 | 50.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| P. Dorgu n 8 | 44 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| M. Rashford n 8 | 62.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Šeško n 8 | 42.4 | 1.1 | 0 |
| A. Diallo n 8 | 50.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Matheus Cunha n 8 | 56.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| B. Mbeumo n 8 | 79.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| P. Dorgu n 8 | 44 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Mount n 8 | 42.6 | 4.5 |
| P. Dorgu n 8 | 44 | 4.3 |
| H. Amass n 8 | 71.5 | 3.3 |
| Andrey Santos n 8 | 48.1 | 3.3 |
| Y. Tielemans n 8 | 82.4 | 2.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Lammens n 8 | 90 | 4.3 |
| K. Darlow n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
Bournemouth
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Adams n 8 | 71.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | — |
| D. Brooks n 8 | 30.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | — |
| A. Adli n 8 | 21.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — |
| J. Kluivert n 8 | 61.4 | 2 | 1.5 | — |
| A. Tóth n 8 | 36 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Á. Rodríguez n 8 | 37.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| Rayan n 8 | 64.4 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| J. Kluivert n 8 | 61.4 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Evanilson n 8 | 82.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| M. Tavernier n 8 | 71.3 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evanilson n 8 | 82.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Á. Rodríguez n 8 | 37.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| D. Jebbison n 8 | 35.6 | 0 | 0.6 |
| M. Tavernier n 8 | 71.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rayan n 8 | 64.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Juanlu Sánchez n 8 | 23.6 | 4.8 |
| Adrien Truffert n 8 | 89.3 | 3.3 |
| A. Tóth n 8 | 36 | 2.8 |
| A. Adli n 8 | 21.1 | 2.7 |
| Alex Scott n 8 | 78.3 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Di Gregorio n 8 | 84.4 | 2.1 |
| Đ. Petrović n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Manchester United v Bournemouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-20 Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United
- 2025-12-15 Manchester United 4–4 Bournemouth
- 2025-04-27 Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester United
- 2024-12-22 Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
- 2024-04-13 Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United
- 2023-12-09 Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Manchester United v Bournemouth?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester United v Bournemouth is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and Bournemouth?
- In their last 6 meetings, Manchester United won 0, Bournemouth won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Manchester United and Bournemouth?
- Recent form — Manchester United 0W 3D 2L; Bournemouth 3W 0D 2L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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