This Matchweek

Dundee UtdAberdeen

Dundee Utd v Aberdeen result

Full-time · Dundee Utd 3–2 Aberdeen

Premiership · · Tannadice Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Dundee Utd · Aberdeen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Dundee Utd 3–2 Aberdeen — Dundee Utd won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.35 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,054 of 1,405 times (75%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Dundee Utd beat Aberdeen 3–2 at Tannadice Park in the Premiership on Saturday 24 October. It is Dundee Utd’s first win over Aberdeen since 23 September 2025, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Dundee Utd led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Dundee Utd: Zidane Iqbal (14’, assisted by Dylan Tait), Dylan Tait (27’, assisted by Kevin Ciubotaru) and Zachary Sapsford (72’, assisted by Dylan Tait); Aberdeen: Nesta Guinness-Walker (25’, assisted by Kevin Nisbet) and Connor Ronan (56’, assisted by Lewis Smith).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Zachary Sapsford’s goal on 72 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Dundee Utd 1.54, Aberdeen 1.58, from 14 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Dickinson showed one yellow card — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Aberdeen: Bradley Lyons (17’).

What it changes

Dundee Utd move up from sixth to fourth (10 league matches played). Dundee Utd have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Dundee Utd have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Aberdeen move down from fifth to seventh (10 league matches played). Aberdeen have scored 12 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Aberdeen have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 10, across six matches. Dundee Utd are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Dundee Utd have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dylan Tait (Dundee Utd) 14.3, Zidane Iqbal (Dundee Utd) 10.4 and Nesta Guinness-Walker (Aberdeen) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Aberdeen are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Dundee Utd.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Dundee Utd or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1305 of 1703).

Next up

Dundee Utd next host Motherwell on 7 November 2026.

Aberdeen next travel to Rangers on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dundee Utd: Dundee Utd v Motherwell, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Aberdeen: Aberdeen v Hibernian, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Dundee Utd 3–2 Aberdeen · Premiership
  • Venue: Tannadice Park · Dundee
  • Referee: D. Dickinson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Dundee Utd 2 · draws 3 · Aberdeen 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Dundee Utd 2W 2D 1L · Aberdeen 2W 2D 1L

Dundee Utd 3–2 Aberdeen (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
7.14 / 6.14
Corners
against 4.86 / 6.71 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.71 / 3.43
Shots on target
against 4.14 / 5.14 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3 / 2.71
Cards
against 2.29 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.14 yellows
Referee · D. Dickinson
22.95 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 21 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDundee Utd for / againstLineAberdeen for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
7.14 for · 4.86 against n 7
9.5standard
6.14 for · 6.71 against n 7
Shots
17.29 for · 14.43 against n 7
19.5standard
12.71 for · 14.14 against n 7
Shots on target
6.71 for · 4.14 against n 7
8.5standard
3.43 for · 5.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.29 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
12.71 for · 11.86 against n 7
Cards shown
3 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.71 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: D. Dickinson — 4.14 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.95 fouls over 21 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd Goalkeeper

Dundee Utd — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Walton990810 min313.4 /90111.2 /9000 /90
Dundee Utd — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Walton n 890
3.17/6

Dundee Utd Defensive

Dundee Utd — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Forbes990810 min101.1 /90131.4 /90101.1 /90717.9 /9040.4 /9010.1 /90
B. Esselink987782 min80.9 /90141.6 /90151.7 /90465.3 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
Joshua Rawlins888701 min131.7 /9050.6 /9040.5 /90243.1 /9050.6 /9000 /90
W. Ferry674441 min142.9 /90132.7 /9030.6 /90316.3 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90
K. Ciubotaru577386 min163.7 /9051.2 /9030.7 /90255.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
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Dundee Utd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Forbes n 890
0.32/0
0.94/2
N. Guinness-Walker
J. Walton n 890
00/0
00/0
—
B. Esselink n 890
14/4
0.84/2
N. Guinness-Walker
J. Randall n 863
0.42/0
0.93/2
K. Nisbet
D. Bennie n 860.4
1.75/2
0.63/0
K. Nisbet
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Dundee Utd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Forbes n 890
1.15/3
B. Esselink n 890
0.95/2
J. Randall n 863
1.44/2
D. Bennie n 860.4
1.14/2
L. Rose n 829.6
00/0
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Dundee Utd Attacking

Dundee Utd — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Randall966594 min20.3 /9030.5 /90121.8 /9081.2 /90203 /9050.8 /90
D. Bennie956503 min10.2 /9010.2 /90152.7 /9050.9 /90101.8 /9050.9 /90
L. Rose934307 min10.3 /9000 /9061.8 /9030.9 /9041.2 /9000 /90
I. Metsoko559297 min00 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9041.2 /9000 /90
M. Merghem543217 min00 /9020.8 /9041.7 /9000 /9072.9 /9041.7 /90
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Dundee Utd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Forbes n 890
0.83/1
0.11/0
J. Walton n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Esselink n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
J. Randall n 863
1.85/3
1.35/1
D. Bennie n 860.4
2.87/4
0.94/1
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Dundee Utd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Forbes n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Walton n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Esselink n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Randall n 863
0.42/0
0.42/0
D. Bennie n 860.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Aberdeen

