Nottingham Forest v Sunderland result
Team pages: Nottingham Forest · Sunderland
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Sunderland — Sunderland won this Premier League match.
What xG said
xG said Sunderland: 1.94 to 1.43 in expected goals, from 11 shots to 22, ahead on xG from the 89th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Sunderland won 1–0 at Wembley Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 27 September. Nottingham Forest are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Sunderland are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
The goals
Sunderland led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Sunderland: O. Alderete (38’, assisted by Granit Xhaka).
Discipline
T. Harrington showed six yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nottingham Forest: Nicolás Domínguez (36’), Nikola Milenković (38’), Neco Williams (49’) and Elliot Anderson (82’); Sunderland: Noah Sadiki (9’) and A. Masuaku (31’).
What it changes
Nottingham Forest move down from 13th to 16th (six league matches played).
Sunderland move up from seventh to third (six league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Granit Xhaka (Sunderland) 6.8, Robin Roefs (Sunderland) 6.4 and O. Alderete (Sunderland) 5.7 led the match.
Next up
Nottingham Forest next travel to Ipswich on 23 October 2026.
Sunderland next travel to Lech Poznan on 22 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Nottingham Forest: Ipswich v Nottingham Forest, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Sunderland: Lech Poznan v Sunderland, Thursday 22 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Nottingham Forest 0–1 Sunderland · Premier League
- Venue: Wembley Stadium · London
- Referee: T. Harrington
- Head-to-head (last 2): Nottingham Forest 1 · draws 0 · Sunderland 1 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Nottingham Forest 0W 2D 3L · Sunderland 1W 3D 1L
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Sunderland (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 September 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Nottingham Forest for / against | Line | Sunderland for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.63 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.63 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.25 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.13 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: T. Harrington — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 19.63 fouls over 8 matches (1.13 to the home side, 1.38 to the away side).
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Yates n 8 | 23.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 | — |
| Igor Jesus n 8 | 46.3 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| E. Anderson n 8 | 89.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | G. Xhaka |
| N. Savona n 8 | 79.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | — |
| I. Sangaré n 8 | 63.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Jesus n 8 | 46.3 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| C. Wood n 8 | 74.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| J. McAtee n 8 | 45.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| A. Kalimuendo n 8 | 40.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| C. Hudson-Odoi n 8 | 58.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Jesus n 8 | 46.3 | 1 | 0 |
| D. Ndoye n 8 | 71.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| D. Bakwa n 8 | 41.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Kalimuendo n 8 | 40.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| C. Wood n 8 | 74.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Anderson n 8 | 89.1 | 2.9 |
| N. Williams n 8 | 86.4 | 2.6 |
| O. Zinchenko n 8 | 66.4 | 2.4 |
| I. Sangaré n 8 | 63.4 | 2 |
| Douglas Luiz n 8 | 33.9 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Sels n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Sunderland
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Le Fée n 8 | 77.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | — |
| J. Seelt n 8 | 59.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
| G. Xhaka n 8 | 88.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | E. Anderson |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 33.4 | 1.7 | 2 | — |
| P. Roberts n 8 | 57.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Isidor n 8 | 51.6 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Marc Guiu n 8 | 38.1 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Dan Ballard n 8 | 66.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Eliezer Mayenda n 8 | 75.3 | 1.3 | 1 |
| C. Talbi n 8 | 64.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Isidor n 8 | 51.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| E. Le Fée n 8 | 77.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Eliezer Mayenda n 8 | 75.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| P. Roberts n 8 | 57.6 | 0 | 0.4 |
| G. Xhaka n 8 | 88.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Seelt n 8 | 59.4 | 3.2 |
| T. Hume n 8 | 93.8 | 2.9 |
| E. Le Fée n 8 | 77.4 | 2.5 |
| N. Sadiki n 8 | 89.1 | 2.1 |
| G. Xhaka n 8 | 88.5 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs n 8 | 93.8 | 2.9 |
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Match statistics & details
| Nottingham Forest | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| 65% | Possession | 35% |
| 1.68 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.66 |
| 22 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 10 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 15 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 578 | Passes | 318 |
| 90% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Nottingham Forest player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sels | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Williams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | Y | 7.2 |
| N. Milenković | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| Morato | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| O. Zinchenko | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| E. Anderson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Y | 7.3 |
| C. Wood | 89 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| D. Bakwa | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. McAtee | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Ndoye | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| N. Domínguez | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Hudson-Odoi sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Igor Jesus sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| O. Hutchinson sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| A. Kalimuendo sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sunderland player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9.2 |
| T. Hume | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Mukiele | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| O. Alderete | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.6 |
| G. Xhaka | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8.3 |
| N. Sadiki | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| C. Talbi | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| W. Isidor | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Le Fée | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Masuaku | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| C. Rigg | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Geertruida sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| B. Traoré sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Dan Ballard sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Adingra sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| B. Brobbey sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Nottingham Forest v Sunderland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2017-12-30 Nottingham Forest 0–1 Sunderland
- 2017-09-12 Sunderland 0–1 Nottingham Forest
Shot map and expected goals
Nottingham Forest 1.43 xG from 22 shots, Sunderland 1.94 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 22 | 0 | 1.43 |
| Sunderland | 11 | 1 | 1.94 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Sunderland?
- In their last 2 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 1, Sunderland won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Nottingham Forest and Sunderland?
- Recent form — Nottingham Forest 0W 2D 3L; Sunderland 1W 3D 1L.
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