ST MirrenDundee Utd

ST Mirren v Dundee Utd result

Full-time · ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd

Premiership · · The SMISA Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: ST Mirren · Dundee Utd · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd — this Premiership match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 834 of 1,292 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

ST Mirren and Dundee Utd drew 1–1 at The SMISA Stadium in the Premiership on Sunday 17 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: ST Mirren out-shot Dundee Utd 17 to 6 and created the better chances, 1.00 xG to 0.36 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Dundee Utd led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Dundee Utd: Zachary Sapsford (27’, assisted by Max Watters); ST Mirren: Jake Young (69’, assisted by Richard King).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jake Young’s goal on 69 minutes.

Discipline

S. McLean showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Dundee Utd: S. Harding (20’) and Ryan Strain (60’).

What it changes

ST Mirren have scored three goals, the second-fewest of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). ST Mirren have conceded seven goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Dundee Utd have scored four goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Dundee Utd have conceded six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Dundee Utd are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jake Young (ST Mirren) 5.9, Ross Graham (Dundee Utd) 5.1 and Richard King (ST Mirren) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Dundee Utd, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

ST Mirren next host Rangers on 7 November 2026.

Dundee Utd next host Motherwell on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for ST Mirren: ST Mirren v Rangers, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Dundee Utd: Dundee Utd v Motherwell, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd · Premiership
  • Venue: The SMISA Stadium · Paisley
  • Referee: S. McLean
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): ST Mirren 2 · draws 0 · Dundee Utd 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: ST Mirren 1W 0D 4L · Dundee Utd 2W 1D 2L

ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.29 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.71 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 2.57 / 5 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.29 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.6 yellows
Referee · S. McLean
23.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 20 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameST Mirren for / againstLineDundee Utd for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
10.86 for · 8.14 against n 7
19.5standard
15.88 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.71 for · 2.57 against n 7
8.5standard
5.38 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.86 for · 12.29 against n 7
21.5standard
12.63 for · 9.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: S. McLean — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 23.5 fouls over 20 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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ST Mirren

ST Mirren Goalkeeper

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. George33882888 min963 /90481.5 /9000 /90
R. Mullen24182 min22.2 /9000 /9000 /90
ST Mirren — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. George n 882.8
2.34/3

ST Mirren Defensive

ST Mirren — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Freckleton36903240 min802.2 /90351 /90310.9 /902115.9 /90240.7 /9070.2 /90
M. Fraser29852453 min582.1 /90281 /90220.8 /901294.7 /90170.6 /9060.2 /90
R. King26741921 min301.4 /90140.7 /90170.8 /90683.2 /90231.1 /9070.3 /90
L. Donnelly1268818 min273 /90141.5 /9030.3 /90647 /90111.2 /9030.3 /90
S. Tanser1262744 min202.4 /90101.2 /9040.5 /90465.6 /9070.8 /9000 /90
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ST Mirren — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Phillips n 886
0.54/0
1.46/3
—
M. Freckleton n 890
0.32/0
17/1
K. Keresztes
M. Mandron n 879.3
0.74/1
26/3
—
S. George n 882.8
0.11/0
0.74/1
—
A. Gogić n 890
1.87/4
0.32/0
K. Keresztes
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ST Mirren — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Phillips n 886
15/3
M. Freckleton n 890
27/6
M. Mandron n 879.3
0.43/0
A. Gogić n 890
2.47/5
J. Richardson n 847.6
0.93/1
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ST Mirren Attacking

ST Mirren — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Mandron35722517 min40.1 /9050.2 /90391.4 /90210.8 /90311.1 /90130.5 /90
D. Nlundulu25611521 min30.2 /9000 /90291.7 /90130.8 /90221.3 /90221.3 /90
J. Ayunga22541186 min30.2 /9000 /90251.9 /90131 /90100.8 /9060.5 /90
J. Young1042421 min10.2 /9000 /9061.3 /9040.9 /9040.9 /9040.9 /90
E. Mooney533165 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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ST Mirren — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Phillips n 886
1.66/3
0.53/1
M. Freckleton n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
M. Mandron n 879.3
16/1
0.43/0
S. George n 882.8
00/0
00/0
A. Gogić n 890
0.84/2
0.32/0
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ST Mirren — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Phillips n 886
0.11/0
00/0
M. Freckleton n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Mandron n 879.3
00/0
0.32/0
S. George n 882.8
00/0
00/0
A. Gogić n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd Goalkeeper

Dundee Utd — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Richards16861382 min553.6 /90221.4 /9010.1 /90
Y. Kucherenko13901170 min453.5 /90221.7 /9000 /90
A. Maynard-Brewer1087868 min252.6 /90171.8 /9000 /90
Dundee Utd — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Richards n 882.8
3.48/5
Y. Kucherenko n 890
3.18/4
A. Maynard-Brewer n 886
2.14/3

