WolvesFulham

Wolves v Fulham result

Full-time · Wolves 1–1 Fulham

Premier League · · Molineux Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Wolves 1–1 Fulham — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Wolves: 1.50 to 1.48 in expected goals, 0.76 of Fulham’s from a penalty, from 11 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 51st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Wolves and Fulham drew 1–1 at Molineux Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May. Wolves are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Fulham are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Wolves: Mateus Mane (25’, assisted by Hwang Hee-Chan); Fulham: Antonee Robinson (45’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Antonee Robinson’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

T. Kirk showed one yellow card — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Wolves: André (90+4’).

What it changes

Wolves stay 20th after this result (37 league matches played). Wolves have scored 26 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games, ranked per game). Wolves have conceded 67 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Fulham move down from 11th to 12th (37 league matches played). Fulham have scored 45 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games, ranked per game). Fulham have conceded 51 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Antonee Robinson (Fulham) 10.9, Mateus Mane (Wolves) 7.5 and Timothy Castagne (Fulham) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Wolves next host Charlton on 21 November 2026.

Fulham next travel to Manchester City on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wolves: Wolves v Charlton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Fulham: Manchester City v Fulham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wolves 1–1 Fulham · Premier League
  • Venue: Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton, West Midlands
  • Referee: T. Kirk
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Wolves 2 · draws 1 · Fulham 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wolves 0W 1D 4L · Fulham 1W 1D 3L

Wolves 1–1 Fulham (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.5
Goals
against 2.25 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.38 / 6.75
Corners
against 6 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.71 yellows
Referee · T. Kirk
24.29 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWolves for / againstLineFulham for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.75our book
0.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
9.75 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: T. Kirk — 3.71 yellow cards a game, 0.43 red cards, 24.29 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Wolves

Wolves Goalkeeper

Wolves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
José Sá22901980 min542.5 /90391.8 /9000 /90
S. Johnstone17901537 min523 /90301.8 /9000 /90
D. Bentley390270 min72.3 /9072.3 /9000 /90
Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Sá n 890
3.56/4
S. Johnstone n 890
2.86/3

Wolves Defensive

Wolves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Bueno32882830 min531.7 /90311 /90250.8 /901183.8 /90311 /9060.2 /90
L. Krejčí30842520 min321.1 /90361.3 /90180.6 /901134 /90321.1 /9060.2 /90
Y. Mosquera28822303 min632.5 /90291.1 /90150.6 /901656.4 /90341.3 /90120.5 /90
Rodrigo Gomes2243949 min201.9 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90403.8 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90
Toti Gomes19821567 min251.4 /90140.8 /90120.7 /90734.2 /90110.6 /9020.1 /90
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Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
João Gomes n 889.3
1.88/4
2.18/5
S. Berge
André n 889.9
1.37/3
0.95/2
S. Berge
Hugo Bueno n 882.5
0.85/1
1.26/2
—
S. Bueno n 890
15/3
0.43/0
—
L. Krejčí n 884.5
0.73/2
0.11/0
—
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Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.3
4.48/7
André n 889.9
2.67/6
Hugo Bueno n 882.5
1.96/4
S. Bueno n 890
1.45/2
L. Krejčí n 884.5
1.56/4
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Wolves Attacking

Wolves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Arokodare27591591 min60.3 /9020.1 /90442.5 /90181 /90120.7 /90181 /90
J. Strand Larsen26611593 min60.3 /9020.1 /90261.5 /90140.8 /9090.5 /9050.3 /90
Hwang Hee-Chan26601564 min30.2 /9030.2 /90221.3 /9070.4 /90150.9 /9090.5 /90
M. Mane25721793 min20.1 /9000 /90321.6 /90140.7 /90231.2 /90271.4 /90
A. Armstrong14801119 min10.1 /9020.2 /90110.9 /9050.4 /9090.7 /9090.7 /90
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Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
André n 889.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Hugo Bueno n 882.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Bueno n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
L. Krejčí n 884.5
0.53/1
0.31/1
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Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
André n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
Hugo Bueno n 882.5
00/0
0.11/0
S. Bueno n 890
0.11/0
00/0
L. Krejčí n 884.5
00/0
00/0
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Fulham

Fulham Goalkeeper

Fulham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Leno36903240 min942.6 /90501.4 /9000 /90
B. Lecomte690540 min101.7 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Fulham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Leno n 890
3.27/6
B. Lecomte n 690
1.74/1

Fulham Defensive

Fulham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Andersen35883064 min491.4 /90381.1 /90190.6 /901564.6 /90331 /9070.2 /90
C. Bassey28852382 min602.3 /90190.7 /90210.8 /901445.4 /90271 /9050.2 /90
R. Sessegnon28732033 min532.3 /90271.2 /9080.4 /90833.7 /90341.5 /9000 /90
T. Castagne25822062 min391.7 /90331.4 /90120.5 /90823.6 /90210.9 /9060.3 /90
K. Tete23821892 min683.2 /90271.3 /9070.3 /901356.4 /90281.3 /9020.1 /90
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Fulham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Wilson n 879.3
0.32/0
15/2
—
B. Leno n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Andersen n 885.3
1.15/2
0.43/0
—
E. Smith Rowe n 862.6
0.93/1
0.73/1
—
S. Berge n 886.4
1.26/2
0.85/1
André
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Fulham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Wilson n 879.3
15/2
J. Andersen n 885.3
1.54/3
E. Smith Rowe n 862.6
27/3
S. Berge n 886.4
2.17/5
R. Jiménez n 860.3
1.76/3
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Fulham Attacking

