Wolves v Everton result

Full-time · Wolves 2–3 Everton

Premier League · Sat, 30 Aug 2025 15:00 BST · Molineux Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wolves · Everton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Wolves 2–3 Everton — Everton won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 1356 landed (95% range 64.9–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Everton: 2.04 to 0.95 in expected goals, from 10 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Everton won 3–2 at Molineux Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 30 August.

The goals

Everton led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Everton: Beto (7’, assisted by Jack Grealish), Iliman Ndiaye (33’, assisted by Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall) and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (55’, assisted by Jack Grealish); Wolves: Hwang Hee-Chan (21’, assisted by Marshall Munetsi) and Rodrigo Gomes (79’, assisted by David Møller Wolfe).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Iliman Ndiaye’s goal on 33 minutes.

Discipline

M. Oliver showed one yellow card — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 23 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Everton: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (16’).

What it changes

Wolves stay 19th after this result (three league matches played).

Everton move up from eighth to fifth (shared) (three league matches played).

Everton have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jack Grealish (Everton) 12.4, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton) 7.9 and Iliman Ndiaye (Everton) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Everton, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (914 of 1356).

Next up

Wolves next host Watford on 24 October 2026.

Everton next travel to Arsenal on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wolves: Wolves v Watford, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Everton: Arsenal v Everton, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Wolves 2–3 Everton · Premier League
Venue: Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton, West Midlands
Referee: M. Oliver
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Wolves 3 · draws 2 · Everton 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Wolves 1W 1D 3L · Everton 4W 0D 1L

Wolves 2–3 Everton (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.88 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 3.13

Corners

against 3.25 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.3 yellows

Referee · M. Oliver

1.35 home / 1.96 away

over 23 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Wolves for / against	Line	Everton for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.13 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.5 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.5 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.38 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: M. Oliver — 3.3 yellow cards a game, 0.04 red cards, 22.78 fouls over 23 matches (1.35 to the home side, 1.96 to the away side).

Home 1.35Away 1.96

Wolves

Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Hwang Hee-Chan n 8	24.3	2.3 3/1	1.9 2/1	—
João Gomes n 8	72.4	1.9 6/4	2.6 7/5	—
M. Munetsi n 8	81.3	1.7 6/6	0.4 2/1	—
J. Arias n 8	77.5	1.5 8/2	1.3 4/2	—
Nélson Semedo n 8	67	1.5 3/3	1.7 6/2	—

Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Matheus Cunha n 8	77	3.1 8/6	1.8 6/3
J. Strand Larsen n 8	49	2.8 5/3	1.6 5/2
Gonçalo Guedes n 8	33.3	2.4 5/2	0.3 1/0
Hwang Hee-Chan n 8	24.3	1.4 1/1	0 0/0
J. Arias n 8	77.5	1.3 5/3	0.6 2/2

Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Strand Larsen n 8	49	0.9 3/1	0.5 2/0
Pablo Sarabia n 8	30.5	0.7 2/0	0.4 1/0
Rodrigo Gomes n 8	34.9	0.6 2/0	0 0/0
Hwang Hee-Chan n 8	24.3	0 0/0	0.5 1/0
Matheus Cunha n 8	77	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1

Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
André n 8	75.3	4.6 8/7
João Gomes n 8	72.4	4.5 7/6
S. Bueno n 8	38.3	3.8 6/3
J. Bellegarde n 8	49.5	3 6/5
R. Aït-Nouri n 8	80.4	2.8 7/5

Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
José Sá n 8	89.9	1.9 4/2

Everton

Everton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Iroegbunam n 8	32.5	2.1 4/2	1.7 3/1	—
N. Patterson n 8	47.3	1.9 4/4	0.5 2/0	—
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	34.8	1.6 2/2	1.6 2/1	—
A. Doucouré n 8	73.3	1.4 5/4	0.2 1/0	—
A. Young n 8	50.9	1.3 4/2	1.8 6/2	—

Everton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	34.8	5.2 6/4	1.9 5/1
Beto n 8	69.3	2.8 7/5	1.3 5/3
C. Alcaraz n 8	63.8	1.6 4/2	1.4 4/2
D. McNeil n 8	40.3	1.4 4/1	0.6 2/0
T. Barry n 8	62.1	1.1 3/3	0.4 2/0

Everton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. McNeil n 8	40.3	0.3 1/0	0.6 2/0
C. Alcaraz n 8	63.8	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
J. Grealish n 8	44.6	0.3 1/0	0.5 1/1
I. Ndiaye n 8	60.1	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	44.4	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0

Everton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Young n 8	50.9	3.3 7/4
T. Iroegbunam n 8	32.5	2.8 6/1
N. Patterson n 8	47.3	2.6 6/2
I. Gueye n 8	88.4	2.5 7/4
A. Doucouré n 8	73.3	2.2 6/4

Everton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 8	90	4 8/6

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Wolves		Everton
59%	Possession	41%
1.11	Expected goals (xG)	1.93
12	Shots	10
4	Shots on target	4
3	Shots off target	2
5	Blocked shots	4
6	Shots inside the box	7
2	Corners	2
2	Offsides	1
15	Fouls	10
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	2
524	Passes	371
80%	Pass accuracy	74%

Wolves player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
José Sá	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
S. Bueno	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	6.3
E. Agbadou	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	6.5
Toti Gomes	90	0	0	0	0	1	5	6.2
João Gomes	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	6.6
M. Munetsi	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	6.5
Hwang Hee-Chan	76	1	0	1	1	0	0	7.5
Hugo Bueno	75	0	0	0	0	1	5	6.2
André	64	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.3
J. Arias	64	0	0	1	1	0	6	7.2
J. Tchatchoua	63	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.5
Rodrigo Gomes sub	27	1	0	2	1	0	1	7.7
J. Bellegarde sub	26	0	0	1	1	1	0	6.6
Fer López sub	26	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
D. Møller Wolfe sub	15	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
S. Kalajdzic sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Everton player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Pickford	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. O'Brien	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	5.9
J. Tarkowski	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
M. Keane	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
V. Mykolenko	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6
James Garner	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
K. Dewsbury-Hall	90	1	1	1	1	3	1	Y	8.3
I. Ndiaye	89	1	0	1	1	2	3	0	6.3
J. Grealish	88	0	2	1	1	3	1	0	8.5
I. Gueye	76	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	6.3
Beto	76	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.5
T. Iroegbunam sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
T. Barry sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
C. Alcaraz sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
S. Coleman sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Wolves v Everton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

WolvesLDLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

EvertonWWLWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Wolves 3 · 2 draws · Everton 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2025-03-08 Wolves 1–1 Everton
2024-12-04 Everton 4–0 Wolves
2023-12-30 Wolves 3–0 Everton
2023-08-26 Everton 0–1 Wolves
2023-05-20 Wolves 1–1 Everton
2022-12-26 Everton 1–2 Wolves

League standing · 2025/26

Wolves#20 pos20 pts38 pl-41 GD

Everton#13 pos49 pts38 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Wolves scored0.71

Everton scored1.24

Wolves conceded1.79

Everton conceded1.32

Shot map and expected goals

Wolves 0.95 xG from 12 shots, Everton 2.04 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Wolves (attacking right)Everton (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Wolves	12	2	0.95
Everton	10	3	2.04

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Wolves v Everton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Wolves v Everton was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Wolves and Everton?: In their last 6 meetings, Wolves won 3, Everton won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wolves and Everton?: Recent form — Wolves 1W 1D 3L; Everton 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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