Arouca v Benfica prediction

Primeira Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v Benfica, Primeira Liga on Sun, 10 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Arouca host Benfica in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 10 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Benfica have scored 24 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Benfica have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Benfica are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Arouca, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Arouca have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.86. Arouca have scored 11 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arouca have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

12 of Benfica’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in nine of Benfica’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Benfica have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 0.71. Benfica have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Arouca are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Arouca (fifth) and Benfica (second) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Benfica the stronger side, 249 rating points above Arouca (Benfica 1940, Arouca 1690, after at least 180 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Arouca 1–2 Benfica.

Team news

Predicted Arouca XI (4-2-3-1): I. de Arruabarrena, J. Fontán, T. Esgaio, O. Lebedenko, J. Sánchez, T. Fukui, N. Djouahra, A. Trezza, E. van Ee, P. Gozálbez, Barbero — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, José Fontán (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) and Näis Djouahra (4.1 per match over eight appearances, five assists) have been Arouca’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arouca (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), José Fontán averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. Näis Djouahra averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 670 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Benfica XI (4-2-3-1): S. Soares, S. Dahl, T. Araújo, C. Lenglet, A. Bah, G. Prestianni, Rafa, L. Barreiro, J. Palhinha, H. Sudakov, V. Pavlidis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Prestianni (8.3 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and five assists) and Vangelis Pavlidis (6.9 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and three assists) have been Benfica’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Benfica (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Prestianni averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 873 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Vangelis Pavlidis averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 1118 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Arouca 0 · draws 1 · Benfica 5 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arouca 2W 2D 1L · Benfica 4W 0D 1L

Arouca v Benfica (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 7.25
Corners
against 4.75 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.88
Cards
against 2.88 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameArouca for / againstLineBenfica for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
2.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
7.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
18.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 16.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Arouca
Arouca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Mayulu n 810
6.83/2
00/0
—
D. Nandín n 821.9
3.64/3
4.65/3
—
B. Mansilla n 813.4
2.53/0
1.72/0
—
Mario Climent n 859.9
1.95/4
0.62/1
—
E. van Ee n 870.4
1.86/4
1.35/3
—
Arouca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Nandín n 821.9
3.15/1
2.14/0
Barbero n 871.5
2.58/4
1.68/2
B. Mansilla n 813.4
2.53/0
0.81/0
F. Mayulu n 810
2.32/0
1.11/0
N. Djouahra n 883.8
1.78/3
0.32/0
Arouca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Nandín n 821.9
12/0
0.51/0
Barbero n 871.5
0.85/0
00/0
N. Djouahra n 883.8
00/0
0.74/1
Lee Hyun-Ju n 856.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
José Fontán n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Arouca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Santos n 823.9
5.24/3
O. Lebedenko n 880.8
2.48/4
Pablo Gozálbez n 847.4
2.45/3
Mario Climent n 859.9
2.35/4
T. Fukui n 887.3
1.77/4
Arouca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
3.66/5
Benfica
Benfica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Barreiro n 861.4
2.68/3
3.37/6
—
J. Duran n 829.6
1.95/0
2.33/2
—
C. Echeverri n 829.1
1.93/1
2.76/1
—
V. Pavlidis n 860.5
1.75/2
1.96/2
—
João Palhinha n 869.8
1.67/3
1.96/4
—
Benfica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Prestianni n 866.4
3.47/4
1.45/2
D. Lukebakio n 847.6
3.16/5
2.15/3
J. Duran n 829.6
2.73/1
1.12/1
C. Echeverri n 829.1
2.76/1
2.35/1
A. Schjelderup n 848.5
2.36/3
0.73/0
Benfica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Prestianni n 866.4
0.53/0
0.84/1
J. Duran n 829.6
1.12/1
00/0
D. Lukebakio n 847.6
0.73/0
0.21/0
C. Echeverri n 829.1
00/0
0.82/0
S. El Karouani n 865.8
0.21/0
0.53/0
Benfica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Daniel Banjaqui n 387
3.83/3
A. Schjelderup n 848.5
3.56/3
E. Barrenechea n 838.3
2.64/2
João Palhinha n 869.8
2.16/3
G. Prestianni n 866.4
26/4
Benfica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Trubin n 886.5
3.67/6
Samuel Soares n 890.9
1.22/1

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Arouca v Benfica — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AroucaDLDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BenficaWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Arouca 0 · 1 draw · Benfica 5 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Arouca 1–2 Benfica
  • 2025-10-25 Benfica 5–0 Arouca
  • 2025-04-13 Benfica 2–2 Arouca
  • 2024-12-01 Arouca 0–2 Benfica
  • 2024-05-12 Benfica 5–0 Arouca
  • 2024-01-06 Arouca 0–3 Benfica
League standing · 2026/27
Arouca#5 pos14 pts8 pl+4 GD
Benfica#2 pos19 pts8 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Arouca scored1.38
Benfica scored3
Arouca conceded0.88
Benfica conceded0.88

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Benfica?
In their last 6 meetings, Arouca won 0, Benfica won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arouca and Benfica?
Recent form — Arouca 2W 2D 1L; Benfica 4W 0D 1L.

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