Aberdeen Goalkeeper

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Müller990810 min374.1 /9070.8 /9000 /90
Aberdeen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Müller n 890
4.37/6

Aberdeen Defensive

Aberdeen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Cadden988792 min161.8 /90111.3 /9040.5 /90333.8 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90
N. Guinness-Walker985765 min192.2 /90141.6 /9070.8 /90546.4 /9040.5 /9000 /90
L. Mayo780560 min71.1 /9091.4 /9040.6 /90223.5 /9071.1 /9050.8 /90
M. Knoester681483 min81.5 /9091.7 /9030.6 /90183.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
G. Molloy664384 min92.1 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90184.2 /9030.7 /9000 /90
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Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Müller n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
C. Cadden n 889.9
0.95/2
0.85/1
—
N. Guinness-Walker n 885.3
0.54/0
0.96/1
B. Esselink
K. Nisbet n 878.6
0.73/1
0.95/1
D. Bennie
S. Armstrong n 855
1.43/2
1.25/1
—
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Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Cadden n 889.9
1.57/4
N. Guinness-Walker n 885.3
2.17/5
K. Nisbet n 878.6
0.93/1
S. Armstrong n 855
1.86/2
A. Mouloua n 829.8
3.87/3
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Aberdeen Attacking

Aberdeen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Nisbet980719 min40.5 /9020.3 /90212.6 /90121.5 /9070.9 /9040.5 /90
A. Mouloua928255 min20.7 /9000 /9062.1 /9041.4 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
L. Smith747327 min00 /9000 /9061.7 /9010.3 /9082.2 /9051.4 /90
M. Ntelo351153 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /90
H. Mahou12222 min00 /9000 /9028.2 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Müller n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Cadden n 889.9
0.42/1
00/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 885.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
K. Nisbet n 878.6
2.77/5
1.66/2
S. Armstrong n 855
0.62/1
0.21/0
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Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Müller n 890
00/0
0.11/0
C. Cadden n 889.9
00/0
00/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 885.3
00/0
00/0
K. Nisbet n 878.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Armstrong n 855
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Dundee UtdAberdeen
44%Possession56%
1.54Expected goals (xG)1.58
14Shots20
6Shots on target3
2Shots off target7
6Blocked shots10
11Shots inside the box16
3Corners8
2Offsides1
6Fouls7
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves2
402Passes486

Dundee Utd Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Walton9000000006.3
Joshua Rawlins9000000006.2
J. Randall9000103206.3
Zidane Iqbal9010110608
M. Forbes9000200006.1
B. Esselink9000000106.7
K. Ciubotaru9001211006.4
D. Tait9012113508.8
Z. Sapsford7410110007.7
L. Cameron7400215106.9
D. Bennie6500200006.3
N. Farrugia2500001006.9
Abdoulaye Yoro1600000006
L. Rose1600210006.5

Aberdeen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Ronan9010312107.4
K. Nisbet9001301006.5
G. Molloy9000100106.7
J. Milne9000000006.2
B. Lyons90006112Y6.4
N. Guinness-Walker9010311007.3
C. Cadden9000000206.2
M. Müller9000000005.9
S. Armstrong7600005006.8
A. Mouloua6500102106.4
L. Smith4501101106.3
A. Aremu4500100006
T. Olusanya2500100006.3
H. Mahou1400001005.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Dundee Utd v Aberdeen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Dundee UtdLDWWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
AberdeenDWDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Dundee Utd 2 · 3 draws · Aberdeen 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 Aberdeen 2–0 Dundee Utd
  • 2026-02-24 Dundee Utd 0–0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-12-27 Aberdeen 1–1 Dundee Utd
  • 2025-09-23 Dundee Utd 2–0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-05-17 Dundee Utd 2–1 Aberdeen
  • 2025-03-02 Aberdeen 2–2 Dundee Utd
League standing · 2026/27
Dundee Utd#6 pos16 pts11 pl0 GD
Aberdeen#10 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Dundee Utd scored1.45
Aberdeen scored1.09
Dundee Utd conceded1.45
Aberdeen conceded1.27

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Dundee Utd v Aberdeen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dundee Utd v Aberdeen was Home or Draw (best price 1.35 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee Utd and Aberdeen?
In their last 6 meetings, Dundee Utd won 2, Aberdeen won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dundee Utd and Aberdeen?
Recent form — Dundee Utd 2W 2D 1L; Aberdeen 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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