Nottingham Forest v Coventry result

Full-time · Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry

Premier League · Sat, 19 Sep 2026 17:30 BST · Wembley Stadium

Updated 3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nottingham Forest · Coventry

The model’s pre-match pick

Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry — Coventry won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.62 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 182 of 270 times (67.4%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Nottingham Forest: 1.33 to 0.69 in expected goals, from 24 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 34th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Coventry won 1–0 at Wembley Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 19 September.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Coventry: Jay Dasilva (55’, assisted by Carl Rushworth).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jay Dasilva’s goal on 55 minutes.

Discipline

Jarred Gillett, Australia showed two yellow cards — against 5.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Nottingham Forest: Liam Delap (59’) and Jair (90+4’).

What it changes

Nottingham Forest move down from 10th to 12th (five league matches played). Nottingham Forest have scored four goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Nottingham Forest have conceded five goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Coventry move up from 20th to 18th (five league matches played). Coventry have scored one goal, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Coventry have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jay Dasilva (Coventry) 7.3, B. Thomas-Asante (Coventry) 7.2 and Carl Rushworth (Coventry) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Nottingham Forest to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Nottingham Forest next travel to Bournemouth on 21 November 2026.

Coventry next host Crystal Palace on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nottingham Forest: Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Coventry: Coventry v Crystal Palace, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry · Premier League
Venue: Wembley Stadium · London
Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Nottingham Forest 3 · draws 0 · Coventry 1 · 2.75 goals/game
Recent form: Nottingham Forest 1W 2D 2L · Coventry 1W 0D 4L

Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.38 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

3.5 / 4.25

Corners

against 4.25 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Nottingham Forest for / against	Line	Coventry for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.63 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.63 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.75 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia.

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest Goalkeeper

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Sels	5	90450 min	122.4 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Sels n 8	90	3.1 7/5

Nottingham Forest Defensive

Nottingham Forest — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Murillo	5	78388 min	81.9 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90	173.9 /90	102.3 /90	20.5 /90
Jair	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	184.5 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90
N. Milenković	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	41 /90	41 /90	307.5 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90
O. Diomande	2	75150 min	31.8 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	106 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
L. Netz	2	2345 min	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90	48 /90	24 /90	00 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Sels n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
N. Williams n 8	88.6	1 5/1	1.5 7/3	Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
Murillo n 8	74	2.1 5/3	0.2 1/0	B. Thomas
X. Schlager n 5	75.2	1.2 3/2	0.5 2/0	Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
O. Aina n 8	78.1	0.9 5/1	1.2 5/3	—
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Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Williams n 8	88.6	2.9 8/7
Murillo n 8	74	1.7 4/4
X. Schlager n 5	75.2	4.5 4/4
O. Aina n 8	78.1	2.4 6/5
D. Ndoye n 8	61.5	1.1 3/1
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Nottingham Forest Attacking

Nottingham Forest — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Ndoye	5	58292 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	20.6 /90	30.9 /90	30.9 /90
Igor Jesus	5	57285 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.6 /90	41.3 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90
Morgan Gibbs-White	4	90360 min	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	82 /90	30.8 /90	82 /90	41 /90
L. Delap	3	62187 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	62.9 /90	10.5 /90	41.9 /90	31.4 /90
C. Wood	3	45134 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Sels n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Williams n 8	88.6	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
Murillo n 8	74	0.8 3/2	0 0/0
X. Schlager n 5	75.2	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0
O. Aina n 8	78.1	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Sels n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Williams n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Murillo n 8	74	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
X. Schlager n 5	75.2	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Aina n 8	78.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Coventry

Coventry Goalkeeper

Coventry — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Rushworth	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	102.5 /90	00 /90
D. Bentley	2	90180 min	94.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Coventry — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Rushworth n 8	90	1.6 4/1

Coventry Defensive

Coventry — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Thomas	6	81483 min	40.7 /90	50.9 /90	40.7 /90	285.2 /90	50.9 /90	00 /90
A. Amenda	5	81405 min	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	40.9 /90	204.4 /90	71.6 /90	10.2 /90
E. Pinnock	3	86258 min	62.1 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	93.1 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
J. Latibeaudiere	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	63 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
J. Bidwell	2	54107 min	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
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Coventry — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Thomas n 8	82.9	0.7 4/1	1.4 7/2	Murillo
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 6	53.3	3.4 5/3	1.4 4/1	X. Schlager
A. Amenda n 5	81	1.6 5/2	0 0/0	—
T. Awoniyi n 5	60.8	1.2 4/0	0.9 3/0	—
J. Rudoni n 8	66.5	0.8 3/2	2 5/4	—
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Coventry — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Thomas n 8	82.9	1.1 5/2
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 6	53.3	0 0/0
A. Amenda n 5	81	0.2 1/0
T. Awoniyi n 5	60.8	0.3 1/0
J. Rudoni n 8	66.5	1.4 7/1
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Coventry Attacking

