AberdeenHibernian

Aberdeen v Hibernian prediction

Premiership · · Pittodrie Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Aberdeen v Hibernian, Premiership on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Aberdeen host Hibernian in the Premiership on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Aberdeen or Hibernian (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Seven of Aberdeen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Aberdeen’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Aberdeen have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 0.63. Aberdeen have scored 12 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Aberdeen have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Eight of Hibernian’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Hibernian’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Hibernian have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 0.75. Hibernian have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Hibernian have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Aberdeen have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Aberdeen (10th) and Hibernian (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Aberdeen the stronger side, 40 rating points above Hibernian (Aberdeen 1498, Hibernian 1458, after at least 345 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen.

Team news

Predicted Aberdeen XI (4-2-3-1): M. Müller, N. Guinness-Walker, G. Molloy, C. Cadden, J. Milne, B. Lyons, S. Armstrong, A. Aremu, C. Ronan, F. Marshall, K. Nisbet — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bradley Lyons (4.5 per match over five appearances, one goal) and Nesta Guinness-Walker (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Aberdeen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aberdeen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bradley Lyons averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 431 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last six appearances. Nesta Guinness-Walker averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 945 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Hibernian XI (4-2-3-1): R. Sallinger, J. Kerr, F. Passlack, M. Ivezić, A. Mayor, J. Mulligan, M. Chaiwa, J. Newell, J. McGrath, T. Klidje, O. Elding — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jason Kerr (4.2 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and Jamie McGrath (3.9 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been Hibernian’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hibernian (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jason Kerr averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1080 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Jamie McGrath averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 652 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premiership · Pittodrie Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aberdeen 2 · draws 1 · Hibernian 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aberdeen 1W 0D 4L · Hibernian 1W 1D 3L

Aberdeen v Hibernian (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.5 / 6
Corners
against 4.33 / 5.86 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.33 / 3.57
Shots on target
against 4.17 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.67 / 1.86
Cards
against 1.67 / 3.29 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAberdeen for / againstLineHibernian for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 4.33 against n 6
9.5standard
6 for · 5.86 against n 7
Shots
15.83 for · 11.67 against n 6
19.5standard
12.43 for · 10.57 against n 7
Shots on target
4.33 for · 4.17 against n 6
8.5standard
3.57 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 10.17 against n 6
21.5standard
9.71 for · 11.71 against n 7
Cards shown
1.67 for · 1.67 against n 6
3.5standard
1.86 for · 3.29 against n 7

Aberdeen

Aberdeen Goalkeeper

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Müller1190990 min423.8 /9070.6 /9000 /90
Aberdeen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Müller n 890
3.97/5

Aberdeen Defensive

Aberdeen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Guinness-Walker1186945 min212 /90171.6 /9080.8 /90646.1 /9060.6 /9000 /90
C. Cadden1185932 min181.7 /90131.3 /9050.5 /90393.8 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
G. Molloy871564 min101.6 /90111.8 /9020.3 /90294.6 /9030.5 /9000 /90
L. Mayo780560 min71.1 /9091.4 /9040.6 /90223.5 /9071.1 /9050.8 /90
M. Knoester681483 min81.5 /9091.7 /9030.6 /90183.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
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Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Müller n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
N. Guinness-Walker n 885.3
0.74/1
1.16/1
—
C. Cadden n 884.9
0.43/0
0.85/1
—
K. Nisbet n 878.6
0.73/1
0.75/0
—
S. Armstrong n 858.9
1.74/3
15/0
—
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Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Guinness-Walker n 885.3
1.66/4
C. Cadden n 884.9
1.66/5
K. Nisbet n 878.6
0.93/1
S. Armstrong n 858.9
1.35/2
A. Mouloua n 838.6
2.67/2
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Aberdeen Attacking

Aberdeen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Nisbet1182899 min40.4 /9030.3 /90262.6 /90121.2 /9090.9 /9050.5 /90
A. Mouloua1135386 min20.5 /9000 /9092.1 /9051.2 /9051.2 /9030.7 /90
T. Olusanya1062623 min00 /9000 /9030.4 /9000 /9091.3 /9000 /90
L. Smith747327 min00 /9000 /9061.7 /9010.3 /9082.2 /9051.4 /90
M. Ntelo351153 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /90
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Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Müller n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 885.3
0.95/1
0.32/0
C. Cadden n 884.9
0.52/2
0.11/0
K. Nisbet n 878.6
2.97/6
1.34/2
S. Armstrong n 858.9
0.41/1
0.21/0
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Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Müller n 890
00/0
0.11/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 885.3
0.11/0
00/0
C. Cadden n 884.9
00/0
00/0
K. Nisbet n 878.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
S. Armstrong n 858.9
00/0
00/0
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Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Sallinger12901080 min433.6 /90171.4 /9000 /90
Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 890
3.47/5

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Kerr12901080 min151.3 /90161.3 /90121 /90776.4 /9060.5 /9000 /90
F. Passlack1190989 min171.5 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90403.6 /9080.7 /9010.1 /90
G. Hanley583413 min102.2 /9071.5 /9010.2 /90316.8 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
J. Obita578389 min20.5 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9081.9 /9051.2 /9000 /90
M. Ivezić490360 min51.3 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90102.5 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kerr n 890
0.65/0
1.34/3
—
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Mulligan n 888.1
2.67/7
0.85/1
—
F. Passlack n 890
0.85/1
0.64/1
—
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
1.15/2
1.86/3
—
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kerr n 890
1.67/4
J. Mulligan n 888.1
1.56/3
F. Passlack n 890
1.16/3
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
0.73/1
A. Mayor n 882.6
2.38/6
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Boyle964580 min30.5 /9000 /90121.9 /9071.1 /9040.6 /9030.5 /90
N. Lowe958526 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.7 /9040.7 /9091.5 /9050.9 /90
A. Šuto835283 min00 /9000 /9051.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9020.6 /90
Owen Elding775523 min20.3 /9000 /9081.4 /9040.7 /90122.1 /9020.3 /90
J. Mulligan12891065 min00 /9020.2 /90191.6 /9070.6 /90141.2 /90110.9 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kerr n 890
0.83/2
0.31/1
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 888.1
1.75/4
0.83/3
F. Passlack n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
14/2
0.21/0
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Kerr n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
F. Passlack n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
00/0
0.21/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aberdeen v Hibernian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AberdeenLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
HibernianLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aberdeen 2 · 1 draw · Hibernian 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-09-19 Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen
  • 2026-04-11 Aberdeen 2–0 Hibernian
  • 2025-12-30 Hibernian 2–0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-10-26 Aberdeen 1–2 Hibernian
  • 2025-04-26 Aberdeen 1–0 Hibernian
  • 2025-02-01 Hibernian 2–0 Aberdeen
League standing · 2026/27
Aberdeen#10 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD
Hibernian#12 pos8 pts11 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Aberdeen scored1.09
Hibernian scored1
Aberdeen conceded1.27
Hibernian conceded1.55

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Aberdeen v Hibernian?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aberdeen v Hibernian is Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Aberdeen and Hibernian?
In their last 6 meetings, Aberdeen won 2, Hibernian won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aberdeen and Hibernian?
Recent form — Aberdeen 1W 0D 4L; Hibernian 1W 1D 3L.

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