Arouca v Casa Pia prediction
Team pages: Arouca · Casa Pia · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v Casa Pia, Primeira Liga on Sun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Arouca host Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 20 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Casa Pia have scored three goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Casa Pia are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Arouca, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Nine of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Arouca have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.86. Arouca have scored 11 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arouca have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Four of Casa Pia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Casa Pia’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Casa Pia have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 0.75. Casa Pia have conceded 17 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Arouca are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Arouca (fifth) and Casa Pia (17th) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arouca the stronger side, 299 rating points above Casa Pia (Arouca 1690, Casa Pia 1391, after at least 146 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Casa Pia 3–2 Arouca.
Team news
Predicted Arouca XI (4-2-3-1): I. de Arruabarrena, J. Fontán, T. Esgaio, O. Lebedenko, J. Sánchez, T. Fukui, N. Djouahra, A. Trezza, E. van Ee, P. Gozálbez, Barbero — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, José Fontán (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) and Näis Djouahra (4.1 per match over eight appearances, five assists) have been Arouca’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arouca (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), José Fontán averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. Näis Djouahra averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 670 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Casa Pia XI (4-2-3-1): A. Gomes, Geraldes, D. Sousa, P. Rosas, J. Goulart, L. Ofori, Silvi, J. Rêgo, S. Pérez, M. El Boukammiri, H. Araújo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo (5.2 per match over five appearances) and Silvi (3.8 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Casa Pia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Casa Pia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 433 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances. Silvi averages 0.2 key passes per 90 over 548 minutes, with a key pass in one of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
- Head-to-head (last 6): Arouca 0 · draws 1 · Casa Pia 5 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Arouca 2W 2D 1L · Casa Pia 2W 1D 2L
Arouca v Casa Pia (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Arouca for / against | Line | Casa Pia for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.71 for · 6.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.71 for · 15.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.43 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.5 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.57 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
Arouca
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 6.8 | 0 | — |
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 3.6 | 4.6 | — |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — |
| Mario Climent n 8 | 59.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| E. van Ee n 8 | 70.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.8 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Lee Hyun-Ju n 8 | 56.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| José Fontán n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Santos n 8 | 23.9 | 5.2 |
| O. Lebedenko n 8 | 80.8 | 2.4 |
| Pablo Gozálbez n 8 | 47.4 | 2.4 |
| Mario Climent n 8 | 59.9 | 2.3 |
| T. Fukui n 8 | 87.3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. de Arruabarrena n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Casa Pia
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdu Dafe n 4 | 17.5 | 3.9 | 1.3 | — |
| E. Maurin n 8 | 39.5 | 2.6 | 2 | — |
| Rochinha n 8 | 42.5 | 2.4 | 2.9 | — |
| S. Pérez n 8 | 48.3 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| Pedro Rosas n 8 | 60.4 | 1.7 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. El Boukammiri n 8 | 41.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| Abdu Dafe n 4 | 17.5 | 2.6 | 0 |
| Cassiano n 8 | 42.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Rochinha n 8 | 42.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Henrique Araújo n 8 | 55.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Pauwels n 8 | 48.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Cassiano n 8 | 42.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| M. El Boukammiri n 8 | 41.9 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Silvi n 8 | 68.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| A. Jatta n 8 | 55.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| JP n 8 | 41.8 | 3.8 |
| João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo n 8 | 58.6 | 3.6 |
| K. Prieto n 8 | 55.6 | 2.8 |
| Kaly n 8 | 68 | 2.6 |
| Silvi n 8 | 68.5 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Mandić n 4 | 82.8 | 3.5 |
| André Gomes n 8 | 82.4 | 2.9 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Arouca v Casa Pia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-14 Casa Pia 3–2 Arouca
- 2025-09-14 Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia
- 2025-05-04 Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia
- 2024-12-20 Casa Pia 3–1 Arouca
- 2024-02-18 Casa Pia 1–0 Arouca
- 2023-09-17 Arouca 0–1 Casa Pia
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Casa Pia?
- In their last 6 meetings, Arouca won 0, Casa Pia won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Arouca and Casa Pia?
- Recent form — Arouca 2W 2D 1L; Casa Pia 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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