Dundee Utd v Falkirk result

Full-time · Dundee Utd 1–1 Falkirk

Premiership · Sat, 05 Sep 2026 15:00 BST · Tannadice Park

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 02:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Dundee Utd · Falkirk · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Dundee Utd 1–1 Falkirk — this Premiership match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,985 of 2,653 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Dundee Utd and Falkirk drew 1–1 at Tannadice Park in the Premiership on Saturday 5 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Dundee Utd out-shot Falkirk 27 to 12 and created the better chances, 2.27 xG to 0.85 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Falkirk led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Falkirk: Jacob Murrell (4’, assisted by Ryan Strain); Dundee Utd: Michael Forbes (90’, assisted by Abdoulaye Yoro).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Michael Forbes’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

D. McFarlane showed five yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Dundee Utd: Dylan Tait (42’), Zachary Sapsford (56’) and Lachlan Rose (64’); Falkirk: Brad Spencer (84’) and Ben Parkinson (88’).

What it changes

Dundee Utd move up from ninth to eighth (six league matches played). Dundee Utd have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Dundee Utd have conceded 11 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs.

Falkirk stay 11th after this result (five league matches played). Falkirk have scored three goals, the second-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Falkirk have conceded seven goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Falkirk are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Michael Forbes (Dundee Utd) 10.4, Ryan Strain (Falkirk) 6.7 and Jacob Murrell (Falkirk) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Dundee Utd or Falkirk (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Dundee Utd next travel to Hibernian on 21 November 2026.

Falkirk next travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dundee Utd: Hibernian v Dundee Utd, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Falkirk: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Dundee Utd 1–1 Falkirk · Premiership
Venue: Tannadice Park · Dundee
Referee: D. McFarlane
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Dundee Utd 1 · draws 1 · Falkirk 4 · 3.83 goals/game
Recent form: Dundee Utd 1W 0D 4L · Falkirk 1W 1D 3L

Dundee Utd 1–1 Falkirk (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.75 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.2 / 4.2

Corners

against 7 / 4.8 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 5 matches

3.4 / 2.8

Shots on target

against 6 / 4 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 5 matches

2.2 / 2

Cards

against 2.2 / 1.6 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 5 matches

5 yellows

Referee · D. McFarlane

28.33 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Dundee Utd for / against	Line	Falkirk for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.2 for · 7 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	4.2 for · 4.8 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	14.2 for · 17.6 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	10.2 for · 12.6 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	3.4 for · 6 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	2.8 for · 4 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.2 for · 11 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	14.6 for · 14.6 against n 5 Last 5
Cards shown	2.2 for · 2.2 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.6 against n 5 Last 5

Referee: D. McFarlane — 5 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 28.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd Goalkeeper

Dundee Utd — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Walton	5	90450 min	214.2 /90	102 /90	00 /90

Dundee Utd — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Walton n 8	90	4 8/6

Dundee Utd Defensive

Dundee Utd — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Forbes	5	90450 min	20.4 /90	91.8 /90	61.2 /90	418.2 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
W. Ferry	5	85424 min	122.5 /90	132.8 /90	30.6 /90	285.9 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
B. Esselink	5	84422 min	71.5 /90	61.3 /90	102.1 /90	286 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90
Joshua Rawlins	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	20.5 /90	30.8 /90	82 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Iurie Iovu	1	2828 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Dundee Utd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Forbes n 5	90	0.6 2/1	1 2/2	L. Henderson
J. Walton n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
W. Ferry n 8	86.8	1.3 5/3	1.3 7/2	—
B. Esselink n 8	71.6	1.1 4/3	0.6 2/2	L. Henderson
Z. Sapsford n 8	62.4	1.4 5/2	1.6 5/4	E. Ross
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Dundee Utd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Forbes n 5	90	0.4 2/0
W. Ferry n 8	86.8	2.1 6/6
B. Esselink n 8	71.6	1.6 8/2
Z. Sapsford n 8	62.4	0.5 3/0
J. Randall n 5	56	1.6 2/1
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Dundee Utd Attacking

Dundee Utd — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Z. Sapsford	5	57284 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.6 /90	20.6 /90	72.2 /90	20.6 /90
J. Randall	5	56280 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.6 /90	31 /90	61.9 /90	41.3 /90
D. Bennie	5	52261 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.4 /90	10.3 /90	82.8 /90	31 /90
L. Rose	5	42211 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	31.3 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90
M. Merghem	4	50198 min	00 /90	20.9 /90	41.8 /90	00 /90	73.2 /90	41.8 /90
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Dundee Utd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Forbes n 5	90	0.6 3/0	0 0/0
J. Walton n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
W. Ferry n 8	86.8	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
B. Esselink n 8	71.6	0.8 4/1	0.2 1/0
Z. Sapsford n 8	62.4	1.4 6/2	0.5 2/1
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Dundee Utd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Walton n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Forbes n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
W. Ferry n 8	86.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
B. Esselink n 8	71.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Z. Sapsford n 8	62.4	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
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Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Scott Bain	4	90360 min	153.8 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90

Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 8	90	3.4 7/5

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Henderson	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	174.3 /90	41 /90	00 /90
R. Strain	4	90360 min	82 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90	276.8 /90	41 /90	00 /90
L. Neilson	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	31 /90	31 /90	82.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
L. McCann	3	83249 min	31.1 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	155.4 /90	51.8 /90	10.4 /90
S. Tanser	2	50100 min	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	43.6 /90	43.6 /90	00 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Henderson n 8	85.4	1.1 6/2	0.7 4/1	B. Esselink
R. Strain n 4	90	1 3/1	2.3 4/2	—
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
E. Ross n 8	53.6	1.7 5/2	2.7 7/4	Z. Sapsford
A. Doherty n 4	39	2.3 3/1	2.9 2/2	—
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Strain n 4	90	2 3/2
L. Henderson n 8	85.4	1.1 6/2
E. Ross n 8	53.6	1.3 3/1
A. Doherty n 4	39	1.2 2/0
Finley Frank Barbrook n 3	90	3 3/3
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Doherty	4	39156 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
Ben Parkinson	3	49148 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. MacIver	3	37112 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
Jacob Murrell	2	50100 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.6 /90	32.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
E. Ross	4	64257 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	31.1 /90	41.4 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Strain n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
L. Henderson n 8	85.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Ross n 8	53.6	1 3/1	0.2 1/0
A. Doherty n 4	39	0.6 1/0	0 0/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Strain n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Henderson n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Ross n 8	53.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Doherty n 4	39	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Dundee Utd		Falkirk
62%	Possession	38%
2.27	Expected goals (xG)	0.85
27	Shots	12
9	Shots on target	4
10	Shots off target	3
8	Blocked shots	5
21	Shots inside the box	8
14	Corners	5
2	Offsides	1
16	Fouls	14
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	8
458	Passes	286
74%	Pass accuracy	64%

Dundee Utd Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Walton	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Joshua Rawlins	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
M. Forbes	90	1	0	4	1	2	2	0	8.3
B. Esselink	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
K. Ciubotaru	90	0	0	2	1	0	3	0	6.7
D. Tait	90	0	0	1	1	6	3	Y	7.9
Z. Sapsford	69	0	0	2	0	1	0	Y	5.3
L. Cameron	69	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	6.7
D. Bennie	57	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	6.3
Panutche Camará	57	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
M. Merghem	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Randall sub	71	0	0	3	1	6	1	0	7.2
L. Rose sub	33	0	0	2	0	1	0	Y	6.3
Zidane Iqbal sub	33	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.6
Abdoulaye Yoro sub	21	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
N. Farrugia sub	21	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7

Falkirk Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Strain	90	0	1	2	1	2	2	0	7.2
B. Spencer	90	0	0	0	0	3	3	Y	7
L. Neilson	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
L. McCann	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Finley Frank Barbrook	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
Scott Bain	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.9
Owen Eames	77	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	6.9
Jacob Murrell	65	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	7.5
Ben Krauhaus	65	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
E. Ross	58	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
L. Henderson	57	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.3
D. Meļņiks sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Doherty sub	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Joseph Charles Gardner sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Ben Parkinson sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.5
C. Fodrey sub	13	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Dundee Utd v Falkirk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Dundee UtdLLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

FalkirkWLDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Dundee Utd 1 · 1 draw · Falkirk 4 · 3.83 goals/game

2026-03-06 Falkirk 2–1 Dundee Utd
2026-02-14 Falkirk 2–3 Dundee Utd
2025-11-22 Dundee Utd 0–3 Falkirk
2025-08-03 Falkirk 2–2 Dundee Utd
2024-07-13 Falkirk 2–0 Dundee Utd
2023-11-17 Falkirk 4–2 Dundee Utd

League standing · 2026/27

Dundee Utd#6 pos17 pts12 pl0 GD

Falkirk#4 pos18 pts12 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Dundee Utd scored1.42

Falkirk scored1.25

Dundee Utd conceded1.42

Falkirk conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Dundee Utd v Falkirk?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Dundee Utd v Falkirk was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee Utd and Falkirk?: In their last 6 meetings, Dundee Utd won 1, Falkirk won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dundee Utd and Falkirk?: Recent form — Dundee Utd 1W 0D 4L; Falkirk 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 02:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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