Trefelin v Penybont result

Full-time · Trefelin 0–1 Penybont

Premier League – Wales · · Ynys Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Trefelin 0–1 Penybont — Penybont won this Premier League – Wales match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.39 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 86% of 107 landed (95% range 78.2–91.3%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Penybont won 1–0 at Ynys Park in the Cymru Premier on Friday 11 September. Trefelin are winless in at least their last eight matches in all competitions. Penybont are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Penybont: T. Walker (72’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Walker’s goal on 72 minutes.

What it changes

Trefelin stay 14th after this result (eight league matches played). Trefelin have scored eight goals, the fewest of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Trefelin have conceded 33 goals, the fourth-most of the 16 clubs.

Penybont move up from sixth to fourth (eight league matches played). Penybont have scored 25 goals, the seventh-most of the 16 clubs (2026/27 so far). Penybont have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Penybont have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Penybont to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Trefelin next travel to Barry Town on 30 October 2026.

Penybont next travel to Cardiff MET on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Trefelin: Barry Town v Trefelin, Friday 30 October — the preview. Next for Penybont: Cardiff MET v Penybont, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Trefelin 0–1 Penybont · Premier League – Wales
  • Venue: Ynys Park · Cwmafan
  • Referee: C. Charlton-Fleming
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Trefelin 0W 2D 3L · Penybont 3W 2D 0L

Trefelin 0–1 Penybont (Premier League – Wales): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Trefelin v Penybont — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TrefelinLLDLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
PenybontWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Trefelin#15 pos6 pts14 pl-25 GD
Penybont#3 pos30 pts13 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
Trefelin scored0.57
Penybont scored1.92
Trefelin conceded2.36
Penybont conceded0.85

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Trefelin v Penybont?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Trefelin v Penybont was Away win (best price 1.39 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Trefelin and Penybont?
Recent form — Trefelin 0W 2D 3L; Penybont 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 19 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+