Hibernian v Dundee prediction

Premiership · · Easter Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away offsides over 0.5 the free pick for Hibernian v Dundee, Premiership on Tue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick
Away offsides over 0.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Predicted on 24 October 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hibernian host Dundee in the Premiership on Tuesday 24 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Dundee offsides over 0.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Dundee have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Hibernian are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Dundee.

Form and the table

Eight of Hibernian’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Hibernian’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Hibernian have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71. Hibernian have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Hibernian have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

10 of Dundee’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Dundee’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Dundee have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.25. Dundee have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Dundee have conceded 13 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Hibernian (12th) and Dundee (fifth) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Dundee the stronger side, 183 rating points above Hibernian (Dundee 1641, Hibernian 1458, after at least 243 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished Dundee 1–2 Hibernian.

Team news

Predicted Hibernian XI (4-2-3-1): R. Sallinger, J. Kerr, F. Passlack, M. Ivezić, A. Mayor, J. Mulligan, M. Chaiwa, J. Newell, J. McGrath, T. Klidje, O. Elding — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jason Kerr (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and Felix Passlack (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Hibernian’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hibernian (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jason Kerr averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1080 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Felix Passlack averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1003 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Dundee XI (4-4-2): O. Goodman, R. Astley, D. Wright, I. Samuels, O. Bevan, E. Hamilton, A. Forrest, C. Jones, J. Bevan, B. Fink, A. Hay — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ryan Astley (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) and Owen Bevan (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, two goals) have been Dundee’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dundee (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ryan Astley averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 994 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Owen Bevan averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 904 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premiership · Easter Road
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hibernian 4 · draws 1 · Dundee 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hibernian 1W 1D 3L · Dundee 3W 1D 1L

Hibernian v Dundee (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 5.13
Corners
against 5.86 / 6.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.57 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 4.29 / 5.38 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.86 / 1.38
Cards
against 3.29 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHibernian for / againstLineDundee for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5.86 against n 7
9.5standard
5.13 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
12.43 for · 10.57 against n 7
19.5standard
12.63 for · 17.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.57 for · 4.29 against n 7
8.5standard
4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.71 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
11.63 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.86 for · 3.29 against n 7
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8

Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Sallinger12901080 min433.6 /90191.6 /9000 /90
Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 890
3.47/5

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Kerr12901080 min151.3 /90171.4 /90121 /90776.4 /9060.5 /9000 /90
F. Passlack1190989 min171.5 /90100.9 /9030.3 /90403.6 /9080.7 /9010.1 /90
G. Hanley583413 min102.2 /9071.5 /9010.2 /90316.8 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
J. Obita578389 min20.5 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9081.9 /9051.2 /9000 /90
M. Ivezić490360 min51.3 /9051.3 /9030.8 /90102.5 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kerr n 890
0.65/0
1.34/3
—
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Mulligan n 888.1
2.67/7
0.85/1
—
F. Passlack n 890
0.85/1
0.64/1
—
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
1.15/2
1.86/3
—
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kerr n 890
1.67/4
J. Mulligan n 888.1
1.56/3
F. Passlack n 890
1.16/3
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
0.73/1
A. Mayor n 882.6
2.38/6
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Boyle964580 min30.5 /9000 /90121.9 /9071.1 /9040.6 /9030.5 /90
N. Lowe958526 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.7 /9040.7 /9091.5 /9050.9 /90
A. Šuto835283 min00 /9000 /9051.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9020.6 /90
Owen Elding775523 min20.3 /9010.2 /9071.2 /9040.7 /90132.2 /9020.3 /90
J. Mulligan12891065 min00 /9020.2 /90181.5 /9070.6 /90141.2 /90110.9 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kerr n 890
0.52/1
0.31/1
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 888.1
1.54/4
0.83/3
F. Passlack n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
14/2
0.21/0
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Kerr n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
F. Passlack n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Chaiwa n 868.9
00/0
0.21/0
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Dundee

Dundee Goalkeeper

Dundee — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Goodman1190994 min423.8 /9080.7 /9000 /90
Dundee — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Goodman n 890
48/7

Dundee Defensive

Dundee — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Astley1190994 min171.5 /90211.9 /90161.4 /90736.6 /9040.4 /9000 /90
D. Wright1182907 min111.1 /90111.1 /9020.2 /90353.5 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
O. Bevan1090904 min101 /90151.5 /90141.4 /90686.8 /90131.3 /9010.1 /90
I. Samuels690537 min71.2 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90223.7 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
I. Odutayo591454 min20.4 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90214.2 /9040.8 /9000 /90
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Dundee — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Hamilton n 890
1.56/3
2.57/7
—
R. Astley n 890
0.43/0
0.43/0
—
O. Goodman n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
D. Wright n 880.9
0.74/1
1.16/1
—
J. Bevan n 860.5
1.76/2
0.63/0
—
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Dundee — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Astley n 890
27/5
E. Hamilton n 890
1.57/4
D. Wright n 880.9
1.15/1
J. Bevan n 860.5
0.21/0
O. Bevan n 890
15/1
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Dundee Attacking

Dundee — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Fink965582 min40.6 /9000 /90162.5 /9081.2 /9030.5 /9040.6 /90
J. Westley779555 min30.5 /9000 /90132.1 /9071.1 /9020.3 /9010.2 /90
Ashley Hay670419 min30.6 /9000 /90183.9 /90102.1 /9051.1 /9030.6 /90
B. Wales444177 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9010.5 /90
S. Murray263125 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9021.4 /9000 /90
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Dundee — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 890
1.86/4
0.53/1
R. Astley n 890
0.64/1
0.42/1
O. Goodman n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Wright n 880.9
0.31/1
0.31/1
J. Bevan n 860.5
0.92/2
0.62/1
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Dundee — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 890
00/0
0.32/0
R. Astley n 890
00/0
0.11/0
O. Goodman n 890
00/0
0.11/0
D. Wright n 880.9
00/0
0.11/0
J. Bevan n 860.5
0.21/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hibernian v Dundee — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HibernianLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
DundeeWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hibernian 4 · 1 draw · Dundee 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-08-30 Dundee 1–2 Hibernian
  • 2026-02-28 Dundee 3–3 Hibernian
  • 2025-11-22 Hibernian 2–0 Dundee
  • 2025-08-03 Dundee 1–2 Hibernian
  • 2025-04-13 Hibernian 4–0 Dundee
  • 2024-11-23 Dundee 4–1 Hibernian
League standing · 2026/27
Hibernian#12 pos8 pts11 pl-6 GD
Dundee#5 pos17 pts11 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Hibernian scored1
Dundee scored1.55
Hibernian conceded1.55
Dundee conceded1.18

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Hibernian v Dundee?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hibernian v Dundee is Away offsides over 0.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Dundee?
In their last 6 meetings, Hibernian won 4, Dundee won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hibernian and Dundee?
Recent form — Hibernian 1W 1D 3L; Dundee 3W 1D 1L.

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