Falkirk v ST Mirren result
Team pages: Falkirk · ST Mirren · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Falkirk 0–2 ST Mirren — ST Mirren won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
ST Mirren won 2–0 at Falkirk Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 1 August.
The goals
ST Mirren led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — ST Mirren: Killian Phillips (11’, assisted by Henry Fieldson; 87’, assisted by Roland Idowu).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Killian Phillips’s goal on 11 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Falkirk 0.71, ST Mirren 1.64, from 10 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
The bookings — ST Mirren: Ryan Carr (66’), Henry Fieldson (80’), Killian Phillips (88’) and Luke Thomas (90+1’).
What it changes
Falkirk are 12th after this result (one league match played).
ST Mirren are first after this result (one league match played).
ST Mirren’s two-goal margin was the biggest of round 1, across six matches.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Killian Phillips (ST Mirren) 11.0, Henry Fieldson (ST Mirren) 6.8 and Ryan Strain (Falkirk) 6.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Falkirk or ST Mirren (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
Falkirk next travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 8 November 2026.
ST Mirren next host Rangers on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Falkirk: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for ST Mirren: ST Mirren v Rangers, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Falkirk 0–2 ST Mirren · Premiership
- Venue: Falkirk Stadium · Falkirk
- Referee: Duncan Nicolson, Scotland
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Falkirk 3 · draws 1 · ST Mirren 2 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Falkirk 2W 1D 2L · ST Mirren 4W 0D 1L
Falkirk 0–2 ST Mirren (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Falkirk for / against | Line | ST Mirren for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 2.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.8 for · 4.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.8 for · 2.6 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.4 for · 10.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 5.2 for · 2.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.2 for · 3.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.6 for · 1.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.6 for · 11 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 4.4 for · 4.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.4 for · 1.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.4 for · 2.2 against n 5 Last 5 |
Referee: Duncan Nicolson, Scotland.
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Falkirk | ST Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Possession | 42% |
| 0.71 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.64 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 7 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 11 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 432 | Passes | 321 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 76% |
Falkirk Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Bain | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| R. Strain | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Meļņiks | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| L. Henderson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Sibbald | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| F. Yeats | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Tanser | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Laidlaw | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. McMillan | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| R. MacIver | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Joseph Charles Gardner | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Doherty sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Ben Parkinson sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Ross sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. McCann sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| P. McGovern sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
ST Mirren Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Chapman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| J. Richardson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.3 |
| M. Fraser | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| A. Gogić | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Henry Fieldson | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | Y | 7.3 |
| P. Nsio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Phillips | 90 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | Y | 9.3 |
| C. Mochrie | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Carr | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| S. Ramos | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Eseosa Sule | 63 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Young sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Donnelly sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Thomas sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| R. Idowu sub | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Falkirk v ST Mirren — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-21 Falkirk 1–2 ST Mirren
- 2026-01-10 ST Mirren 0–2 Falkirk
- 2025-09-13 Falkirk 1–2 ST Mirren
- 2018-04-28 Falkirk 1–0 St Mirren
- 2018-04-17 St Mirren 1–2 Falkirk
- 2017-10-21 Falkirk 0–0 St Mirren
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Falkirk v ST Mirren?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Falkirk v ST Mirren was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and ST Mirren?
- In their last 6 meetings, Falkirk won 3, ST Mirren won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Falkirk and ST Mirren?
- Recent form — Falkirk 2W 1D 2L; ST Mirren 4W 0D 1L.
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