Sunderland v West Ham result

Full-time · Sunderland 3–0 West Ham

Premier League · Sat, 16 Aug 2025 15:00 BST · Stadium of Light

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sunderland 3–0 West Ham — Sunderland won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.7% of 165 landed (95% range 45.1–60.2%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Sunderland 0.72, West Ham 0.56 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Sunderland beat West Ham 3–0 at Stadium of Light in the Premier League on Saturday 16 August. Sunderland are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sunderland: Eliezer Mayenda (61’, assisted by O. Alderete), Dan Ballard (73’, assisted by S. Adingra) and Wilson Isidor (90’, assisted by Chemsdine Talbi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Eliezer Mayenda’s goal on 61 minutes.

Discipline

R. Jones showed one yellow card — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — West Ham: Maximilian Kilman (70’).

What it changes

Sunderland are first after this result (one league match played).

West Ham are 20th after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dan Ballard (Sunderland) 8.9, Robin Roefs (Sunderland) 5.0 and Eliezer Mayenda (Sunderland) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Sunderland next host Leeds on 25 October 2026.

West Ham next host Southampton on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sunderland: Sunderland v Leeds, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for West Ham: West Ham v Southampton, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Sunderland 3–0 West Ham · Premier League
Venue: Stadium of Light · Sunderland
Referee: R. Jones
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Sunderland 2W 1D 2L · West Ham 2W 1D 2L

Sunderland 3–0 West Ham (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.67 / 3

Corners

against 4.83 / 6.5 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.17 / 4

Shots on target

against 3 / 4.88 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.83 / 2.13

Cards

against 2.33 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

4.71 yellows

Referee · R. Jones

2.29 home / 2.43 away

over 14 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Sunderland for / against	Line	West Ham for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.67 for · 4.83 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11 for · 12.5 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	11.25 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.17 for · 3 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.67 for · 11.5 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	12.25 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.83 for · 2.33 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: R. Jones — 4.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.57 fouls over 14 matches (2.29 to the home side, 2.43 to the away side).

Home 2.29Away 2.43

Sunderland

Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Abdul Samed n 8	27.5	2.5 5/1	1.6 3/1	—
L. Hjelde n 8	38.5	2 4/2	0 0/0	—
A. Browne n 8	56.5	1.8 5/3	2.2 6/3	—
Milan Aleksić n 8	39.5	1.7 4/2	0.6 2/0	—
Dennis Cirkin n 8	75.3	1.5 6/4	1.6 7/4	—

Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Milan Aleksić n 8	39.5	2.3 4/2	1.7 4/1
R. Mundle n 8	58.1	1.7 7/2	0.8 4/0
W. Isidor n 8	61.4	1.6 6/1	0.7 4/0
Eliezer Mayenda n 8	76.4	1.5 6/3	1 6/1
C. Rigg n 8	52.4	0.9 3/1	0.2 1/0

Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Eliezer Mayenda n 8	76.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Dan Ballard n 8	71.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
E. Le Fée n 8	73.1	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Milan Aleksić n 8	39.5	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
J. Bellingham n 8	77.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0

Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Hume n 8	83.4	3.1 7/6
C. Rigg n 8	52.4	2.8 6/3
E. Le Fée n 8	73.1	2.6 8/4
A. Browne n 8	56.5	2 4/2
L. Hjelde n 8	38.5	2 4/3

West Ham

West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lucas Paquetá n 8	71.5	2.4 6/3	3.3 6/6	—
N. Füllkrug n 8	53.6	2.3 6/3	0.6 3/0	—
T. Souček n 8	70.3	2.1 5/4	0.5 3/0	—
E. Álvarez n 8	57	2 6/3	0.6 3/0	—
M. Kudus n 8	74.1	1.5 5/2	2.3 7/6	—

West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bowen n 8	87.4	1.7 7/3	1.2 7/2
Carlos Soler n 8	39.9	1.7 4/1	0.8 3/0
M. Kudus n 8	74.1	1.5 6/3	0.6 3/1
N. Füllkrug n 8	53.6	1.5 6/1	0.6 3/0
Luis Guilherme n 8	16	1.4 2/0	0.7 1/0

West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Bowen n 8	87.4	0.8 6/0	0.4 2/1
M. Kudus n 8	74.1	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
E. Ferguson n 8	24	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
A. Wan-Bissaka n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
J. Ward-Prowse n 8	68.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
O. Scarles n 8	63.4	3 6/4
G. Rodríguez n 8	41	2.7 4/4
E. Álvarez n 8	57	2.6 6/3
J. Todibo n 8	85.5	2.5 7/6
A. Wan-Bissaka n 8	90	2.4 7/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sunderland		West Ham
37%	Possession	63%
0.75	Expected goals (xG)	0.56
10	Shots	12
5	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	2
1	Blocked shots	6
9	Shots inside the box	7
5	Corners	7
8	Fouls	10
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	2
323	Passes	550
77%	Pass accuracy	85%

Sunderland player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
R. Roefs	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
T. Hume	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	7.2
Dan Ballard	90	1	0	4	2	0	1	9.2
Reinildo	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
H. Diarra	90	0	0	2	1	0	1	6.9
G. Xhaka	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	6.7
N. Sadiki	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
C. Talbi	89	0	1	0	0	1	1	6.7
Eliezer Mayenda	76	1	0	1	1	1	0	7.5
S. Adingra	76	0	0	1	0	1	1	6.2
J. Seelt	53	0	0	0	0	0	2	7.3
O. Alderete sub	37	0	1	0	0	1	1	7.2
E. Le Fée sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
W. Isidor sub	14	1	0	1	1	0	0	7.9
C. Rigg sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

West Ham player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Hermansen	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
M. Kilman	90	0	0	1	3	Y	6.9
N. Aguerd	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
A. Wan-Bissaka	90	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
E. Diouf	90	2	1	2	0	0	6.5
Lucas Paquetá	90	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
J. Bowen	90	1	1	0	2	0	6.6
N. Füllkrug	90	1	1	1	0	0	5.3
J. Todibo	82	0	0	0	3	0	6.6
J. Ward-Prowse	71	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
G. Rodríguez	71	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
T. Souček sub	19	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
C. Wilson sub	19	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Irving sub	8	0	0	1	1	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sunderland v West Ham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SunderlandLLWDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

West HamLDWLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2025/26

Sunderland#7 pos54 pts38 pl-6 GD

West Ham#18 pos39 pts38 pl-19 GD

Goals per game

Sunderland scored1.11

West Ham scored1.21

Sunderland conceded1.26

West Ham conceded1.71

Shot map and expected goals

Sunderland 0.72 xG from 10 shots, West Ham 0.56 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Sunderland (attacking right)West Ham (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Sunderland	10	3	0.72
West Ham	12	0	0.56

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sunderland v West Ham?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Sunderland v West Ham was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Sunderland and West Ham?: Recent form — Sunderland 2W 1D 2L; West Ham 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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