Dundee Utd Defensive

Dundee Utd — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Keresztes35822884 min501.6 /90551.7 /90361.1 /901926 /90361.1 /9070.2 /90
Iurie Iovu28842342 min712.7 /90481.8 /90220.8 /901395.3 /90552.1 /90100.4 /90
B. Esselink21811705 min251.3 /90341.8 /90201.1 /901005.3 /90160.8 /9040.2 /90
R. Graham20871734 min150.8 /90120.6 /90251.3 /901226.3 /90150.8 /9020.1 /90
S. Harding784585 min101.5 /9050.8 /9050.8 /90243.7 /9020.3 /9010.2 /90
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Dundee Utd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Z. Sapsford n 856.9
0.42/0
1.23/3
—
K. Keresztes n 873
1.25/2
0.53/0
A. Gogić
W. Ferry n 888.9
1.34/4
0.86/0
—
V. Ševelj n 877.4
1.54/3
0.94/2
—
Luca Stephenson n 887.5
1.26/2
0.64/1
—
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Dundee Utd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Z. Sapsford n 856.9
0.21/0
K. Keresztes n 873
1.55/3
W. Ferry n 888.9
1.87/6
V. Ševelj n 877.4
1.23/2
Luca Stephenson n 887.5
0.52/2
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Dundee Utd Attacking

Dundee Utd — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Z. Sapsford38702668 min90.3 /9030.1 /90571.9 /90291 /90311 /90170.6 /90
A. Ahmed Fatah27671822 min70.3 /9030.1 /90432.1 /90231.1 /90261.3 /90341.7 /90
M. Watters23581336 min20.1 /9020.1 /90281.9 /90130.9 /90171.1 /9070.5 /90
I. Dolček20501007 min50.4 /9020.2 /90191.7 /90121.1 /90131.2 /90181.6 /90
Nikolaj Möller1647751 min00 /9020.2 /90151.8 /9060.7 /90101.2 /9040.5 /90
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Dundee Utd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Z. Sapsford n 856.9
2.66/3
14/1
K. Keresztes n 873
0.63/1
0.21/0
W. Ferry n 888.9
0.83/2
0.83/2
V. Ševelj n 877.4
14/2
0.63/1
Luca Stephenson n 887.5
0.64/1
0.53/1
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Dundee Utd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee Utd before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Z. Sapsford n 856.9
0.42/0
00/0
K. Keresztes n 873
0.21/0
00/0
W. Ferry n 888.9
0.53/1
0.43/0
V. Ševelj n 877.4
00/0
0.11/0
Luca Stephenson n 887.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ST MirrenDundee Utd
49%Possession51%
1.00Expected goals (xG)0.36
17Shots6
8Shots on target3
3Shots off target3
6Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box3
10Corners2
4Offsides2
10Fouls10
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves6
445Passes487
78%Pass accuracy81%

ST Mirren Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Sinclair9000000007
A. Gogić9000220106.7
J. Richardson9000110006.3
A. Campbell9000001307
R. Idowu9000111206.9
J. Young9010110207.2
L. Douglas8500431006.3
M. Fraser6600002106.5
S. Tanser6600000006.3
M. Freckleton4500000006.3
Mark O'Hara4500001006.2
Thomas Falconer sub4500101007
J. Devaney sub4500002207
R. King sub2401102107.5
J. Calvin sub2400002006.5
C. McMillan sub900001006.3

Dundee Utd Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Richards9000000006.3
R. Graham9000000107.3
K. Keresztes9000000107.2
V. Ševelj9000110207.5
Panutche Camará9000001306.7
Kier Gilligan9000000206.9
C. Sibbald7400101207
Z. Sapsford7410210007.2
R. Strain66000002Y7.5
S. Harding59000001Y7.2
M. Watters5901001106.5
J. Russell sub3100101006.3
J. Eskesen sub3100110006.2
S. Constable sub2400000006.2
B. Esselink sub1600000106.9
O. Stirton sub1600000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind ST Mirren v Dundee Utd — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ST MirrenLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Dundee UtdWWLLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
ST Mirren 2 · 0 draws · Dundee Utd 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-03-03 Dundee Utd 2–1 ST Mirren
  • 2025-12-06 ST Mirren 2–0 Dundee Utd
  • 2025-10-25 Dundee Utd 3–1 ST Mirren
  • 2025-05-10 Dundee Utd 0–2 ST Mirren
  • 2025-01-11 ST Mirren 0–1 Dundee Utd
  • 2024-11-30 Dundee Utd 2–0 ST Mirren
League standing · 2025/26
ST Mirren#5 pos34 pts38 pl-25 GD
Dundee Utd#1 pos45 pts38 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
ST Mirren scored0.79
Dundee Utd scored1.29
ST Mirren conceded1.45
Dundee Utd conceded1.58

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for ST Mirren v Dundee Utd?
TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Mirren v Dundee Utd was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between ST Mirren and Dundee Utd?
In their last 6 meetings, ST Mirren won 2, Dundee Utd won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Mirren and Dundee Utd?
Recent form — ST Mirren 1W 0D 4L; Dundee Utd 2W 1D 2L.

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