Arouca v Estoril prediction
Team pages: Arouca · Estoril · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v Estoril, Primeira Liga on Sun, 14 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Arouca host Estoril in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 14 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).
Form and the table
Nine of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Arouca have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.86. Arouca have scored 11 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arouca have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Five of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in nine of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Estoril have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.38. Estoril have scored four goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Estoril have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Arouca are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Estoril are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Arouca (fifth) and Estoril (18th) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arouca the stronger side, 359 rating points above Estoril (Arouca 1690, Estoril 1332, after at least 180 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 7 September 2026, finished Estoril 0–0 Arouca.
Team news
Predicted Arouca XI (4-2-3-1): I. de Arruabarrena, J. Fontán, T. Esgaio, O. Lebedenko, J. Sánchez, T. Fukui, N. Djouahra, A. Trezza, E. van Ee, P. Gozálbez, Barbero — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, José Fontán (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) and Näis Djouahra (4.1 per match over eight appearances, five assists) have been Arouca’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arouca (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), José Fontán averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. Näis Djouahra averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 670 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Estoril XI (4-2-3-1): J. Robles, I. Sierra, Ferro, R. Sánchez, F. Medrano, J. Carvalho, J. Holsgrove, A. Tsoungui, A. Lacximicant, R. Guitane, Y. Begraoui — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Holsgrove (4.4 per match over five appearances, one assist) and Rafik Guitane (3.4 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Estoril’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estoril (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Holsgrove averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 387 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Rafik Guitane averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 368 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
- Head-to-head (last 6): Arouca 2 · draws 2 · Estoril 2 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Arouca 2W 2D 1L · Estoril 0W 2D 3L
Arouca v Estoril (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Arouca for / against | Line | Estoril for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.57 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.86 for · 15.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.29 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.5 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.86 for · 13.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.86 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
Arouca
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 6.8 | 0 | — |
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 3.6 | 4.6 | — |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — |
| Mario Climent n 8 | 59.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| E. van Ee n 8 | 70.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.8 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Lee Hyun-Ju n 8 | 56.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| José Fontán n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Santos n 8 | 23.9 | 5.2 |
| O. Lebedenko n 8 | 80.8 | 2.4 |
| Pablo Gozálbez n 8 | 47.4 | 2.4 |
| Mario Climent n 8 | 59.9 | 2.3 |
| T. Fukui n 8 | 87.3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. de Arruabarrena n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Estoril
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Arnolin n 4 | 29.3 | 3.1 | 1.5 | — |
| Tiago Brito n 8 | 22.6 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Peixinho n 8 | 18.3 | 2.5 | 3.7 | — |
| A. Tsoungui n 8 | 74.1 | 2.4 | 2.3 | — |
| Xeka n 8 | 70.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nail Omerovic n 8 | 71.5 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Jordan Arnolin n 4 | 29.3 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Peixinho n 8 | 18.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| André Lacximicant n 8 | 60.3 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Y. Begraoui n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nail Omerovic n 8 | 71.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Pedro Carvalho n 8 | 16 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Peixinho n 8 | 18.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Y. Begraoui n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| M. Robin n 8 | 41.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Carvalho n 8 | 16 | 4.2 |
| Tiago Brito n 8 | 22.6 | 4 |
| Ferro n 8 | 75.4 | 3.4 |
| Fernando Medrano n 8 | 84.5 | 3.2 |
| Peixinho n 8 | 18.3 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Robles n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Arouca v Estoril — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-07 Estoril 0–0 Arouca
- 2026-04-06 Arouca 3–2 Estoril
- 2025-11-07 Estoril 4–3 Arouca
- 2025-03-16 Arouca 1–1 Estoril
- 2024-10-26 Estoril 4–1 Arouca
- 2024-01-20 Estoril 1–2 Arouca
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Estoril?
- In their last 6 meetings, Arouca won 2, Estoril won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Arouca and Estoril?
- Recent form — Arouca 2W 2D 1L; Estoril 0W 2D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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