Aberdeen v Falkirk result

Full-time · Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk

Premiership · · Pittodrie Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aberdeen · Falkirk

The model’s pre-match pick

Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk — Falkirk won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Falkirk won 1–0 at Pittodrie Stadium in the Premiership on Sunday 31 August. Falkirk have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Falkirk: Kyrell Wilson (75’). Nicholas Devlin (43’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kyrell Wilson’s goal on 75 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Aberdeen 0.00, Falkirk 0.00, from 12 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Aberdeen: Jack Milne (29’), Mats Knoester (72’) and T. Keskinen (85’); Falkirk: Leon McCann (45+1’), Dylan Tait (60’), Calvin Miller (66’), Henry Cartwright (69’) and Connor Allan (90+1’).

What it changes

Aberdeen are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Brad Spencer (Falkirk) 6.6, S. Arfield (Falkirk) 4.9 and Leighton Clarkson (Aberdeen) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Aberdeen or Falkirk (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).

Next up

Aberdeen next travel to Dundee Utd on 24 October 2026.

Falkirk next host Kilmarnock on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aberdeen: Dundee Utd v Aberdeen, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Falkirk: Falkirk v Kilmarnock, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk · Premiership
  • Venue: Pittodrie Stadium · Aberdeen
  • Referee: Ross Hardie, Scotland
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Aberdeen 1W 1D 3L · Falkirk 2W 1D 2L

Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 2.63
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 2.33
Corners
against 5 / 2.67 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 3 matches
3.67 / 2.33
Shots on target
against 6.17 / 3.33 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 3 matches
3.14 / 1.67
Cards
against 1.57 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 3 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAberdeen for / againstLineFalkirk for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5 against n 6
9.5standard
2.33 for · 2.67 against n 3
Shots
13.83 for · 14.33 against n 6
19.5standard
7.33 for · 6.67 against n 3
Shots on target
3.67 for · 6.17 against n 6
8.5standard
2.33 for · 3.33 against n 3
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 9.83 against n 6
21.5standard
8 for · 12 against n 3
Cards shown
3.14 for · 1.57 against n 7
3.5standard
1.67 for · 3 against n 3

Referee: Ross Hardie, Scotland.

Aberdeen
Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Guèye n 867.4
4.36/5
0.84/1
—
K. Yengi n 831.6
2.54/2
0.72/0
R. MacIver
N. Devlin n 843
2.16/1
1.65/1
—
E. Sokler n 825.6
1.84/0
0.41/0
—
A. Palaversa n 881
1.76/4
0.63/1
—
Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Fletcher Boyd n 615.2
32/1
32/1
N. Milanovic n 862.8
2.26/3
1.45/2
A. Aouchiche n 874.1
1.86/4
0.94/2
P. Guèye n 867.4
1.86/4
15/1
Oday Dabbagh n 819.5
1.72/1
1.22/0
Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fletcher Boyd n 615.2
22/0
00/0
N. Milanovic n 862.8
0.52/1
0.21/0
Oday Dabbagh n 819.5
00/0
0.61/0
P. Guèye n 867.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
A. Aouchiche n 874.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Polvara n 830.5
4.47/3
A. Jensen n 881.9
2.67/6
N. Devlin n 843
2.66/1
G. Shinnie n 882.8
2.47/5
J. Milne n 844.5
2.35/2
Falkirk
Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ross n 339
2.32/1
1.51/1
—
C. Miller n 859.8
1.96/2
1.55/2
—
S. Mackie n 375
1.23/0
0.82/0
—
Brian Graham n 343
0.71/0
2.12/1
—
R. MacIver n 342.7
0.71/0
0.71/0
K. Yengi
Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. MacIver n 342.7
2.12/1
1.41/1
E. Ross n 339
1.51/1
0.81/0
C. Miller n 859.8
0.83/1
0.42/0
Brian Graham n 343
0.71/0
0.71/0
S. Arfield n 830.6
0.72/0
0.41/0
Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Ross n 339
0.81/0
00/0
R. MacIver n 342.7
0.71/0
00/0
C. Miller n 859.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Arfield n 830.6
00/0
0.41/0
Scott Bain n 875.3
00/0
00/0
Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Mackie n 375
3.62/2
C. Miller n 859.8
2.15/4
Brian Graham n 343
1.41/1
R. MacIver n 342.7
1.42/0
L. Neilson n 873.1
0.85/0

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AberdeenFalkirk
37%Possession63%
12Shots19
4Shots on target9
4Shots off target4
4Blocked shots6
9Shots inside the box13
5Corners6
4Offsides4
16Fouls13
3Yellow cards5
1Red cards0
7Saves4
260Passes439
68%Pass accuracy79%

Aberdeen player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Mitov9000001006.2
A. Jensen9000210106.9
J. Milne90000000Y6.9
M. Knoester90000002Y6.9
T. Keskinen90002211Y6.9
L. Clarkson7700101407.2
D. Polvara5900002106.9
A. Palaversa5400000106.9
N. Milanovic5400211206.9
K. Yengi4500102006.3
N. Devlin43000011R6
G. Molloy sub4500000306.7
G. Shinnie sub3600000207
A. Aouchiche sub3600000206.9
M. Lazetić sub3100001006.2
K. Bilalovic sub1300000006.3

Falkirk player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Adams9000100006.6
L. Neilson9000000207.2
L. Henderson9000110107.2
L. McCann90000001Y6.9
B. Spencer9000332206.6
D. Tait90001133Y6.9
Henry Cartwright81000001Y6.9
R. MacIver8100103106.2
Scott Bain7400000007.3
C. Miller68001022Y7
S. Arfield6800221306.9
A. Agyeman sub2200210106.3
Kyrell Wilson sub2210110007.3
N. Hogarth sub1600000006.7
C. Allan sub9000000Y6.7
T. Ogunsuyi sub900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Aberdeen v Falkirk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AberdeenLLWDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
FalkirkWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
League standing · 2025/26
Aberdeen#3 pos40 pts38 pl-15 GD
Falkirk#6 pos49 pts38 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Aberdeen scored1.05
Falkirk scored1.32
Aberdeen conceded1.45
Falkirk conceded1.63

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Aberdeen v Falkirk?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aberdeen v Falkirk was Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Aberdeen and Falkirk?
Recent form — Aberdeen 1W 1D 3L; Falkirk 2W 1D 2L.

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