Arouca v FC Porto prediction
Team pages: Arouca · FC Porto · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v FC Porto, Primeira Liga on Sun, 31 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Arouca host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 31 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
FC Porto are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Arouca.
Form and the table
Nine of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Arouca have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.86. Arouca have scored 11 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arouca have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Eight of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, FC Porto have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.29. FC Porto have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Porto have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Arouca are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Arouca (fifth) and FC Porto (first) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Porto the stronger side, 357 rating points above Arouca (FC Porto 2047, Arouca 1690, after at least 180 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished FC Porto 2–0 Arouca.
Team news
Predicted Arouca XI (4-2-3-1): I. de Arruabarrena, J. Fontán, T. Esgaio, O. Lebedenko, J. Sánchez, T. Fukui, N. Djouahra, A. Trezza, E. van Ee, P. Gozálbez, Barbero — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, José Fontán (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) and Näis Djouahra (4.1 per match over eight appearances, five assists) have been Arouca’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arouca (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), José Fontán averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. Näis Djouahra averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 670 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.
Predicted FC Porto XI (4-3-3): D. Costa, J. Kiwior, J. Bednarek, A. Baio, Z. Sanusi, V. Froholdt, P. Rosario, G. Veiga, P. Aquino, A. Silva, William — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gabri Veiga (5.4 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and three assists) and William (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been FC Porto’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Porto (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gabri Veiga averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 683 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. William averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 589 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
- Head-to-head (last 6): Arouca 1 · draws 0 · FC Porto 5 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Arouca 2W 2D 1L · FC Porto 3W 0D 2L
Arouca v FC Porto (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Arouca for / against | Line | FC Porto for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.5 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Arouca
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 6.8 | 0 | — |
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 3.6 | 4.6 | — |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — |
| Mario Climent n 8 | 59.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| E. van Ee n 8 | 70.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.8 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Lee Hyun-Ju n 8 | 56.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| José Fontán n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Santos n 8 | 23.9 | 5.2 |
| O. Lebedenko n 8 | 80.8 | 2.4 |
| Pablo Gozálbez n 8 | 47.4 | 2.4 |
| Mario Climent n 8 | 59.9 | 2.3 |
| T. Fukui n 8 | 87.3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. de Arruabarrena n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
FC Porto
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gül n 8 | 31 | 4.4 | 0.7 | — |
| Alberto Baio n 8 | 80.3 | 2.5 | 2 | — |
| Hwang In-Beom n 8 | 46 | 2 | 1.2 | — |
| P. Rosario n 8 | 84.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt n 8 | 68.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Giménez n 8 | 28.8 | 3.5 | 2 |
| D. Gül n 8 | 31 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| Gabri Veiga n 8 | 67.3 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Borja Sainz n 8 | 28 | 2.4 | 2 |
| André Silva n 8 | 72.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabri Veiga n 8 | 67.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| O. Pietuszewski n 8 | 23 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Borja Sainz n 8 | 28 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Pepê Aquino n 8 | 83.6 | 0 | 0.7 |
| André Silva n 8 | 72.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| William n 8 | 66.4 | 2.7 |
| Hwang In-Beom n 8 | 46 | 2.4 |
| Francisco Moura n 8 | 67.9 | 2.3 |
| S. Giménez n 8 | 28.8 | 2.3 |
| Martim Fernandes n 8 | 53.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Arouca v FC Porto — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-08-23 FC Porto 2–0 Arouca
- 2026-02-27 FC Porto 3–1 Arouca
- 2025-09-29 Arouca 0–4 FC Porto
- 2025-03-01 Arouca 0–2 FC Porto
- 2024-09-29 FC Porto 4–0 Arouca
- 2024-02-12 Arouca 3–2 FC Porto
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and FC Porto?
- In their last 6 meetings, Arouca won 1, FC Porto won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Arouca and FC Porto?
- Recent form — Arouca 2W 2D 1L; FC Porto 3W 0D 2L.
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Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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