This Matchweek

FalkirkKilmarnock

Falkirk v Kilmarnock result

Full-time · Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock

Premiership · · Falkirk Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Falkirk · Kilmarnock · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock — Falkirk won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.26 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Falkirk beat Kilmarnock 3–0 at Falkirk Community Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 24 October. Falkirk have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Falkirk led 2–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Kilmarnock: an own goal by Cathal McCarthy (29’) and an own goal by George Stanger (68’); Falkirk: Jacob Murrell (38’, assisted by Ryan Strain).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Falkirk 2.08, Kilmarnock 1.89, from 19 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Robertson showed two yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kilmarnock: George Stanger (46’) and Jamie Brandon (68’).

What it changes

Falkirk move up from ninth to sixth (10 league matches played). Falkirk have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Falkirk have conceded 12 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Kilmarnock stay 11th after this result (10 league matches played). Kilmarnock have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Kilmarnock have conceded 28 goals, the most of the 12 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Calum Ferrie (Kilmarnock) 6.1, Jacob Murrell (Falkirk) 5.6 and Ryan Strain (Falkirk) 5.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Falkirk are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Kilmarnock.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Falkirk or Kilmarnock (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Falkirk next travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 8 November 2026.

Kilmarnock next travel to Celtic on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Falkirk: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Kilmarnock: Celtic v Kilmarnock, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock · Premiership
  • Venue: Falkirk Community Stadium · Falkirk
  • Referee: D. Robertson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Falkirk 4 · draws 0 · Kilmarnock 1 · 3.6 goals/game
  • Recent form: Falkirk 2W 2D 1L · Kilmarnock 2W 2D 1L

Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4 / 4.86
Corners
against 6.38 / 6.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.63 / 4
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 4.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 2.43
Cards
against 2 / 1.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.17 yellows
Referee · D. Robertson
24.22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 18 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFalkirk for / againstLineKilmarnock for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
3our book
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.86 for · 6.43 against n 7
Shots
11.25 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.57 for · 16.29 against n 7
Shots on target
3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.13 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.57 for · 12.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.43 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: D. Robertson — 4.17 yellow cards a game, 0.28 red cards, 24.22 fouls over 18 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Scott Bain990810 min414.6 /90121.3 /9000 /90
Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 890
4.67/6

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Strain990809 min222.4 /90121.3 /9030.3 /90556.1 /90111.2 /9020.2 /90
L. Henderson986777 min101.2 /90141.6 /9050.6 /90394.5 /9070.8 /9000 /90
L. McCann882654 min91.2 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90344.7 /9071 /9010.1 /90
L. Neilson790630 min60.9 /9071 /9091.3 /90365.1 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90
S. Tanser348145 min10.6 /9010.6 /9000 /9053.1 /9053.1 /9000 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
—
R. Strain n 889.9
1.46/4
1.47/4
M. Schjønning-Larsen
L. Henderson n 885.9
0.84/2
0.11/0
G. Stanger
E. Ross n 878.3
0.63/1
38/6
G. Kiltie
Finley Frank Barbrook n 884.4
2.57/6
1.15/2
T. Lowery
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Strain n 889.9
2.17/6
L. Henderson n 885.9
1.26/2
E. Ross n 878.3
26/3
Finley Frank Barbrook n 884.4
2.17/5
L. McCann n 881.8
1.25/2
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jacob Murrell767470 min40.8 /9000 /90203.8 /90112.1 /9020.4 /9000 /90
A. Doherty634203 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /90
Ben Parkinson539193 min00 /9000 /9020.9 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /90
C. Fodrey443171 min00 /9000 /9042.1 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9010.5 /90
R. MacIver434135 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /9021.3 /9000 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Strain n 889.9
0.53/1
0.43/0
L. Henderson n 885.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
E. Ross n 878.3
0.93/2
0.42/1
Finley Frank Barbrook n 884.4
0.54/0
0.11/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Strain n 889.9
00/0
0.43/0
L. Henderson n 885.9
00/0
00/0
E. Ross n 878.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Finley Frank Barbrook n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Stryjek690540 min264.3 /90142.3 /9000 /90
C. Ferrie390270 min93 /9062 /9000 /90
Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 890
3.97/4
C. Ferrie n 390
32/1

