Dundee v Hibernian result

Full-time · Dundee 1–2 Hibernian

Premiership · · Dens Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Dundee · Hibernian · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Dundee 1–2 Hibernian — Hibernian won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.98 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Hibernian won 2–1 at Dens Park in the Premiership on Sunday 30 August.

The goals

Hibernian led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Hibernian: Martin Boyle (25’, assisted by Grant Hanley) and Callum Wright (61’, assisted by Felix Passlack); Dundee: Joseph Westley (83’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Martin Boyle’s goal on 25 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Dundee 0.78, Hibernian 2.42, from 11 shots to 25 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

John Beaton, Scotland showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Dundee: Drey Wright (67’); Hibernian: Felix Passlack (58’).

What it changes

Dundee move down from second to fourth (four league matches played).

Hibernian move up from seventh to fifth (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Josh Mulligan (Hibernian) 7.1, Callum Wright (Hibernian) 6.7 and Jamie McGrath (Hibernian) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Dundee next travel to ST Mirren on 24 October 2026.

Hibernian next host Celtic on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dundee: ST Mirren v Dundee, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Hibernian: Hibernian v Celtic, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Dundee 1–2 Hibernian · Premiership
  • Venue: Dens Park · Dundee
  • Referee: John Beaton, Scotland
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Dundee 1 · draws 2 · Hibernian 3 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Dundee 3W 0D 2L · Hibernian 2W 2D 1L

Dundee 1–2 Hibernian (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.5
Corners
against 6.2 / 4.83 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5 / 3.67
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.17 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.4 / 2.33
Cards
against 2.4 / 2.17 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
3.6 yellows
Referee · John Beaton, Scotland
1.2 home / 2.4 away
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDundee for / againstLineHibernian for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 6.2 against n 5
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.83 against n 6
Shots
12.8 for · 11.8 against n 5
19.5standard
6.67 for · 7.83 against n 6
Shots on target
5 for · 4 against n 5
8.5standard
3.67 for · 4.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
6.4 for · 8.4 against n 5
21.5standard
10.83 for · 11 against n 6
Cards shown
1.4 for · 2.4 against n 5
3.5standard
2.33 for · 2.17 against n 6

Referee: John Beaton, Scotland — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 25.4 fouls over 5 matches (1.2 to the home side, 2.4 to the away side).

Dundee
Dundee — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Fink n 830.4
2.65/1
0.72/0
J. Mulligan
B. Wales n 817.3
2.63/1
0.71/0
—
R. Finnigan n 840.3
2.26/2
2.55/3
C. Wright
Ashley Hay n 835.5
1.94/2
1.64/1
—
Finlay Robertson n 848.4
1.63/2
1.23/1
—
Dundee — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Fink n 830.4
2.63/2
1.52/1
Ashley Hay n 835.5
2.56/1
1.95/1
C. Reilly n 837.8
2.15/2
0.31/0
J. Bevan n 839.4
22/1
0.92/1
A. Forrest n 827.1
1.73/1
0.82/0
Dundee — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Fink n 830.4
0.41/0
0.41/0
Finlay Robertson n 848.4
0.21/0
0.52/0
J. Bevan n 839.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Westley n 876
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Murray n 853.8
0.42/0
00/0
Dundee — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Finnigan n 840.3
3.64/3
B. Halliday n 849.4
3.44/3
A. Forrest n 827.1
2.93/2
E. Hamilton n 888.9
2.28/5
J. Bevan n 839.4
1.74/2
Dundee — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Goodman n 890.5
2.76/5
Hibernian
Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Šuto n 822.4
45/2
1.53/0
—
M. Boyle n 863.9
1.95/4
1.65/3
—
C. Wright n 871
1.66/3
14/1
R. Finnigan
J. Mulligan n 875.5
1.55/4
1.34/3
B. Fink
M. Chaiwa n 886
1.37/2
2.68/5
—
Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Šuto n 822.4
35/1
12/0
N. Lowe n 860.3
2.15/3
0.93/2
T. Klidje n 838.3
2.15/1
1.23/1
J. Campbell n 836
1.64/1
0.92/1
Rudi Allan Molotnikov n 816.8
1.32/0
1.32/0
Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Campbell n 836
0.92/1
00/0
M. Boyle n 863.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
N. Lowe n 860.3
0.41/1
0.21/0
C. Wright n 871
0.64/0
00/0
J. Obita n 882.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Šuto n 822.4
44/2
Rudi Allan Molotnikov n 816.8
3.43/1
A. Abdulai n 866.9
36/4
J. Mulligan n 875.5
2.87/5
F. Passlack n 875.1
2.88/5
Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 880.5
3.96/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DundeeHibernian
39%Possession61%
0.78Expected goals (xG)2.42
11Shots25
3Shots on target7
4Shots off target7
4Blocked shots11
7Shots inside the box18
3Corners5
2Offsides4
8Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves2
389Passes615
81%Pass accuracy87%

Dundee player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Goodman9000000006.7
D. Wright90000014Y6.9
R. Astley9000001007.5
O. Bevan9000000107.2
I. Odutayo9000000006.6
E. Hamilton9000220206.6
J. Westley9010210006.9
R. Finnigan7500000106.9
J. Bevan7500003006.3
B. Fink6200100006
C. Reilly6100100106.9
A. Forrest sub2900100006.5
Finlay Robertson sub2800000106.6
Ž. Bešir sub1500001006.7
B. Wales sub1500000006.3

Hibernian player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Sallinger9000000006.3
F. Passlack90012052Y6.5
G. Hanley9001001107.9
J. Kerr9000110007.9
J. Obita9000001006.6
J. Mulligan9000104607.2
J. McGrath9000320606.2
J. Devaney8100002307.2
C. Wright8110221207.9
M. Boyle7810521008.3
N. Lowe7800002006
A. Šuto sub1200001006.3
T. Klidje sub1200000006.3
M. Chaiwa sub900000006.3
J. Newell sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Dundee v Hibernian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DundeeWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
HibernianWDWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Dundee 1 · 2 draws · Hibernian 3 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-02-28 Dundee 3–3 Hibernian
  • 2025-11-22 Hibernian 2–0 Dundee
  • 2025-08-03 Dundee 1–2 Hibernian
  • 2025-04-13 Hibernian 4–0 Dundee
  • 2024-11-23 Dundee 4–1 Hibernian
  • 2024-08-24 Hibernian 2–2 Dundee
League standing · 2026/27
Dundee#4 pos14 pts9 pl+3 GD
Hibernian#12 pos7 pts9 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Dundee scored1.44
Hibernian scored1
Dundee conceded1.11
Hibernian conceded1.56

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Dundee vs Hibernian?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dundee v Hibernian was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.98 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee and Hibernian?
In their last 6 meetings, Dundee won 1, Hibernian won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dundee and Hibernian?
Recent form — Dundee 3W 0D 2L; Hibernian 2W 2D 1L.

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