Coventry — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Awoniyi	5	61304 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	72.1 /90	30.9 /90	61.8 /90	41.2 /90
B. Thomas-Asante	5	32158 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90
E. Mason-Clark	4	54217 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
L. Tchaouna	4	50201 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.8 /90	20.9 /90	41.8 /90	20.9 /90
E. Simms	3	40121 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	21.5 /90	10.7 /90
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Coventry — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Thomas n 8	82.9	1.1 4/2	0 0/0
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 6	53.3	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
A. Amenda n 5	81	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
T. Awoniyi n 5	60.8	2.1 4/2	0.9 2/1
J. Rudoni n 8	66.5	2.2 7/4	0.8 5/0
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Coventry — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Thomas n 8	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 6	53.3	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
A. Amenda n 5	81	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Awoniyi n 5	60.8	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
J. Rudoni n 8	66.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nottingham Forest		Coventry
62%	Possession	38%
1.10	Expected goals (xG)	0.67
24	Shots	10
3	Shots on target	3
9	Shots off target	6
12	Blocked shots	1
12	Shots inside the box	5
6	Corners	2
2	Offsides	2
12	Fouls	10
2	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
508	Passes	311
84%	Pass accuracy	76%

Nottingham Forest Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Sels	90	0	0	0	0	0	6
L. Delap	90	3	0	2	1	Y	7
Morgan Gibbs-White	90	0	0	6	0	0	8.2
N. Williams	90	1	1	4	1	0	7.2
X. Schlager	90	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
Murillo	90	1	0	2	1	0	7.7
Jair	90	1	0	1	2	Y	6.7
J. McAtee	83	1	1	1	1	0	6.6
D. Muñoz	83	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
O. Diomande	73	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
D. Ndoye	59	2	0	2	0	0	6.3
Igor Jesus sub	31	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
C. Wood sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
I. Sangaré sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
L. Netz sub	14	0	0	1	0	0	6.3

Coventry Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
C. Rushworth	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	7
B. Thomas-Asante	90	0	0	3	1	0	3	6.9
F. Onyeka	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.7
J. Dasilva	90	1	0	2	1	1	0	7.9
M. Grimes	90	0	0	1	0	1	3	7.2
S. Mfuni	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.2
B. Thomas	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	8.2
E. Pinnock	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.3
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi	89	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.7
J. Rudoni	74	0	0	1	0	1	1	7.2
E. Mason-Clark	45	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
L. Tchaouna sub	45	0	0	1	1	0	0	6.3
E. Simms sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Latibeaudiere sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nottingham Forest v Coventry — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Nottingham ForestLLDDW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

CoventryWLLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Nottingham Forest 3 · 0 draws · Coventry 1 · 2.75 goals/game

2022-04-06 Nottingham Forest 2–0 Coventry
2021-08-08 Coventry 2–1 Nottingham Forest
2021-02-02 Coventry 1–2 Nottingham Forest
2020-11-04 Nottingham Forest 2–1 Coventry

League standing · 2026/27

Nottingham Forest#16 pos9 pts10 pl-4 GD

Coventry#17 pos9 pts10 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Nottingham Forest scored0.9

Coventry scored1

Nottingham Forest conceded1.3

Coventry conceded1.9

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Nottingham Forest 1.33 xG from 24 shots, Coventry 0.69 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nottingham Forest (attacking right)Coventry (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Nottingham Forest	24	0	1.33
Coventry	10	1	0.69

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Nottingham Forest led on xG, 0.68 to 0.21. At full time, Nottingham Forest led on xG, 1.33 to 0.69. The widest gap was 0.66 xG to Nottingham Forest, in the 78th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Nottingham Forest 1.33 xGCoventry 0.69 xGdots = goals · 34 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nottingham Forest v Coventry?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Nottingham Forest v Coventry was Home win (best price 1.62 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Coventry?: In their last 4 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 3, Coventry won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nottingham Forest and Coventry?: Recent form — Nottingham Forest 1W 2D 2L; Coventry 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.