Dundee UtdLivingston

Dundee Utd v Livingston result

Full-time · Dundee Utd 3–2 Livingston

Premiership · · Tannadice Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Dundee Utd 3–2 Livingston — Dundee Utd won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,057 of 1,408 times (75.1%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Dundee Utd beat Livingston 3–2 at Tannadice Park in the Premiership on Saturday 11 April. Livingston are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Dundee Utd led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Dundee Utd: William Ferry (19’, assisted by Max Watters), K. Keresztes (75’, assisted by William Ferry) and Zachary Sapsford (90’ pen); Livingston: Lewis Smith (49’, assisted by J. Nouble; 53’, assisted by J. Prior).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Zachary Sapsford’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Dundee Utd 1.87, Livingston 1.87, from 15 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Graham showed no yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Dundee Utd have scored 49 goals, the eighth-most of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Dundee Utd have conceded 60 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs.

Livingston have scored 40 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Livingston have conceded 75 goals, the most of the 15 clubs.

Dundee Utd have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lewis Smith (Livingston) 10.6, William Ferry (Dundee Utd) 10.0 and Zachary Sapsford (Dundee Utd) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Dundee Utd or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1305 of 1703).

Next up

Dundee Utd next travel to Hibernian on 21 November 2026.

Livingston next host Morton on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dundee Utd: Hibernian v Dundee Utd, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Livingston: Livingston v Morton, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Dundee Utd 3–2 Livingston · Premiership
  • Venue: Tannadice Park · Dundee
  • Referee: C. Graham
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Dundee Utd 3 · draws 2 · Livingston 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Dundee Utd 2W 1D 2L · Livingston 0W 4D 1L

Dundee Utd 3–2 Livingston (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.38 / 7.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 2.5
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 6.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.5 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.86 yellows
Referee · C. Graham
22.86 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameDundee Utd for / againstLineLivingston for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 7.63 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
9.5 for · 20.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.5 for · 6.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 8 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: C. Graham — 2.86 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.86 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd Goalkeeper

Dundee Utd — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Kucherenko13901170 min453.5 /90221.7 /9000 /90
D. Richards1185932 min383.7 /90151.4 /9010.1 /90
A. Maynard-Brewer1087868 min252.6 /90171.8 /9000 /90
Dundee Utd — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Kucherenko n 890
3.18/4
D. Richards n 882.8
3.47/5
A. Maynard-Brewer n 886
2.14/3

Dundee Utd Defensive

Dundee Utd — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Keresztes31862660 min481.6 /90521.8 /90351.2 /901816.1 /90351.2 /9070.2 /90
Iurie Iovu25842100 min682.9 /90401.7 /90200.9 /901315.6 /90512.2 /9090.4 /90
B. Esselink20811615 min241.3 /90301.7 /90191.1 /90965.3 /90150.8 /9040.2 /90
R. Graham15861284 min130.9 /9080.6 /90201.4 /90956.7 /90110.8 /9020.1 /90
O. Stirton650297 min10.3 /9020.6 /9000 /90113.3 /9061.8 /9000 /90
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Dundee Utd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Z. Sapsford n 835
1.64/1
11/1
L. Smith
K. Keresztes n 886.9
1.48/2
0.43/0
—
Luca Stephenson n 887.5
1.26/2
0.64/1
—
W. Ferry n 880.6
14/2
0.74/1
—
V. Ševelj n 881.6
1.16/1
0.43/0
—
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Dundee Utd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Z. Sapsford n 835
0.31/0
K. Keresztes n 886.9
1.87/4
Luca Stephenson n 887.5
0.52/2
W. Ferry n 880.6
1.46/3
V. Ševelj n 881.6
2.37/5
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Dundee Utd Attacking

Dundee Utd — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Z. Sapsford33692276 min80.3 /9030.1 /90461.8 /90251 /90291.1 /90160.6 /90
A. Ahmed Fatah27671822 min70.3 /9030.1 /90432.1 /90231.1 /90261.3 /90341.7 /90
M. Watters19581100 min20.2 /9010.1 /90252 /90131.1 /90121 /9070.6 /90
I. Dolček1656896 min50.5 /9020.2 /90161.6 /90101 /90131.3 /90181.8 /90
Nikolaj Möller1647751 min00 /9020.2 /90151.8 /9060.7 /90101.2 /9040.5 /90
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Dundee Utd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Z. Sapsford n 835
13/0
0.31/0
K. Keresztes n 886.9
0.84/2
0.11/0
Luca Stephenson n 887.5
0.64/1
0.53/1
W. Ferry n 880.6
0.62/1
0.41/1
V. Ševelj n 881.6
14/2
0.74/1
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Dundee Utd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Z. Sapsford n 835
0.31/0
0.31/0
K. Keresztes n 886.9
00/0
00/0
Luca Stephenson n 887.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
W. Ferry n 880.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
V. Ševelj n 881.6
00/0
00/0
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Livingston

