Tottenham v Arsenal prediction

Premier League · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tottenham · Arsenal · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Tottenham v Arsenal, Premier League on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Tottenham host Arsenal in the Premier League on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Arsenal have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Arsenal have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Tottenham have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.00. Tottenham have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Tottenham have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Arsenal have seven wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 10 away matches in all competitions — 2.30 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.90. Arsenal have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Tottenham (11th) and Arsenal (first) are 15 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arsenal the stronger side, 307 rating points above Tottenham (Arsenal 1937, Tottenham 1630, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Arsenal are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Tottenham, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal.

Team news

Predicted Tottenham XI (4-2-3-1): A. Kinský, J. van Hecke, M. van de Ven, A. Robertson, A. Gray, S. Tonali, M. Fernandes, M. Kudus, M. Tel, C. Gallagher, D. Solanke — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Senesi (4.6 per match over three appearances) and Jan van Hecke (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) have been Tottenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Tottenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Senesi averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 413 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last six appearances. Jan van Hecke averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1826 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Arsenal XI (4-2-3-1): D. Raya, G. Magalhães, E. Konsa, J. Timber, R. Calafiori, D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, N. Madueke, B. Guimarães, E. Eze, V. Gyökeres — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bukayo Saka (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Declan Rice (4.1 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and five assists) have been Arsenal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arsenal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bukayo Saka averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1364 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Declan Rice averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1866 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Premier League · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): Tottenham 0 · draws 1 · Arsenal 5 · 3.83 goals/game
Recent form: Tottenham 3W 1D 1L · Arsenal 4W 1D 0L

Tottenham v Arsenal (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.13 / 0.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

7.75 / 6.14

Corners

against 3.75 / 4.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5 / 5.14

Shots on target

against 3.5 / 2.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.88 / 1.71

Cards

against 2.88 / 2.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Tottenham for / against	Line	Arsenal for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.14 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	16.88 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.57 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.14 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.88 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.14 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.71 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5

Tottenham

Tottenham Goalkeeper

Tottenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Kinský	11	90990 min	252.3 /90	111 /90	00 /90
M. Dúbravka	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Tottenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Kinský n 8	90	2.1 5/4

Tottenham Defensive

Tottenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. van Hecke	11	88964 min	171.6 /90	100.9 /90	100.9 /90	666.2 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90
A. Gray	11	81895 min	171.7 /90	111.1 /90	10.1 /90	424.2 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90
M. van de Ven	10	76762 min	80.9 /90	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	414.8 /90	60.7 /90	30.4 /90
A. Robertson	10	70701 min	70.9 /90	40.5 /90	30.4 /90	151.9 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
Pedro Porro	7	51359 min	61.5 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	153.8 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
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Tottenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Kinský n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. van Hecke n 8	90	1 6/2	0.8 4/1	—
A. Gray n 8	81.4	1.4 7/3	1.1 5/3	—
S. Tonali n 8	89.3	0.9 6/1	0.6 4/1	—
M. van de Ven n 8	80.8	0.6 3/1	1.5 6/3	—
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Tottenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. van Hecke n 8	90	1.5 6/4
A. Gray n 8	81.4	2.1 7/6
S. Tonali n 8	89.3	2.8 7/5
M. van de Ven n 8	80.8	0.8 3/2
Omar Marmoush n 8	71.9	0.9 5/1
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Tottenham Attacking

Tottenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Omar Marmoush	10	75749 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	172 /90	70.8 /90	101.2 /90	192.3 /90
D. Solanke	10	56555 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	111.8 /90	50.8 /90	40.6 /90	30.5 /90
M. Moore	3	60180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	52.5 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	52.5 /90
Richarlison	1	6868 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90
S. Tonali	10	88879 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	90.9 /90	10.1 /90	80.8 /90	40.4 /90
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Tottenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Kinský n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. van Hecke n 8	90	1.3 5/2	0.5 3/1
A. Gray n 8	81.4	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
S. Tonali n 8	89.3	0.8 4/2	0 0/0
M. van de Ven n 8	80.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Tottenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Kinský n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. van Hecke n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Gray n 8	81.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Tonali n 8	89.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. van de Ven n 8	80.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
David Raya	15	901350 min	342.3 /90	60.4 /90	10.1 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
David Raya n 8	90	2.3 6/4
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 8	89.6	1.8 5/2

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães	16	871395 min	181.2 /90	191.2 /90	110.7 /90	684.4 /90	171.1 /90	20.1 /90
E. Konsa	13	841097 min	201.6 /90	110.9 /90	30.2 /90	655.3 /90	110.9 /90	20.2 /90
Riccardo Calafiori	12	77921 min	151.5 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	403.9 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90
Ben White	10	78784 min	182.1 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	434.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
J. Timber	8	63504 min	91.6 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90	274.8 /90	61.1 /90	10.2 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.8 5/1	—
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 4/1	—
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	0.7 4/1	0.5 3/1	—
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	0.4 2/1	1.3 5/3	—
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	1.5 5/2	1.1 4/2	—
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	1.4 7/3
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	2 5/4
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	0.4 2/1
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	0.4 2/0
E. Konsa n 8	86.5	1.8 6/3
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Havertz	14	66921 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	161.6 /90	90.9 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90
Viktor Gyökeres	11	46506 min	10.2 /90	30.5 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	132.3 /90	00 /90
Declan Rice	15	821232 min	10.1 /90	50.4 /90	130.9 /90	40.3 /90	201.5 /90	80.6 /90
Martin Ødegaard	14	801113 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	161.3 /90	90.7 /90	342.7 /90	110.9 /90
Bruno Guimarães	13	53683 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	162.1 /90	50.7 /90	50.7 /90	70.9 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 1/1
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	1.1 4/2	0.5 3/1
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	1.1 4/3	0.6 3/1
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	1.5 5/3	0.6 3/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Tottenham v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

TottenhamDWWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

ArsenalWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Tottenham 0 · 1 draw · Arsenal 5 · 3.83 goals/game

2026-02-22 Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal
2025-11-23 Arsenal 4–1 Tottenham
2025-01-15 Arsenal 2–1 Tottenham
2024-09-15 Tottenham 0–1 Arsenal
2024-04-28 Tottenham 2–3 Arsenal
2023-09-24 Arsenal 2–2 Tottenham

League standing · 2026/27

Tottenham#11 pos12 pts10 pl-1 GD

Arsenal#1 pos27 pts10 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Tottenham scored1

Arsenal scored1.5

Tottenham conceded1.1

Arsenal conceded0.5

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Arsenal?: In their last 6 meetings, Tottenham won 0, Arsenal won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tottenham and Arsenal?: Recent form — Tottenham 3W 1D 1L; Arsenal 4W 1D 0L.

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