Fulham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Jiménez33722389 min80.3 /9030.1 /90522 /90200.8 /90250.9 /90110.4 /90
Kevin25501242 min30.2 /9020.1 /90272 /90141 /90161.2 /90423 /90
Rodrigo Muniz22481046 min10.1 /9010.1 /90262.2 /9070.6 /90100.9 /9040.3 /90
S. Chukwueze21551151 min30.2 /9040.3 /90141.1 /9070.5 /90231.8 /90151.2 /90
Adama Traoré1143478 min00 /9000 /9071.3 /9040.8 /9061.1 /9061.1 /90
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Fulham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Wilson n 879.3
1.67/2
0.42/1
B. Leno n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Andersen n 885.3
0.73/2
0.42/1
E. Smith Rowe n 862.6
0.94/1
0.42/0
S. Berge n 886.4
0.32/0
00/0
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Fulham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Wilson n 879.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
B. Leno n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Andersen n 885.3
00/0
00/0
E. Smith Rowe n 862.6
00/0
00/0
S. Berge n 886.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WolvesFulham
31%Possession69%
1.40Expected goals (xG)1.59
11Shots13
3Shots on target5
8Shots off target5
0Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box8
3Corners6
1Offsides2
20Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves2
261Passes592
69%Pass accuracy86%

Wolves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
José Sá9000000006.9
Y. Mosquera9000200206
S. Bueno9000000006.3
L. Krejčí9000000407.3
João Gomes9000000006.5
André90000002Y6.7
M. Mane9010223307.7
Rodrigo Gomes8500301306.6
D. Møller Wolfe8500000006.3
Hwang Hee-Chan7901103006.6
A. Armstrong7200100106.3
T. Arokodare sub1800110106.9
J. Bellegarde sub1100000006.3
Hugo Bueno sub1000001006.6
Pedro Lima sub1000100006.9

Fulham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Leno9000000006.9
T. Castagne9000102407.3
I. Diop9000000006.7
C. Bassey9000000207.2
A. Robinson9010111207.3
S. Lukić9000001506.9
Oscar Bobb7900002307.2
E. Smith Rowe7900110206.3
A. Iwobi6700220006.9
Rodrigo Muniz6700000006.2
S. Berge4500200106.3
Kevin sub4500000006.6
Joshua King sub2300001006.7
R. Jiménez sub2300100006.5
H. Wilson sub1100210006.3
S. Chukwueze sub1100001006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wolves v Fulham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WolvesLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
FulhamLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Wolves 2 · 1 draw · Fulham 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-01 Fulham 3–0 Wolves
  • 2025-02-25 Wolves 1–2 Fulham
  • 2024-11-23 Fulham 1–4 Wolves
  • 2024-03-09 Wolves 2–1 Fulham
  • 2023-11-27 Fulham 3–2 Wolves
  • 2023-02-24 Fulham 1–1 Wolves
League standing · 2025/26
Wolves#20 pos20 pts38 pl-41 GD
Fulham#11 pos52 pts38 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Wolves scored0.71
Fulham scored1.24
Wolves conceded1.79
Fulham conceded1.34

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Wolves 1.50 xG from 11 shots, Fulham 1.48 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Yerson Mosquera 51' · 0.44 xGAdam Armstrong 67' · 0.34 xGRodrigo Gomes 82' · 0.31 xGSander Berge 28' · 0.20 xGAlex Iwobi 11' · 0.11 xGRaúl Jiménez 91' · 0.08 xGRodrigo Gomes 24' · 0.07 xGTimothy Castagne 32' · 0.07 xGRodrigo Gomes 19' · 0.07 xGPedro Lima 85' · 0.07 xGRodrigo Muniz 33' · 0.07 xGHee-Chan Hwang 52' · 0.05 xGEmile Smith-Rowe 40' · 0.05 xGKevin 89' · 0.03 xGRaúl Jiménez 69' · 0.03 xGYerson Mosquera 30' · 0.02 xGHarry Wilson 87' · 0.02 xGSander Berge 32' · 0.02 xGHarry Wilson 81' · 0.02 xGMateus Mané 16' · 0.02 xGTolu Arokodare 80' · 0.02 xGAlex Iwobi 55' · 0.02 xGAntonee Robinson 47' · 0.76 xG · goalMateus Mané 24' · 0.08 xG · goal
Wolves (attacking right)Fulham (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Wolves1111.50
Fulham1311.48

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Wolves 0.27, Fulham 0.52. At full time, xG was level: Wolves 1.50, Fulham 1.48, including 0.76 from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.01 xG to Fulham, in the 47th minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Wolves 24 minGoal - Fulham 47 min
Wolves 1.50 xGFulham 1.48 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wolves v Fulham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wolves v Fulham was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Wolves and Fulham?
In their last 6 meetings, Wolves won 2, Fulham won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wolves and Fulham?
Recent form — Wolves 0W 1D 4L; Fulham 1W 1D 3L.

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