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Schjønning-Larsen988794 min60.7 /9050.6 /9040.5 /90262.9 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90
G. Stanger988791 min151.7 /90111.3 /90101.1 /90384.3 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
J. Brandon861486 min91.7 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90224.1 /90132.4 /9010.2 /90
C. McCarthy790630 min121.7 /90172.4 /9040.6 /90324.6 /9050.7 /9020.3 /90
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara360179 min21 /9021 /9052.5 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Hugill n 890
1.37/3
16/2
—
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 888
17/1
0.53/1
R. Strain
G. Stanger n 887.6
16/2
0.84/2
L. Henderson
T. Lowery n 887.5
0.11/0
1.26/3
Finley Frank Barbrook
G. Kiltie n 886.3
0.95/2
2.98/7
E. Ross
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Hugill n 890
0.43/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 888
0.84/1
G. Stanger n 887.6
1.88/3
T. Lowery n 887.5
1.87/5
G. Kiltie n 886.3
1.26/3
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Hugill990810 min10.1 /9010.1 /90171.9 /90101.1 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
D. Daniels443171 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9031.6 /9000 /90
Roshaun Mathurin13131 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.9 /90
C. Burke12626 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.5 /90
T. Lowery988790 min00 /9020.2 /9030.3 /9000 /9091 /9020.2 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 890
1.96/5
16/2
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 888
0.43/0
0.43/0
G. Stanger n 887.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Lowery n 887.5
0.43/0
00/0
G. Kiltie n 886.3
1.46/3
0.94/3
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 888
0.11/0
00/0
G. Stanger n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
T. Lowery n 887.5
00/0
0.11/0
G. Kiltie n 886.3
0.31/1
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FalkirkKilmarnock
63%Possession37%
2.08Expected goals (xG)1.89
19Shots9
8Shots on target0
7Shots off target2
4Blocked shots7
13Shots inside the box5
9Corners7
0Offsides1
11Fouls13
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves7
307Passes336

Falkirk Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Strain9001204007.4
L. Neilson9000100006.8
L. Henderson9000111006.3
L. McCann9000100206.1
B. Spencer9000202206.6
Scott Bain9000000006.2
D. Meļņiks8900110006.2
Finley Frank Barbrook8600211206.6
Jacob Murrell8410530008.1
E. Ross8400112106.6
Owen Eames8400312106.8
C. McLeod600000006.5
C. Fodrey600000006.9
Ben Parkinson600000006.7
F. Yeats400000006.4
C. Sibbald100001000

Kilmarnock Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Brandon90000000Y4.8
G. Stanger90000004Y4.8
M. Schjønning-Larsen9000100005.9
T. Lowery9000100206.2
T. John-Jules9000200205.6
C. Ferrie9000000007.2
J. Hugill7600101006.5
C. McCarthy7600200004.4
A. Tshibola6700100105.9
E. Ring6700001106.1
G. Kiltie6200001005.7
I. Owen2800100006.1
N. Cleșcenco2300000006.3
Mark O'Hara2300001005.8
D. Daniels1400000006.4
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara1400000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Falkirk v Kilmarnock — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FalkirkDWDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
KilmarnockDWDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Falkirk 4 · 0 draws · Kilmarnock 1 · 3.6 goals/game
  • 2026-02-28 Falkirk 5–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2025-12-20 Kilmarnock 0–1 Falkirk
  • 2025-11-01 Falkirk 3–1 Kilmarnock
  • 2021-09-04 Kilmarnock 3–1 Falkirk
  • 2020-10-06 Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
League standing · 2026/27
Falkirk#4 pos18 pts12 pl+3 GD
Kilmarnock#11 pos9 pts12 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Falkirk scored1.25
Kilmarnock scored1.08
Falkirk conceded1
Kilmarnock conceded2.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Falkirk v Kilmarnock?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Falkirk v Kilmarnock was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and Kilmarnock?
In their last 5 meetings, Falkirk won 4, Kilmarnock won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Falkirk and Kilmarnock?
Recent form — Falkirk 2W 2D 1L; Kilmarnock 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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