ST Mirren v Falkirk prediction

Premiership · Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · The SMISA Stadium

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: ST Mirren · Falkirk · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Mirren v Falkirk, Premiership on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

ST Mirren host Falkirk in the Premiership on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

ST Mirren have scored 12 goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Falkirk have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of ST Mirren’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of ST Mirren’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, ST Mirren have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.63. ST Mirren have conceded 22 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Seven of Falkirk’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Falkirk’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Falkirk have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.86. Falkirk have scored 15 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Falkirk have conceded 12 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs.

ST Mirren are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Falkirk have won their last four matches in all competitions. Falkirk have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. ST Mirren (eighth) and Falkirk (fourth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Falkirk the stronger side, 334 rating points above ST Mirren (Falkirk 1761, ST Mirren 1427, after at least 50 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Falkirk 0–2 ST Mirren.

Team news

Predicted ST Mirren XI (3-4-3): J. Chapman, A. Gogić, M. Fraser, H. Fieldson, K. Phillips, C. Ramsay, R. Carr, F. Taylor, E. Sule, J. Young, I. Kabia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Ramos (5.0 per match over three appearances, one goal and two assists) and Jacob Chapman (4.5 per match over 13 appearances) have been ST Mirren’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for ST Mirren (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jacob Chapman averages 3.1 saves per 90 over 1170 minutes, with two or more saves in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Falkirk XI (4-2-3-1): S. Bain, L. Henderson, L. Neilson, R. Strain, L. McCann, B. Spencer, F. Barbrook, O. Eames, E. Ross, D. Meļņiks, J. Murrell — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ryan Strain (4.6 per match over 12 appearances, five assists) and Ben Krauhaus (3.7 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Falkirk’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Falkirk (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ryan Strain averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 994 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Ben Krauhaus averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 539 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Premiership · The SMISA Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): ST Mirren 3 · draws 0 · Falkirk 3 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: ST Mirren 1W 1D 3L · Falkirk 4W 0D 1L

ST Mirren v Falkirk (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.13 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 4.38

Corners

against 5.88 / 7.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3.13 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	ST Mirren for / against	Line	Falkirk for / against
Goals scored	0.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.38 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 7.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.63 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.63 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.88 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.75 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.88 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

ST Mirren

ST Mirren Goalkeeper

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Chapman	13	901170 min	403.1 /90	161.2 /90	30.2 /90

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Chapman n 8	90	3.2 5/5

ST Mirren Defensive

ST Mirren — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Gogić	13	901167 min	201.5 /90	201.5 /90	60.5 /90	433.3 /90	161.2 /90	40.3 /90
D. John	12	841007 min	171.5 /90	100.9 /90	10.1 /90	292.6 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90
C. Ramsay	11	84925 min	222.1 /90	131.3 /90	10.1 /90	484.7 /90	111.1 /90	30.3 /90
Henry Fieldson	10	90895 min	171.7 /90	131.3 /90	90.9 /90	424.2 /90	111.1 /90	10.1 /90
M. Fraser	7	84591 min	111.7 /90	91.4 /90	30.5 /90	395.9 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90
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ST Mirren — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Chapman n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
A. Gogić n 8	89.6	1.1 7/2	0.5 4/0	—
D. John n 8	80.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0	—
R. Carr n 8	78.4	2.6 7/6	2.9 8/6	—
Eseosa Sule n 8	52.4	0.9 2/1	1.5 4/2	—
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ST Mirren — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Gogić n 8	89.6	1.5 8/4
D. John n 8	80.9	1.5 7/3
R. Carr n 8	78.4	3.3 7/7
Eseosa Sule n 8	52.4	0.6 3/0
C. Ramsay n 8	85.5	1.4 5/5
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ST Mirren Attacking

ST Mirren — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Eseosa Sule	12	49591 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	162.4 /90	91.4 /90	50.8 /90	30.5 /90
J. Young	11	31340 min	00 /90	00 /90	102.6 /90	41.1 /90	20.5 /90	51.3 /90
Nikolas Agrafiotis	4	67267 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	62 /90	20.7 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90
R. Carr	12	81973 min	00 /90	00 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90	60.6 /90	100.9 /90
L. Thomas	11	43469 min	00 /90	00 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	122.3 /90	20.4 /90
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ST Mirren — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Chapman n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Gogić n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. John n 8	80.9	0.8 6/0	0.1 1/0
R. Carr n 8	78.4	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
Eseosa Sule n 8	52.4	2.1 6/3	1.3 4/1
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ST Mirren — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Chapman n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Gogić n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. John n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Carr n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Eseosa Sule n 8	52.4	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
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Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Scott Bain	12	901080 min	544.5 /90	121 /90	00 /90

Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 8	90	4.9 7/6

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Henderson	12	871047 min	121 /90	151.3 /90	60.5 /90	534.6 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90
R. Strain	11	90989 min	242.2 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90	605.5 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90
L. Neilson	10	90900 min	60.6 /90	121.2 /90	90.9 /90	414.1 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90
L. McCann	10	78782 min	121.4 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	434.9 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
S. Tanser	5	53263 min	10.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90	72.4 /90	72.4 /90	00 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0	—
E. Ross n 8	78.1	0.3 2/0	2.6 8/5	—
R. Strain n 8	89.9	1 4/3	1.1 6/3	—
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	81.8	2.9 8/7	1 5/2	—
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	0.9 4/2
E. Ross n 8	78.1	1.6 6/2
R. Strain n 8	89.9	2.1 7/6
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	81.8	1.7 6/4
L. Neilson n 8	90	0.6 4/1
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jacob Murrell	10	71710 min	50.6 /90	00 /90	283.5 /90	141.8 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
Ben Parkinson	6	36217 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
A. Doherty	6	34203 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
R. MacIver	4	34135 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
Joseph Charles Gardner	2	4284 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
E. Ross n 8	78.1	1.3 5/3	0.7 4/1
R. Strain n 8	89.9	0.8 4/2	0.4 3/0
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	81.8	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Ross n 8	78.1	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
R. Strain n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0.6 5/0
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	81.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind ST Mirren v Falkirk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ST MirrenLWDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

FalkirkLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

ST Mirren 3 · 0 draws · Falkirk 3 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-08-01 Falkirk 0–2 ST Mirren
2026-03-21 Falkirk 1–2 ST Mirren
2026-01-10 ST Mirren 0–2 Falkirk
2025-09-13 Falkirk 1–2 ST Mirren
2018-04-28 Falkirk 1–0 St Mirren
2018-04-17 St Mirren 1–2 Falkirk

League standing · 2026/27

ST Mirren#8 pos14 pts13 pl-10 GD

Falkirk#4 pos18 pts12 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

ST Mirren scored0.92

Falkirk scored1.25

ST Mirren conceded1.69

Falkirk conceded1

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between ST Mirren and Falkirk?: In their last 6 meetings, ST Mirren won 3, Falkirk won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Mirren and Falkirk?: Recent form — ST Mirren 1W 1D 3L; Falkirk 4W 0D 1L.

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