Livingston Goalkeeper

Livingston — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Prior32902880 min1033.2 /90632 /9010 /90
Livingston — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Prior n 890
4.56/5

Livingston Defensive

Livingston — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Finlayson30892662 min521.8 /90331.1 /90210.7 /902036.9 /90210.7 /9070.2 /90
D. Wilson26872268 min271.1 /90140.6 /90160.6 /90883.5 /9080.3 /9010 /90
R. McGowan20831668 min241.3 /90201.1 /90130.7 /901055.7 /90211.1 /9040.2 /90
C. Montaño20691386 min332.1 /90130.8 /90100.6 /90966.2 /90322.1 /9070.5 /90
J. Brenet1367872 min353.6 /9040.4 /9030.3 /90525.4 /90111.1 /9000 /90
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Livingston — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Prior n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Finlayson n 888.4
0.52/1
0.64/1
—
S. Pittman n 871.1
1.13/3
1.15/1
—
M. Tait n 878.9
0.32/0
1.46/4
—
L. Smith n 856
26/2
2.25/4
Z. Sapsford
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Livingston — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Finlayson n 888.4
1.48/3
S. Pittman n 871.1
0.84/1
M. Tait n 878.9
0.64/0
L. Smith n 856
1.85/3
D. Wilson n 886.6
0.63/2
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Livingston Attacking

Livingston — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. May25611515 min10.1 /9020.1 /90241.4 /90140.8 /90261.5 /90211.2 /90
R. Muirhead22581286 min40.3 /9020.1 /90332.3 /90161.1 /90151 /9080.6 /90
J. Bokila1946865 min50.5 /9000 /90121.2 /9060.6 /9070.7 /9090.9 /90
Tete Yengi17621047 min10.1 /9000 /90141.2 /90100.9 /90110.9 /90141.2 /90
C. McLennan1454755 min30.4 /9000 /90131.5 /9081 /9091.1 /9070.8 /90
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Livingston — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Prior n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Finlayson n 888.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
S. Pittman n 871.1
0.53/0
0.21/0
M. Tait n 878.9
0.32/0
00/0
L. Smith n 856
1.45/1
0.84/0
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Livingston — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Prior n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Finlayson n 888.4
00/0
00/0
S. Pittman n 871.1
0.21/0
00/0
M. Tait n 878.9
00/0
00/0
L. Smith n 856
0.63/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Dundee UtdLivingston
51%Possession49%
1.87Expected goals (xG)1.87
15Shots14
5Shots on target6
6Shots off target4
4Blocked shots4
13Shots inside the box9
4Corners3
2Offsides2
7Fouls9
4Saves2
363Passes359
63%Pass accuracy57%

Dundee Utd Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Richards9000000006.3
S. Harding9000000106.2
R. Graham9000100106.7
R. Strain9000000407.3
E. Agyei9000000007.2
Z. Sapsford9010420006.9
W. Ferry8811113208.9
Iurie Iovu6200101005.2
V. Ševelj6200000006.5
M. Watters6201002006.9
A. Ahmed Fatah1400000006.3
N. Farrugia sub7600101106.3
Panutche Camará sub2800210006.7
D. Naamo sub2800002006.9
K. Keresztes sub2810110008
I. Dolček sub20000000–

Livingston Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Prior9001001006.2
D. Finlayson9000100006.3
D. Wilson9000000205.9
C. Montaño9000110105.9
Cammy Kerr9000002006.3
M. Sylla9000001607
L. Smith8220330208.9
S. Arfield7100000106.3
Babacar Fati7100100206.6
Jon Nouble7001112107.2
S. May6400002306.9
S. Pittman sub2600001006.3
R. Muirhead sub2000001006.7
M. Tait sub1900000006.7
Brooklyn Kabongolo sub1900311005.6
J. Zimmerman sub800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Dundee Utd v Livingston — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Dundee UtdWLDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
LivingstonDDDLD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Dundee Utd 3 · 2 draws · Livingston 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-12-30 Livingston 1–3 Dundee Utd
  • 2025-10-04 Dundee Utd 1–1 Livingston
  • 2023-05-20 Livingston 2–1 Dundee Utd
  • 2023-04-22 Dundee Utd 2–0 Livingston
  • 2023-03-08 Livingston 1–1 Dundee Utd
  • 2022-08-31 Livingston 1–2 Dundee Utd
League standing · 2025/26
Dundee Utd#1 pos45 pts38 pl-11 GD
Livingston#6 pos21 pts38 pl-35 GD
Goals per game
Dundee Utd scored1.29
Livingston scored1.05
Dundee Utd conceded1.58
Livingston conceded1.97

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Dundee Utd v Livingston?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dundee Utd v Livingston was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee Utd and Livingston?
In their last 6 meetings, Dundee Utd won 3, Livingston won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dundee Utd and Livingston?
Recent form — Dundee Utd 2W 1D 2L; Livingston 0W 4D 1L.

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